Brazil vs Ecuador CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier prediction: Five-time champions look to end miserable run
After their disappointing Copa América showing, Brazil will resume a challenging 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign when they host Ecuador this week.
The five-time world champions are currently in sixth place with seven points, while the visitors hold a one-point advantage in fifth position.
Three predictions for Brazil vs Ecuador
Brazil 3-0 Ecuador (15/2 with Midnite)
Brazil are undefeated in their last 12 matches against Ecuador, winning eight, with five victories by a margin of two or more goals.
Lucas Paquetá to score anytime (9/4 with Midnite)
Lucas Paquetá has scored in four of his last 13 appearances for Brazil.
Over 2.5 goals (10/11 with Midnite)
Three of Brazil’s last five home World Cup qualifiers have featured over 2.5 goals.
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How both teams go into Brazil vs Ecuador
It has been a challenging qualifying campaign for Brazil, as they are currently in sixth place in the standings. The Seleção suffered a 1-0 defeat to Argentina in their previous World Cup qualifying fixture. In addition to their struggles in the World Cup qualifiers, Brazil faced difficulties in this year’s Copa América, where they could not advance beyond the quarter-finals. Despite the recent challenges, Dorival Júnior’s team have only suffered one defeat in their last eight matches, which was a loss in a penalty shootout against Uruguay at the Copa.
Ecuador are currently just one point ahead of Brazil in the standings. Sebastian Beccacece’s team have secured two wins, including a 1-0 victory over Chile in their last match. During the Copa América, the Ecuadorians struggled and were eliminated in the quarter-finals on penalties by eventual winners Argentina. They only managed to win one out of four matches in the tournament and are heading into this latest outing following two consecutive draws.
Brazil will host Ecuador on Saturday 7th September at 2am (UK time) at the Couto Pereira Stadium in Curitiba.
Brazil team news
Brazil continue to miss Neymar, who suffered an anterior cruciate ligament injury in October 2023, while Yan Couto and Savinho have withdrawn from Dorival’s squad due to injuries. In their places, 17-year-old Palmeiras attacker Estevao Willian, who joins Chelsea next summer, has been called up and with Raphinha suspended, Dorival may choose to field a forward an all-Real Madrid frontline of Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior, and Endrick.
Ecuador team news
Ecuador cannot count on defender Christian Ramirez, who was forced to withdraw from the squad due to an ankle injury sustained in Ferencvaros’ Europa League qualifying clash with Borac. Pervis Estupinan has not played an international game since March 2023 due to injury. However, he’s returned and is expected to start against Brazil, while Enner Valencia should lead their attack, and he will be looking to add to the record 41 goals he’s already scored for his country.
Brazil vs Ecuador head-to-head
Ecuador have won two of their 35 matches against Brazil but are unbeaten in their last two.
| Brazil vs Ecuador H2H | |||||||
| Date | Score | Ground | |||||
| 27 Jan 2022 | Ecuador 1-1 Brazil | Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito | |||||
| 27 Jun 2021 | Brazil 1-1 Ecuador | Estádio Olímpico Pedro Ludovico, Goiânia | |||||
| 04 Jun 2021 | Brazil 2-0 Ecuador | Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre | |||||
| 31 Aug 2017 | Brazil 2-0 Ecuador | Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre | |||||
| 01 Sep 2016 | Ecuador 0-3 Brazil | Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito | |||||
| 04 Jun 2016 | Brazil 0-0 Ecuador | Rose Bowl, Pasadena | |||||
How to watch Brazil vs Ecuador live
Brazil and Ecuador kick off on Saturday 7th September at 2am (UK time) and will be broadcast live in the UK on Premier Sports 1.
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