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Aston Villa vs Brentford Premier League Predictions, Tips and Odds: Villa to get UCL push back on track

Champions League chasing Aston Villa host struggling Brentford in the Premier League on Saturday at 3pm (UK time).

Aston Villa vs Brentford predictions

Aston Villa vs Brentford: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/15 with Bet365
Correct Score Aston Villa 2-1 Brentford 17/2 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Douglas Luiz 9/1 with Paddy Power

The stats behind our Aston Villa vs Brentford predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in five of Aston Villa’s last seven Premier League home matches.
  • Brentford have lost their last four Premier League away games (three by a one-goal margin).
  • Brentford have conceded the first goal in their last four Premier League away matches.

Villa to get back on track?

After a 4-1 demolition at the hands of Man City in midweek left them just two points clear of Tottenham in the race for the final confirmed Champions League spot, Villa know this is a must win game.

Unai Emery’s men have had mixed results in recent weekes after a heavy 4-0 defeat to rivals Spurs was followed up by a 1-1 draw against West Ham, before a 2-0 victory over Wolves. Since their 15-game home winning run in the Premier League between March and December, Aston Villa have won just three of their seven league games at Villa Park (D1 L3) and will be hoping to get back on track against a struggling Brentford side on Saturday.

The Bees are currently without a win in their last eight matches in the league (D3 L5) and currently sit just six points off the relegation places. Thomas Frank’s side have also lost 11 of their last 12 Premier League matches against sides starting the day in the top five of the table, including all eight such matches this season. Their sole victory in this run was against Manchester City on the final day last season, who had already been crowned champions.

Away from home it has been even worse, losing nine of their last 10 matches on the road in the Premier League and having never won away against Aston Villa in the league, drawing five and losing three of their eight visits to Villa Park, it is tough to see them getting anything here.

Aston Villa vs Brentford match tip

Douglas Luiz to score or assist @ 6/5 with Sky Bet

No player has been directly involved in more goals at Villa Park for Aston Villa in all competitions this season than Douglas Luiz (9 goals, 6 assists) – before this season, his best campaign for goals and assists at Villa Park was last season (3 goals, 2 assists). The Brazillian has scored nine league goals at home so far this season, at least two more than any other Aston Villa player.

Aston Villa vs Brentford odds


*Odds correct as of 17:40 on April 5. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Brentford are winless in their last eight Premier League matches and 7/2 to end the run against an Aston Villa side looking to keep their place in the top four. The Bees have never won away against Aston Villa in the league however, drawing five and losing three of their eight visits to Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs Brentford team news

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
John McGinn  Matty Cash, Boubacar Kamara, Tyrone Mings, Emiliano Buendia Jacob Ramsey

John McGinn returns from suspension here while leading scorer Ollie Watkins could also come back into the starting XI.

Top Scorer: Ollie Watkins (16)

Card Magnet: Douglas Luiz (9)

Assist Ace: Ollie Watkins (10)

Brentford team news

In  Out Doubtful
Christian Nørgaard, Ben Mee, Ethan Pinnock, Joshua Da Silva, Aaron Hickey, Kevin Schade

No fewer than six players are missing for Brentford when they visit Villa this weekend.

Top Scorer: Bryan Mbeumo, Yoane Wissa (7)

Card Magnet: Christian Nørgaard (8)

Assist Ace: Mathias Jensen, Bryan Mbeumo (3)

Aston Villa vs Brentford head-to-head

  • 17 Dec 2023 – Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 22 Apr 2023 – Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 23 Oct 2022 – Aston Villa 4-0 Brentford – Premier League
  • 02 Jan 2022 – Brentford 2-1 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 28 Aug 2021 – Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford – Premier League

Villa have lost just one of their last five league meetings with Brentford.

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