AC Milan sit two points clear at the top of Serie A but an inferior goal-difference means they must win both their remaining games to claim their first league title since 2007. Atalanta are down in eighth but are level on points with Roma in sixth and can still qualify for the Europa League.
The hosts fought back from a goal down to claim a 3-1 road success at Verona last time out to make it three straight victories. The visitors kept alive their recent good form with a 3-1 win at Spezia to make it four without defeat.
At home, Milan have won five of their last eight and are unbeaten in nine with their last loss here coming on January 17th. On the road, Atalanta have won their last two and three of their last four.
A strong defence has helped Milan (who along with Inter and Napoli) have the strongest defence in Serie A having conceded just 31 times. Each of the last seven Atalanta matches have seen both teams net.
Rafael Leao is the leading scorer for the home team with ten goals while Sandro Tonali has three in his last three. Mario Pasalic is the leading goal getter for the visitors with 13 for the campaign and one in each of his last four.
AC Milan vs Atalanta: Match Stats
Atalanta games tend to involve goals with each of their last seven seeing both teams score and six going over 2.5 goals. Milan have also seen both teams score in two of their last three. The home team to win and both teams to net is the recommendation.
Sandro Tonali has three in his last three including a brace in the last fixture. He seems a player for the big occasion and he looks over-priced to net in this one against a team he has already scored against this season.