Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Predictions, betting tips, odds & match preview
Bayern Munich have a comfortable three goal lead to defend as they welcome Chelsea in this Champions League Round of 16 second leg on Saturday night.
Bayern Munich’s season has been something of a rollercoaster. As they struggled to keep the pace under Niko Kovač, it seemed their dominant grip on the Meisterschale over in Germany was finally about to slip but come the end of the season, they had eased to yet another Bundesliga title.
The change in fortunes came with the change in manager for die Roten. Hans-Dieter Flick had joined the club as part of Kovač’s backroom staff last summer, but after stepping up to the mark in an interim basis and impressing, he has since been handed the job on a permanent basis and won both the league and cup trophies in his side’s domestic campaign.
Now, attention reverts to the Champions League, a competition that they are often cited as aiming for but have actually won only twice in the last 44 years. This time around, they’re among the favourites, with holders Liverpool knocked out and the likes of Manchester City and Barcelona showing clear weaknesses in their domestic campaigns in failing to win their respective league titles.
They have a three goal lead coming into the home leg of this tie against Chelsea too, but the Blues can’t be expected to give up the ghost too quickly at the Allianz Arena. The Blues have enjoyed a progressive first campaign under the tutelage of Frank Lampard, earning a top four finish and being runners-up in the FA Cup , but haven’t yet tasted silverware under him as a manager.
Having lost four of their 13 games following the end of lockdown, including the FA Cup Final against London rivals Arsenal, it’s fair to say the Premier League outfit haven’t quite been at their best of late. To overcome a three goal deficit, away from home, against one of Europe’s top clubs? That’s likely to be a bridge too far this time around.
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Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Predictions
Squawka Stat: Bayern Munich have kept three clean sheets in their last four Champions League matches.
Bayern Munich’s much-vaunted attack includes the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Müller, but perhaps their equally impressive defence doesn’t get as much praise as it deserves as a result.
With Manuel Neuer between the sticks, die Roten are often very difficult to break down and they’ve kept three clean sheets in their last four games, including one in the reverse of this fixture at Stamford Bridge. They kept the joint-highest amount of clean sheets in Germany’s Bundesliga this season too with a total of 15.
Only half of Chelsea’s last five matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet and if they failed to get an early goal here, the match could fizzle out somewhat with Bayern already having a firm grip on the scoreline.
Even if the Blues do get on the scoresheet, we expect the hosts to then sit back and look to soak up the pressure that will inevitably come their way, so it’s likely that at least one of these teams will fail to find the net and the odds of 7/5 offer great value at the Allianz Arena.
Bayern Munich’s shots conceded map for the whole of the Champions League this season shows how difficult they are to break down.
Squawka Stat: Robert Lewandowski has taken 35 shots at goal in six Champions League outings so far this season.
Only Mohamed Salah of Liverpool has taken more shots at goal in the Champions League so far this season than Bayern Munich’s Robert Lewandowski and with the Reds having been knocked out of the competition, just one shot on Saturday night will see the Poland star reach the top of that particular metric.
We’re expecting the ex-Borussia Dortmund man to manage more than one here though. His lethal attacking qualities make Lewandowski the target for all Bayern attacks and given that he is capable of scoring all types of goals, it’s no surprise to see him taking many shots at goal with a total of 35 in Europe so far this term.
Those 35 attempts have come in just six games, averaging out at a huge 5.83 shots per game and after getting on the scoresheet in the first-leg at Stamford Bridge many months ago now, the 31 year old will surely be confident enough to have a few more attempts at goal at the Allianz Arena on Saturday night.