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Olympiakos vs Aston Villa Conference League Predictions, Tips and Odds: Greek side on verge of history

After a six-goal thriller in the first leg, Olympiakos and Aston Villa will face off again on Thursday, looking for a place in the Europa Conference League final. 

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa predictions

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 8/15 with Midnite
Correct Score 1-2 8/1 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Ollie Watkins 5/1 with SkyBet

The stats behind our Olympiakos vs Aston Villa predictions:

  • Olympiakos’ last five games in the Europa Conference League have seen 22 goals scored.
  • Ollie Watkins has scored 27 goals across all competitions this season.
  • Villa have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five games across all competitions.

Can Olympiakos make history, or will Villa complete a famous comeback?

After their 4-2 victory in the first leg, Olympiakos are just 90 minutes away from reaching their first-ever major European final.

A hat-trick from the ever-impressive Ayoub El Kaabi and a further strike from Argentinian Santiago Hezze in the Midlands has put the Greek side on the verge of history. With their impressive goal-scoring abilities this season, don’t expect them to sit back. However, they have found the back of the net 16 goals in the knockout stage of the Conference League this season, more than any other team. The 4-2 win at Aston Villa was the third time this season in European competition that the Greek side has scored 4+ goals (twice in the Conference League, once in the Europa League) – the only other time they managed to do so in a single campaign in major competition was in the UEFA Cup in 2008-09.

For Villa, the first-leg loss was the first time they had lost back-to-back games in the Conference League, and they will need to much, much better in the second leg if they have any chance of making the final.  The 2-4 first-leg defeat against Olympiakos was only the second time they had lost the first leg of a knockout tie in a major European competition by multiple goals after losing 1-4 at Royal Antwerp in the first round of the 1975/76 UEFA Cup.

Despite nearly clinching a Champions League spot for next season and setting a new record for points in a 38-game Premier League season, Villa goes into this game without a win in their last three across all competitions (D1 L2) and a shock defeat to Brighton at the weekend that saw them record their lowest xG in a Premier League game under Unai Emery and not have a single shot on target in the game after the sixth minute.

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa match tip

Ayoub El Kaabi & Ollie Watkins Both To Score @ 7/1 with Sky Bet

Both Ollie Watkins and Ayoub El Kaabi found the back of the net in the first leg, with the latter becoming just the second Olympiakos player after Konstantinos Mitroglou to score a hat-trick away from home in a major European competition. The Olympiakos forward is the joint top goalscorer in the competition with eight goals in 2023/24 and is the first-ever player to score 10+ goals in major European competitions for the club in a single campaign (including his three goals in the Europa League).

Ollie Watkins, meanwhile, scored his fifth Conference League goal of the season in the first leg—a joint club record in a single season for Aston Villa, previously achieved by Gary Shaw in the 1982/83 European Cup and by John Deehan in the 1977/78 UEFA Cup.

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa odds


*Odds correct as of 16:00 on May 08. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Aston Villa is an odds-on favourite to win away in Greece, but Olympiakos is a huge favourite to make it to the final. They take a two-goal lead into the second leg. The draw will be enough to see the home side through to their first-ever European final, and it is best priced at 11/4.

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa team news

Olympiakos team news

In  Out Doubtful
 Andreas Ndoj, Georgios Masouras, Giulian Biancone, Rúben Vezo, Nelson Abbey, Jovane, Ivan Brnic, Gelson Martins, Fran Navarro

Olympiakos still have many injury problems going into the second leg, with no fewer than nine players ruled out.

Top Scorer: Ayoub El Kaabi (8)

Card Magnet: Giorgos Masouras, Konstantinos Fortounis, Daniel Podence (2)

Assist Ace: Daniel Podence (4)

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
 Tyrone Mings, Álex Moreno, Boubacar Kamara, Jacob Ramsey, Emiliano Buendía Emiliano Martínez

Emi Martinez was suspended for the first leg against Olympiakos and missed the weekend’s game against Brighton through injury, but will be hoping to return here. However, Tyrone Mings, Álex Moreno, Boubacar Kamara, Jacob Ramsey and Emiliano Buendía all remain out.

Top Scorer: Ollie Watkins (5)

Card Magnet: Nicolò Zaniolo (4)

Assist Ace: Leon Bailey, Douglas Luiz (4)

How to watch Olympiakos vs Aston Villa Live

Olympiakos host Aston Villa on Thursday, 9th March, at 8pm (UK time), with the game broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports.

Olympiakos vs Aston Villa head-to-head

This will be just the second meeting between these two sides, with Olympiakos winning the first leg 4-2.

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