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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Premier League Predictions, Tips & Odds: Villans to finally end home hoodoo

Champions League chasing Aston Villa host struggling Nottingham Forest in the Premier League hoping to keep their place in the top four. 

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest predictions

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 7/10 with BetGoodwin
Correct Score Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest 7/1 with Midnite
First Goalscorer Douglas Luiz 9/1 with Boylesports

The stats behind our Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest predictions:

  • Aston Villa have conceded in their past five home games.
  • Nottingham Forest are winless in their last seven trips to Villa Park.
  • Aston Villa have only failed to score in three of their 25 Premier League games this season.
  • All seven of Douglas Luiz’s league goals this season have come at Villa Park.
  • Nottingham Forest have scored in all eight of their Premier League games under Nuno Espírito Santo.

Aston Villa’s home woes

It’s not too long ago that we were talking about Fortress Villa Park. Aston Villa had won their first eight Premier League home games this season and then went unbeaten in 10, with the only blemish a 1-1 draw with Sheffield United. Even across all competitions, there had been one defeat and one draw from their first 15 home games. But the wheels have fallen off, the walls have come crumbling down and so on.

The run started with a 3-1 defeat to Newcastle in the Premier League, a result that shocked Villa Park, as the Magpies hadn’t been great on the road. It was then followed by another shock 3-1 defeat, this time in the FA Cup to Chelsea. And the third defeat in a row came at the hands of Manchester United, though tiredness and injuries are certainly playing a part.

But Nottingham Forest don’t look like a side capable of adding to Aston Villa’s misery. Fighting against relegation, the Tricky Trees have picked up just one win in their last five having enjoyed a mini boost following the appointment of Nuno Espirito Santo. That victory did come last time out against West Ham however, with goals from Taiwo Awoniyi and Callum Hudson-Odoi securing all three points against the Hammers at the City Ground.

Away from home, Forest haven’t been the best. They have won just two games in normal time, adding a third victory after extra-time against Blackpool in the FA Cup. That means there have been 12 games away from home that Forest haven’t won, including seven defeats.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, have lost just one of their last 14 home league games against Nottingham Forest (W7 D6) and are unbeaten in seven since a 2-0 loss in October 1994.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match tip

Half time draw @ 7/5 by BetVictor

One of the reasons behind Nottingham Forest’s struggles away from home this season has been their slow starts. The Reds have only led at the break in one of their 12 Premier League away games this season, trailing four times. Of course, that means Forest have been level at the break on seven occasions. Four of those have come in each of Forest’s past four away games, which have all been 1-1 at half-time.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest odds


*Odds correct as of 19:30 on February 23

Despite Aston Villa’s slight wobble at home, they are pretty firm favourites for this game. Nottingham Forest did win the previous meeting this season, claiming a 2-0 victory at the City Ground, but they are winless in their past seven trips to Villa Park. Not since Stuart Pearce and Steve Stone scored in October 1994 have Forest tasted victory away to Aston Villa, losing this fixture 2-0 last season.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest team news

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jhon Duran, Ezri Konsa

Boubacar Kamara has been ruled out for the remainder of the season and then some, suffering an ACL injury. He joins Emiliano Buendia and Tyrone Mings as long-term absentees, while Jhon Duran and Ezri Konsa are also sidelined.

Top Scorer: Ollie Watkins (13)

Card Magnet: John McGinn (7)

Assist Ace: Ollie Watkins (10)

Nottingham Forest team news

In  Out Doubtful
Gonzalo Montiel, Chris Wood

Nottingham Forest will have all their players back from the Africa Cup of Nations, with Willy Boly, Ibrahim Sangare and Serge Aurier all lifting the trophy with Ivory Coast. But Gonzalo Montiel and Chris Wood are still injured.

Top Scorer: Chris Wood (8)

Card Magnet: Morgan Gibbs-White (6)

Assist Ace: Anthony Elanga (7)

How to watch Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Live

Aston Villa’s home game against Nottingham Forest takes place on Saturday 24th February at 3pm, but won’t be broadcast live on TV in the UK.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head

  • 5 November 2023 – Nottingham Forest 2-0 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 8 April 2023 – Aston Villa 2-0 Nottingham Forest – Premier League
  • 10 October 2022 – Nottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 13 March 2019 – Nottingham Forest 1-3 Aston Villa – Championship
  • 28 November 2018 – Aston Villa 5-5 Nottingham Forest – Championship

Nottingham Forest’s 2-0 win earlier this season ended a six-game winless run for the Reds against Aston Villa. They haven’t won two consecutive games against Villa since 1992, and haven’t done the league double in this fixture since 1984/85.

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