Aston Villa vs Brighton Premier League predictions: Tips, odds and team news

Aston Villa welcome Brighton to Villa Park for a Premier League clash on Saturday at 12.30pm (UK time).

Aston Villa vs Brighton odds


Odds correct as of 10:00 on September 28

Villa’s flawless start to the season at home came crashing down in midweek, as they were knocked out of the EFL Cup in the third round by struggling Everton at Villa Park. The Villians had won each of their opening three home matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just once, but were shocked by the same side they beat 4-0 just one month ago.

However, in the Premier League, Unai Emery has revitalised the side since taking over from Steven Gerrard, with only Man City (71) picking up more points in the English top flight in 2023 than Villa (55). Since a three-game losing run against Leicester, Man City and Arsenal in February, Aston Villa have won 14 of their last 21 Premier League games (D3 L4). In this timeframe (February 25th onwards), only Manchester City (55) and Liverpool (48) have won more points in the division than Villa (45).

Brighton, meanwhile have won both of their Premier League away games so far in 2023/24, following up a 4-1 win over Wolves with a 3-1 victory over Manchester United, ending their 31-game unbeaten streak at Old Trafford. However, like Villa, the Seagulls were dumped out of the League Cup in round three, falling to a 1-0 defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge after Nico Jackson’s only goal of the game.

Roberto De Zerbi’s side also have a poor recent record against Aston Villa, having lost each of the last four matches against them, conceding 2+ goals each time. The Seagulls have also lost four of their previous five trips to Villa Park (D1).

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Aston Villa vs Brighton predictions

Aston Villa vs Brighton: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 21/50 with Bet UK
Correct Score 2-2 9/1 with Midnite
First Goalscorer Ollie Watkins 11/2 with BetGoodwin

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Aston Villa vs Brighton predictions:

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games against Brighton
  • Villa have scored 2+ goals in their two home league games, while Brighton have scored 2+ goals in their two away games
  • Ollie Watkins has scored in his last three games against Brighton
  • Only Man City and Man Utd (both 12) have more home wins than Aston Villa in 2023 (10)
  • Brighton have scored in their last 22 Premier League matches, but failed to keep a clean sheet this season

Aston Villa vs Brighton match tip

Over 3.5 Goals @23/20 with Bet UK

Both Aston Villa and Brighton’s Premier League matches have seen goals, goals, goals so far this season, with over 3.5 goals landing in 11 of their combined 12 matches. The Seagulls’ matches have averaged 4.3 goals per game, with BTTS landing each time, while Villa have either scored or conceded three or more goals in five of their opening six Premier League matches.

Villa have scored exactly two goals in each of their last four matches against the Seagulls, while Brighton have scored in 22 consecutive Premier League games, scoring 51 times across this run. However, they’ve only kept six clean sheets in this time, conceding in all six games this season.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Bet-Builder tip

BTTS > Over 3.5 Goals > Moussa Diaby to score or assist 

Aston Villa have scored in all of their home games this season, while Brighton have scored in each of their last 22 matches in the Premier League. Infact, BTTS and Over 3.5 goals has landed in every single one of the Seagulls’ Premier League matches so far this campaign.

Summer signing Moussa Diaby has taken to the Premier League like a duck to water, scoring two goals and providing two assists in his first five appearances in the competition.

Aston Villa vs Brighton team news

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
Tyrone Mings, Emiliano Buendia, Leon Bailey,Jacob Ramsey, Alex Moreno

Both Tyrone Mings and Emiliano Buendia are long-term absentees and have been joined in the treatment room by winger Leon Bailey, who was forced off against Everton in midweek. Jacob Ramsey had recently returned for Villa, but Unai Emery has confirmed that he has picked up “another small injury” so will play no part this weekend.

Brighton team news

In  Out Doubtful
Jakub Moder, Julio Enciso James Milner, Pascal Gross, Evan Ferguson

Both Jakub Moder and Julio Enciso miss out once again for the Seagulls, while Pascal Gross and James Milner are doubts after missing the League Cup tie against Chelsea. Evan Ferguson will be hoping for a return.

Carlos Baleba made his debut for the club against Chelsea in midweek after signing from Lille in the summer, but Roberto De Zerbi doesn’t think the midfielder is quite ready for the Premier League.

“He is [born in] 2004 and it was the first game at this level at Stamford Bridge and I am pleased for his performance. Clearly he has to improve and progress. Maybe now he is not so ready to play in first XI.” The Italian said after the game.

“You are used to watching Premier League and the other European leagues are totally different. “The Premier League is stronger and tougher and the new players have to adapt in the difficulties of the game. “We lost Pascal Gross and [James] Milner and so in that position we only have three midfielders but the players and coach have to adapt in this moment. “We play a lot of games, I don’t want to make an excuse but the young players they must… (clicks his fingers quickly) progress.”

Aston Villa vs Brighton head-to-head

  • 28 May 2023 – Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton – Premier League
  • 13 Nov 2022 – Brighton 1-2 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 26 Feb 2022 – Brighton 0-2 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 20 Nov 2021 – Aston Villa 2-0 Brighton – Premier League
  • 13 Feb 2021 – Brighton 0-0 Aston Villa – Premier League

Villa are unbeaten in the last five meetings between the two sides, winning each of the last four.

Aston Villa vs Brighton: Squawka Says


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