Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction, odds, tips & team news
Aston Villa vs Brighton
Aston Villa will host Brighton in a Premier League showdown on Monday 30th December. The hosts sit ninth in the table heading into this clash, while the visitors sit one place behind in 10th. Find our best bets, including a 10/1 double below.
Aston Villa to Win (11/10 with BetMGM)
Just two points separate Aston Villa and Brighton in the Premier League table, and I’m surprised to see an odds-against price available for a home win on Monday. Since the start of November, Villa’s form on the road has been awful, with five consecutive defeats. The latest of those was on Boxing Day, going down 3-0 to Newcastle. However, their form at Villa Park couldn’t be any different.
Unai Emery’s side are unbeaten in eight home league matches and have the fourth-best home record in the league this season. Their sole defeat at Villa Park came against Arsenal in August, and after three wins on the bounce against Brentford, Southampton and Man City, they look good value for another this evening.
Ollie Watkins to score anytime & Jan Paul van Hecke to be Carded (10/1 with BetMGM)
With Jhon Duran suspended for three matches, Ollie Watkins can find some form. The Villa frontman has failed to score in five, but tonight looks the perfect opportunity to end that drought. Watkins has scored more Premier League goals against Brighton than he has against any other opponent (6), netting a hat-trick in this exact fixture in a 6-1 win last season.
No player has collected more yellow cards for Brighton this season than Jan Paul van Hecke. The centre-back is still only 24 and has an occasional moment of madness in him. I fancy him to have a good battle with the aforementioned Watkins, and with a card average of 0.27 per 90 minutes this season, he looks like a solid proposition. Pairing Watkins to score and van Hecke to be carded pays 10/1 with BetMGM.
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How both teams go into Aston Villa vs Brighton
Unai Emery will have been bitterly disappointed with his side’s 3-0 defeat last time out at Newcastle. The Villans have struggled on the road this season having lost their last five away from home, but they remain unbeaten in eight league matches at Villa Park. A win here could see them climb to sixth in the table.
Brighton have been inconsistent in the last few months and are winless in December. Their last victory came away at Bournemouth on the 23rd of November, six matches ago. Still, after a strong start to the campaign, Brighton have 26 points and a win against Villa could see them go level on points with Newcastle in seventh.
Aston Villa team news
Jacob Ramsey is the only player absent through injury for Aston Villa. He is progressing well after recovering from a thigh injury. Jhon Duran and Matty Cash are both suspended.
Brighton team news
James Milner and Danny Welbeck will be unavailable until the start of the new year. Meanwhile, Ferdi Kadioglu, Adam Webster and Jack Hinshelwood will face late fitness tests.
Aston Villa vs Brighton head-to-head
In their most recent encounter, Brighton broke a five-match losing streak against Aston Villa. This victory marked only the second time the Seagulls have triumphed over Villa in their last 18 competitive meetings.
| Aston Villa vs Brighton H2H | |||||||
| Date | Score | Ground | |||||
| 05 May 2024 | Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa | AMEX Stadium, Brighton | |||||
| 30 Sep 2023 | Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton | Villa Park, Birmingham | |||||
| 28 May 2023 | Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton | Villa Park, Birmingham | |||||
| 13 Nov 2022 | Brighton 1-2 Aston Villa | AMEX Stadium, Brighton | |||||
| 26 Feb 2022 | Brighton 0-2 Aston Villa | AMEX Stadium, Brighton | |||||
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