Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 9

By Squawka NFL

Published: 12:39, 4 November 2021

The Miami Dolphins (1-7), who have lost seven games in a row, are 6.5-point favorites against the Houston Texans (1-7), losers of seven straight, on Sunday, November 7, 2021 at Hard Rock Stadium. The game has an over/under of 46.5 points.

Dolphins vs Texans predictions

Squawka predictions for Dolphins vs Texans
ATS Total Score prediction
Texans (+6.5) Under (46.5) Dolphins 26 Texans 20

Last three results

Dolphins recent betting insights

  • Over its last three contests, Miami has one win against the spread, and is 0-3 overall.
  • Miami has gone over the total once in its past three games.
  • The Dolphins have averaged a total of 47.8 combined points in their last three games, 1.3 greater than this game’s total of 46.5.

Texans recent betting insights

  • In its past three contests, Houston has one win against the spread, and is 0-3 overall.
  • Houston has gone over the total once in its past three games.
  • The Texans and their opponents have combined to score an average of 46.5 combined points over their last three games, identical to the over/under posted in this matchup.

Dolphins vs Texans head-to-head

Houston has a 4-1 advantage over Miami in the past five matchups between these two teams. Houston has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 148 points while Miami put up 110.

Dolphins vs Texans betting odds

Dolphins vs Texans betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Dolphins -6.5 -115 -105 46.5 -110 -110

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Dolphins vs Texans betting insights

Dolphins trends

  • Miami has covered the spread three times this season (3-4-1).
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total four times this season.
  • The Dolphins put up 12.8 fewer points per game (17.3) than the Texans surrender (30.1).
  • The Dolphins rack up 301.9 yards per game, 99.5 fewer yards than the 401.4 the Texans give up per contest.
  • In games that Miami totals more than 401.4 yards, the team is 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall.

Texans trends

  • Houston has put together a record of 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games they were an underdog in by 6.5 points or more so far this year, the Texans went 3-4 against the spread.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total four times this year.
  • This year the Texans score 14.2 fewer points per game (14.9) than the Dolphins allow (29.1).
  • The Texans rack up 125.8 fewer yards per game (281.1) than the Dolphins give up (406.9).

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Dolphins and Texans
Dolphins Stats Texans
240.4 Pass yards 221.6
303.8 Pass yards against 266.3
78.6 Rush yards 76.1
115.8 Rush yards against 148.1
-4 Turnover differential -4

How to live stream Dolphins vs Texans online

Bet365* are streaming a selection of games during the NFL 2021 season live for account holders. Those interested in watching NFL games live online can take advantage of this service by following the simple steps below.

  • Click on this link.
  • ‘Register’ and enter details.
  • Log in and fund your account.
  • Navigate to the ‘Live’ option at the top of the homepage and select your desired event with a play symbol next to it.

Player betting tips

Dolphins top players

  • Tua Tagovailoa has 1,040 passing yards (208.0 per game) and a 65.6% completion percentage (103-for-157), heaving seven touchdown passes and five interceptions. He also has 62 rushing yards on 15 carries (with two touchdowns).
  • Tagovailoa has had a passing touchdown in three of five games this year, with multiple passing TDs in two of them.
  • Myles Gaskin has churned out a team-leading 279 rushing yards (34.9 per game) and zero scores. He has added 31 receptions for 165 yards and three TDs.
  • Gaskin has had no rushing touchdowns in eight games this year.
  • Mike Gesicki has hauled in 40 receptions for 475 yards, best on his team, and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 55 times, and averages 59.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Gesicki has had a touchdown catch twice this season, out of eight games played, but he did not have multiple TD receptions in either of those games.
Select player props for the Miami Dolphins
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Tua Tagovailoa 234.5 (-116) 13.5 (-115)
Myles Gaskin 41.5 (-112) 22.5 (-117)
Mike Gesicki 48.5 (-116)

Texans top players

  • Davis Mills has thrown for 1,357 yards while completing 67% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and eight interceptions (169.6 yards per game).
  • David Johnson has run for a team-leading 108 yards on 29 attempts (13.5 yards per game). He also averages 19.1 receiving yards per game, grabbing 20 passes for 153 yards and one touchdown.
  • Phillip Lindsay has 105 yards on 41 carries (13.1 yards per game), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Brandin Cooks has been targeted 70 times and has 51 catches, leading his team with 585 yards (73.1 per game) while hauling in two touchdowns.
  • Jordan Akins’ stat line this year shows 19 catches for 177 yards. He puts up 22.1 receiving yards per game.
  • Nico Collins has caught 12 passes on 19 targets for 166 yards, averaging 33.2 yards per game.
Select player props for the Houston Texans
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Davis Mills 209.5 (-114) 1.5 (+117) 4.5 (-121)
David Johnson 32.5 (-109) 23.5 (-118)
Brandin Cooks 67.5 (-118)


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