Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 10

By Squawka NFL

Published: 10:23, 11 November 2021

The Miami Dolphins (2-7) are 7.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Thursday, November 11, 2021 against the Baltimore Ravens (6-2). This game has an over/under of 46.5 points.

Ravens vs Dolphins predictions

Squawka predictions for Ravens vs Dolphins
ATS Total Score prediction
Dolphins (+7.5) Over (46.5) Ravens 27 Dolphins 21

Last three results

Ravens recent betting insights

  • In its last three contests, Baltimore has one win against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Baltimore has hit the over twice in its past three games.
  • The Ravens total over the last three games is 3.2 points more than the 46.5 total given for this matchup.

Dolphins recent betting insights

  • Miami has covered the spread twice, and is 1-2 overall, in its last three games.
  • In its past three contests, Miami has hit the over once.
  • The Dolphins have averaged a total of 46.8 combined points over their last three games, 0.3 greater than this matchup’s over/under of 46.5.

Ravens vs Dolphins head-to-head

In the past five meetings between these two teams, Baltimore holds a 4-1 advantage over Miami. Baltimore outscored Miami 178-44 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Ravens vs Dolphins betting odds

Ravens vs Dolphins betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Ravens -7.5 -105 -115 46.5 -110 -110

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Ravens vs Dolphins betting insights

Ravens trends

  • Baltimore is 3-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Ravens have not covered the spread (0-2) when they are at least 7.5-point favorites.
  • This season, Baltimore’s games have hit the over five times.
  • This year, the Ravens rack up just 0.7 more points per game (27.6) than the Dolphins give up (26.9).
  • Baltimore is 2-3 against the spread and 4-1 overall this season when the team puts up more than 26.9 points.
  • The Ravens average 36.0 more yards per game (427.9) than the Dolphins give up per matchup (391.9).
  • Baltimore is 2-4 against the spread and 4-2 overall when the team amasses more than 391.9 yards.

Dolphins trends

  • Miami has covered the spread four times this season (4-4-1).
  • The Dolphins have not covered a spread (0-1-1) when they are at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total four times this year.
  • The Dolphins put up 7.2 fewer points per game (17.2) than the Ravens allow (24.4).
  • Miami is 2-0 against the spread and 0-2 overall when the team puts up more than 24.4 points.
  • The Dolphins average 76.9 fewer yards per game (297.4) than the Ravens allow per contest (374.3).
  • In games that Miami amasses over 374.3 yards, the team is 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Ravens and Dolphins
Ravens Stats Dolphins
281.0 Pass yards 240.8
296.6 Pass yards against 296.7
161.6 Rush yards 75.1
91.8 Rush yards against 111.0
-3 Turnover differential -5

Player betting tips

Ravens top players

  • Lamar Jackson has 2,209 passing yards (276.1 per game) and a 65% completion percentage (173-for-266) while throwing 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He also leads his team with 600 yards on the ground on 97 carries (plus two touchdowns), averaging 75.0 YPG.
  • Jackson has had a passing touchdown in all eight games this year, with multiple passing TDs in two of them.
  • Jackson has scored multiple touchdowns on the ground once this year, but that was his only game with a rushing score.
  • Marquise Brown has 46 catches (69 targets) and paces his team with 682 receiving yards (85.3 ypg) and six touchdowns.
  • Brown has had a receiving touchdown in five of eight games this year, and multiple receiving TDs once.
Select player props for the Baltimore Ravens
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Lamar Jackson 229.5 (-112) 63.5 (-117)
Marquise Brown 56.5 (-122)

Dolphins top players

  • This campaign, Jacoby Brissett has racked up 1,127 passing yards (125.2 per game) while completing 130 of 202 passes (64.4%), with five touchdowns and four interceptions.
  • Myles Gaskin has ran for a team-leading 313 yards on 86 attempts (34.8 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown. He also averages 20.9 receiving yards per game, grabbing 37 passes for a team-high 188 yards and three touchdowns.
  • Salvon Ahmed has 103 yards on 39 carries (11.4 yards per game).
  • This season Mike Gesicki has 44 receptions for a team-high 529 yards (58.8 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Waddle has also added 56 catches for 496 yards and three touchdowns this season. He has been targeted 78 times, and puts up 55.1 receiving yards.
Select player props for the Miami Dolphins
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Myles Gaskin 41.5 (-114) 22.5 (-112)
Mike Gesicki 54.5 (-118)


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