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NFL MVP Odds: Allen favoured as Rodgers bids for threepeat

By Squawka NFL

Published: 19:00, 3 June 2022

The Most Valuable Player (MVP) award is the most prestigious individual honour an NFL player can receive during his career, and the odds to win it each season are always a fascinating subplot.

Voted for by members of the Associated Press, the MVP award was introduced during the 1957 season and has been handed out every year since.

In 2021, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers was bestowed the honour for a second successive season – his fourth MVP award in total – and he will no doubt be one of the major contenders for the award again in 2022.

The NFL is a passing league these days, and as a result the MVP award has been dominated by quarterbacks in recent years – no surprise given their importance. Since the Millennium 19 of 23 winners – including when Peyton Manning and Steve McNair shared the honour in 2003 – have gone to the QB position.

The likeliest candidates in 2022 include the aforementioned Rodgers, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady, Los Angeles Ram Matthew Stafford, Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes, Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson.

Latest Odds to be NFL MVP in 2022

Josh Allen currently heads the odds to be NFL MVP in 2022 – the Buffalo Bills signal caller is an exceptional talent who can beat you with both his arm and his legs. His natural athletic talent has taken the Bills from AFC East basement dwellers to division winners and Super Bowl favourites.

Allen was runner-up in 2020 when he received four of the 50 votes available. Others near the top of the market include two-time winner Mahomes, three-time winner Brady and four-time winner Rodgers.

The most fancied non-QB is Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor, who enjoyed a stellar season in 2021.

Leading contenders for the 2022 NFL MVP award*:

  • 7/1 Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills)
  • 15/2 Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs)
  • 8/1 Tom Brady (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
  • 9/1 Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 9/1 Justin Herbert (QB, Los Angeles Chargers) –
  • 11/1 Joe Burrow (QB, Cincinnati Bengals)
  • 12/1 Russell Wilson (QB, Denver Broncos)
  • 12/1 Matthew Stafford (QB, Los Angeles Rams)
  • 14/1 Kyler Murray (QB, Arizona Cardinals)
  • 16/1 Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys)
  • 20/1 Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)
  • 28/1 Deshaun Watson (QB, Cleveland Browns)
  • 40/1 Derek Carr (QB, Las Vegas Raiders)
  • 40/1 Jalen Hurts (QB, Philadelphia Eagles)
  • 40/1 Jonathan Taylor (RB, Indianapolis Colts)

*Odds from Sky Bet as of 02/06/22 @ 12:30 BST

18+ only. New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

NFL MVP race: The leading contenders

Josh Allen (QB, Buffalo Bills): Allen is an electrifying talent – an exceptional athlete with mobility, power, and a phenomenal throwing arm. He is also getting better as he unlocks more of his potential. The Bills finished 3rd in points per game last season, and with the same weapons returning, Allen is a solid shout for MVP.

Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs): No quarterback thrills fans like Patrick Mahomes – he is a former MVP and a gunslinging, home-run hitting phenom at the controls of Andy Reid’s offense. The Chiefs quarterback threw 37 touchdowns in 2021 and helped guide the Chiefs to the AFC Championship Game. Mahomes is another quarterback who is getting better, and he could pick up another MVP.

Tom Brady (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers): After one of the shortest retirements in league history, Tom Brady is back, and the band is together again in Tampa Bay. TB12 showed no sign of decline last season, and he led the league in big-time throws. With more input on offense and a talented supporting cast, Brady will factor into MVP voting in 2022.

Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers): The reigning MVP will bid for a threepeat in 2022. Rodgers remains the best quarterback in the NFL, and he plays in an ingenious offense under head coach Matt LaFleur. While Davante Adams’ departure may hurt Rodgers’ production, the enigmatic star is the best there is with a golden arm. He threw 37 touchdowns vs four interceptions in 2021 and remains the man to beat.

Justin Herbert (QB, Los Angeles Chargers): Herbert owns all the physical and mental tools to be an MVP of the future. Last year, the shaggy-haired superstar finished 3rd in total QBR and should be even more confident in a second year with offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi. If Herbert helps the Chargers to the playoffs, a first MVP award could be his.

Joe Burrow (QB, Cincinnati Bengals): Ice cool Joe Burrow led the Bengals to a Super Bowl appearance last season, and the 25-year-old’s poise and precision could land him an MVP award. Burrow and the talented skill players around him make for one of the best offences in the NFL. With a re-tooled offensive line in tow, Burrow is good enough to win.

Russell Wilson (QB, Denver Broncos): Wilson and the Denver Broncos sound like a match made in heaven. Not since Peyton Manning has Denver had a quarterback this talented, and Wilson now plays with a star-studded set of weapons to throw to. The veteran has never received an MVP vote in his career, but there are no excuses this year.

Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens): The unanimous MVP from 2019 will want to return to that kind of form after an injury-hit 2021 season. Furthermore, Jackson is in a contract year, and the Ravens have not attempted to sign him up long-term as yet. Subsequently, the ex-Louisville Cardinal will be even more motivated to play at his best level.

Jonathan Taylor (RB, Indianapolis Colts): Built like something off a NASCAR grid but fast like an Indycar, Jonathan Taylor is a bruising back who is the mainstay of the Indy offense. Taylor led the league in rushing yardage last year, and the Colts will call his number often again in 2022. If Taylor can vault the 2,000-yard-mark in 2022, he’ll enter the MVP conversation.

Cooper Kupp (WR, Los Angeles Rams): The Super Bowl MVP and Offensive Player Of The Year (OPOY) in 2021, Cooper Kupp enjoyed the greatest wide receiver season in NFL history. Another offseason working with quarterback Matthew Stafford should hone their telepathic understanding to another level. Kupp could break more records in 2022 and continue to redefine the WR position.

When will the NFL MVP be announced?

The NFL will announce the 2022 MVP during the build-up to Super Bowl XVII in Glendale, Arizona. The league holds its annual awards gala on the Thursday before the Super Bowl. This season, it falls on Thursday February 9, 2023.

The awards show is now broadcast on free-to-air television and is often hosted by a celebrity actor or comedian. Various other awards get handed out on the night, such as Rookie of The Year, Coach of The Year, and the coveted Walter Payton Man of The Year award.

Who won NFL MVP?

The first NFL MVP was awarded in 1938. Known as the Joe F Carr Trophy, Mel Hein was the first recipient. The maiden AP NFL MVP Award went to fullback Jim Brown in 1957. Since then, the AP MVP voting has become the standard bearer in MVP awards. The first quarterback to win MVP was Johnny Unitas in 1959.

On 48 occasions, quarterbacks have accepted the honour, while just 19-non quarterbacks have won. Of the 19, 16 were running backs or fullbacks. Defenders Lawrence Taylor and Alan Page and kicker Mark Moseley are the only non-offensive players to win MVP.

With the NFL now a pass-heavy league, the award is skewed more than ever to quarterbacks. Superstar signal-callers are now the NFL’s omnipresent beings, and it is no surprise that of the last 10 MVP awards, 9 have gone to quarterbacks.

Last 10 NFL MVPs:

  • 2021 – Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 2020 – Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 2019 – Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)
  • 2018 – Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs)
  • 2017 – Tom Brady (QB, New England Patriots)
  • 2016 – Matt Ryan (QB, Atlanta Falcons)
  • 2015 – Cam Newton (QB, Carolina Panthers)
  • 2014- Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)
  • 2013 – Peyton Manning (QB, Denver Broncos)
  • 2012 – Adrian Peterson (RB, Minnesota Vikings)

Why do they call it MVP?

MVP stands for Most Valuable Player. Controversy often surrounds the title’s wording and whether for example non-quarterbacks such as Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry are more valuable to their teams’ respective success. However, recent history suggests that it goes to the best quarterback in the league.

Who votes for NFL MVP?

Various associations have had their own version of the NFL MVP award; Sporting News, United Press Institute, and the Newspaper Enterprise Association for example. However, the Associated Press (AP) started its voting process in 1957 and quickly became the de facto award. A total of 50 sportswriters, including storied NFL scribes such as Peter King and Albert Breer, make up the voting body. The NFL chooses the voters, and voters cannot work for the league itself.

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