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Arsenal vs Newcastle Predictions, Tips and Odds: Gunners to keep their 100% 2024 PL record?

Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions: Tips, odds and team news

Title chasing Arsenal will be hoping to close the gap on Liverpool when they welcome Newcastle to the Emirates this weekend. 

Arsenal vs Newcastle: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bet MGM odds
BTTS? No 1/1 
Correct Score Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle 13/2
First Goalscorer Bukayo Saka 24/5

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions:

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 12 home games against Newcastle (all comps), running up a 31-5 aggregate scoreline.
  • Bukayo Saka has scored six goals in his last four Premier League games.
  • The Gunners have faced just two shots on target across their last three Premier League games.

Arsenal to continue run against one of their favourite opponents

Arsenal have moved past their recent wobble to fire themselves back into the Premier League title race. The Gunners have won their first five league games for the first time in their history, with the most impressive coming 3-1 at home to Liverpool and, emphatically, 6-0 away at West Ham, their biggest-ever away win in the Premier League. Mikel Arteta’s men are third in the table, one point behind Manchester City and just five adrift of leaders Liverpool with a game in hand.

Now looking to make it six league wins in a row, after a shock 1-0 defeat to Porto in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie, they face a Newcastle side that have not scored a Premier League away goal against the Gunners since December 2014. Arsenal have gone unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games against the Toon Army, with last season’s goalless draw ending a 10-game winning run.

This season, Newcastle, have also struggled on the road, picking up just 11 points away from St. James’ Park. However, after five straight away defeats in the Premier League, Eddie Howe’s side have won the last two with victories at Villa Park and the City Ground. They currently sit in 8th, 11 points off the top four, but three consecutive away wins may be too much, especially at the Emirates.

Arsenal vs Newcastle odds


Odds correct as of 19:30 on February 23

The Gunners are favourites having won all five of their Premier League games in 2024, while Newcastle have lost five of their last seven on the road. Mikel Arteta’s side are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games against Newcastle, with last season’s goalless draw ending a 10-game winning run. Their last such defeat against the Magpies was in November 2010.

Opta Probability gives Arsenal a 54.7% chance of taking home all three points, while they give Newcastle 20.2% chance of ending the Gunners’ 100% start to 2024 in the league.

Arsenal vs Newcastle match tip

Under 0.5 Newcastle goals @ 6/5 with BetMGM

Newcastle have failed to score on each of their last eight visits to the Emirates Stadium (all competitions), while the Gunners have kept three clean sheets in their last five Premier League games and conceded just three shots on target across their last three league matches. Ayoze Pérez was the last Newcastle player to score an away Premier League goal against Arsenal (December 2014), with the Magpies failing to convert any of their 63 attempts on goal at the Emirates since.

Arsenal vs Newcastle team news

Arsenal team news

In  Out Doubtful
Emile Smith Rowe, Fabio Vieira, Jurrien Timber, Thomas Partey, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Jesus, Oleksandar Zinchenko

Arsenal have a few players already confirmed injured for this match, including Gabriel Jesus, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Takehiro Tomiyasu.

Top Scorer: Bukayo Saka (12)

Card Magnet: Kai Havertz (6)

Assist Ace: Bukayo Saka (7)

Newcastle team news

In  Out Doubtful
Joelinton, Nick Pope, Sandro Tonali, Joe Willock, Callum Wilson, Matt Targett Alexander Isak

Newcastle still have a host of injury problems and will once again be without Callum Wilson, Nick Pope and Joelinton to name a few.

Top Scorer: Alexander Isak (10)

Card Magnet: Bruno Guimaraes (9)

Assist Ace: Kieran Trippier (10)

Arsenal vs Newcastle head-to-head record

  • 04 Nov 2023 – Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal – Premier League
  • 07 May 2023 – Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal – Premier League
  • 03 Jan 2023 – Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle – Premier League
  • 16 May 2022 – Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal – Premier League
  • 27 Nov 2021 – Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle – Premier League

Newcastle have enjoyed a couple of victories against Arsenal in recent times, but haven’t won at the Emirates since November 2010 when Andy Carroll scored the winner for a team managed by Chris Houghton.

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