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Bayern Munich vs Lazio Predictions, Tips and Odds: Can Bavarians turn Champions League deficit around?

Bayern Munich and Lazio meet in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie on Tuesday at 8 pm (UK time).

The visitors won the opening leg 1-0 at Stadio Olimpico on 14 February. Ciro Immobile scored the game’s only goal in the 69th minute with a spot-kick.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio predictions

Bayern Munich vs Lazio: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 37/40 with BetVictor
Correct Score 3-1 10/1 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Jamal Musiala 7/1 with SkyBet

The stats behind our Bayern Munich vs Lazio predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in two of Bayern’s three Champions League home matches this season.
  • Lazio’s two Champions League away games saw them suffer a two-goal loss.
  • Lazio conceded the opening goal in their previous three Champions League road games.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio match tip

Harry Kane to score anytime @ 4/6 with Bet UK

Harry Kane has scored in the his last two home apperances for Bayern Munich, furthermore he’s stepped up in Champions League play this season. He is Bayern’s leading scorer with four goals. The England international has been involved in 19 goals in 19 home  Champions League appearances (12 goals and three assists for Spurs; three goals, one assist for Bayern). However, he’s never scored in three home knockout games, with 15 goals, the most any player has scored at home without ever finding the net in a home knockout game.

Bayern Munich vs Lazio odds


*Odds correct as of 07:00 on March 5

Bayern Munich has only gone out as early as the Round of 16 in one of their last 12 seasons in the competition, doing so in 2018/19 against eventual winners Liverpool (1-3 on aggregate).

Lazio have never won an away Champions League match in Germany in four attempts (two draws and two losses), including a 2-1 defeat to Bayern in March 2021. However, having beaten them 1-0 in the first leg, the Italian side is looking to become the first side since Real Madrid in 2016-17 to win home and away against Bayern in the same Champions League campaign.

Across all major European competitions, Lazio have progressed from 12 of their last 13 knockout ties when winning the first leg; the exception was in the 2017-18 UEFA Europa League quarter-final against RB Salzburg (4-2 first leg, 1-4 second leg).

It’s worth noting that Bayern has been eliminated from each of their last seven Champions League ties when they lost the first leg and 11 out of 14 overall. However, the two previous times they lost the first leg of a Round of 16 tie, they have recovered to qualify: in 2006-07 vs Real Madrid (2-3 first leg, 2-1 second leg, progressed on away goals) and 2011-12 vs Basel (0-1 first leg, 7-0 second leg).

Lazio is looking to reach their first Champions League quarter-final since the 1999-00 season when they qualified via the second group stage under Sven-Göran Eriksson. They have lost their two previous away knockout games, losing 5-2 to Valencia (1999-00 quarter-final) and 2-1 to Bayern München (2020-21 last 16).

Bayern Munich vs Lazio team news

Bayern Munich team news

In  Out Doubtful
Dayot Upamecano, Serge Gnabry, Leroy Sane, Noussair Mazraoui, Sacha Boey, Kingsley Coman, Noel Aseko-Nkili, Bouna Sarr, Tarek Buchmann, Gabriel Marusic

Dayot Upamecano serves a suspension following his first-leg sending off while Bayern also miss several key players through injury.

Top Scorer: Harry Kane (31)

Card Magnet: Leroy Sané, Leon Goretzka, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Matthijs de Ligt (5)

Assist Ace: Leroy Sané (12)

Lazio team news

In  Out Doubtful
Patric, Nicolò Rovella

The visiting Italians, seeking a place in the Champions League quarter-finals, are without Patric and Nicolò Rovella.

Top Scorer: Ciro Immobile (10)

Card Magnet: Matías Vecino (9)

Assist Ace: Felipe Anderson (7)

Bayern Munich vs Lazio head-to-head

  • 23/02/2021 – Lazio 1-4 Bayern Munich – Champions League
  • 17/03/2021 – Bayern Munich 2-1 Lazio – Champions League
  • 14/02/2024 – Lazio 1-0 Bayern Munich – Champions League

After winning their first two Champions League matches against Lazio in the 2020-21 last 16, Bayern Munich lost the first leg of this season’s tie 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico.