NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 5

By Squawka NFL

Published: 20:35, 6 October 2021

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) are favored by 1 point as they try to end their three-game losing streak in a matchup against the Denver Broncos (3-1) on Sunday, October 10, 2021 at Heinz Field. The over/under is set at 39.5 points for the outing.

Steelers vs Broncos predictions

Computer predictions for Steelers vs Broncos
ATS Total Score prediction
Broncos (+1) Under (39.5) Broncos 20 Steelers 16

Last 3 results

Steelers Recent Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh has not covered the spread and is 0-3 overall over its past three contests.
  • In its past three contests, Pittsburgh has not hit the over.
  • The Steelers total over the last three games is 5.2 points more than the 39.5 total listed for this matchup.

Broncos recent betting insights

  • Denver has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, over its last three games.
  • In its past three contests, Denver has not hit the over.
  • The Broncos and their opponents have combined to score an average of 43.7 combined points in their last three games, 4.2 more than the 39.5 over/under in this matchup.

Steelers vs Broncos head-to-head

Denver has a 3-2 advantage over Pittsburgh in the last five matchups between these two squads. The Broncos are 1-0 against the spread in those games against the Steelers while the two teams went over the total in that game. Denver has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, totaling 126 points while Pittsburgh scored 112.

Steelers vs Broncos betting odds

Steelers vs Broncos Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Steelers -1 -110 -110 39.5 -115 -105

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Steelers vs Broncos betting insights

Steelers trends

  • Pittsburgh has put together a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Steelers are winless against the spread when they have played as 1-point favorites or more (0-2).
  • Pittsburgh’s games have yet to go over the total once this season.
  • The Steelers put up 4.5 more points per game (16.8) than the Broncos allow (12.3).
  • Pittsburgh is 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall this season when the team scores more than 12.3 points.
  • The Steelers collect 34.0 more yards per game (301.8) than the Broncos give up per outing (267.8).
  • When Pittsburgh piles up over 267.8 yards, the team is 0-3 against the spread and 0-3 overall.

Broncos trends

  • Denver is 3-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • This season, Denver’s games have yet to hit the over once.
  • The Broncos score just 2.5 fewer points per game (20.8) than the Steelers give up (23.3).
  • When Denver puts up more than 23.3 points, it is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall.
  • The Broncos collect just 4.0 fewer yards per game (353.8) than the Steelers allow (357.8).
  • When Denver piles up over 357.8 yards, the team is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Steelers and Broncos
Steelers Stats Broncos
258.3 Pass yards 251.3
268.0 Pass yards against 215.3
55.3 Rush yards 121.8
99.0 Rush yards against 70.0
-2 Turnover differential +2

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Player betting tips

Steelers top players

  • Ben Roethlisberger has 1,033 yards through the air (258.3 per game) and a 64.1% completion percentage (109-for-170), flinging four touchdown passes and four interceptions.
  • Roethlisberger has had a passing touchdown in all four games this year, but no games with more than one passing TD.
  • Najee Harris has taken 55 carries for a team-leading 185 rushing yards (46.3 YPG) and one touchdown. He’s also reeled in 26 passes for 178 yards with one touchdown through the air, leading his team in receiving yards as well.
  • Harris has had a rushing touchdown in one game this season, but no games with multiple rushing TDs.
  • Diontae Johnson has grabbed 23 passes for a team best 233 yards plus two touchdowns. He averages 58.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Johnson has had a receiving touchdown in two of four games this year, but he has not scored multiple receiving TDs in a game.

Broncos top players

  • Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 892 yards while completing 72.1% of his passes, with five touchdowns and zero interceptions (223.0 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 12 times for 46 yards.
  • Melvin Gordon III has rushed for a team-leading 248 yards on 51 attempts (62.0 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns. He also averages 21.8 receiving yards per game, grabbing eight passes for 87 yards.
  • Javonte Williams has run for 186 yards on 46 carries (46.5 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground.
  • Courtland Sutton has 18 catches (28 targets) and paces his team with 257 receiving yards (64.3 per game).
  • Tim Patrick has been targeted 19 times, and tacked on 213 yards (on 15 catches) and two touchdowns.
  • Noah Fant has caught 18 passes on 27 targets for 156 yards and two touchdowns.

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