Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 6

By Squawka NFL

Published: 12:31, 14 October 2021

Oddsmakers give the Dallas Cowboys (4-1) a reasonable chance to keep their four-game winning streak going, as they are favored by 4 points in a matchup against the New England Patriots (2-3) on Sunday, October 17, 2021 at Gillette Stadium. The total for this game has been set at 52 points.

Cowboys vs Patriots predictions

Squawka predictions for Cowboys vs Patriots
ATS Total Score prediction
Cowboys (-4) Under (52) Cowboys 31 Patriots 17

Last 3 results

Cowboys Recent Betting Insights

  • Over its last three games, Dallas has covered the spread each time, and is 3-0 overall.
  • Dallas’ past three contests have gone over the total.
  • The Cowboys and their opponents have combined to score an average of 51.8 points over their last three games, 0.2 less than the 52 over/under in this matchup.

Patriots recent betting insights

  • New England has one win against the spread, and is 1-2 overall, in its past three games.
  • New England has hit the over once in its past three games.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to score an average of 44.0 combined points in their last three games, 8.0 less than the 52 over/under in this matchup.

Cowboys vs Patriots head-to-head

In the last five matchups between these two squads, New England holds the edge with a 5-0 record over Dallas. New England outscored Dallas 123-58 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Cowboys vs Patriots betting odds

Cowboys vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Cowboys -4 -110 -110 52 -110 -110

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Cowboys vs Patriots betting insights

Cowboys trends

  • Dallas is a perfect 5-0-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Cowboys are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 4-point favorites.
  • Dallas games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season.
  • This year, the Cowboys rack up 15.6 more points per game (34.0) than the Patriots give up (18.4).
  • Dallas is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 overall this season when the team scores more than 18.4 points.
  • The Cowboys rack up 439.6 yards per game, 122.0 more yards than the 317.6 the Patriots give up per contest.
  • In games that Dallas picks up more than 317.6 yards, the team is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 overall.

Patriots trends

  • New England has covered the spread two times over five games with a set spread.
  • The Patriots are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
  • This year, New England’s games have hit the over once.
  • This season the Patriots put up 4.2 fewer points per game (19.2) than the Cowboys allow (23.4).
  • When New England records more than 23.4 points, it is 1-1 against the spread and 2-0 overall.
  • The Patriots collect 70.6 fewer yards per game (319.8) than the Cowboys give up per matchup (390.4).

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Cowboys and Patriots
Cowboys Stats Patriots
278.0 Pass yards 257.6
327.6 Pass yards against 224.2
172.8 Rush yards 80.0
79.4 Rush yards against 111.0
+7 Turnover differential -3

How to live stream Cowboys vs Patriots online

Bet365* are streaming a selection of games during the NFL 2021 season live for account holders. Those interested in watching NFL games live online can take advantage of this service by following the simple steps below.

  • Click on this link.
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*Geo restrictions apply, 18+ only, must have a funded account or placed a bet in the last 24 hours, BeGambleAware. All odds and offers within this article are accurate at the time of publication.

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Player betting tips

Cowboys top players

  • Dak Prescott has 1,368 passing yards (273.6 per game) and a 73.9% completion percentage (122-for-165), pitching 13 touchdown passes and three interceptions. He also has 60 rushing yards on 19 attempts .
  • Prescott has had a passing touchdown in four of five games this season, with multiple passing TDs in four of them.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has taken 85 carries for a team-high 452 rushing yards (90.4 YPG) and five touchdowns.
  • Elliott has had at least one trip to the end zone as a runner in four games this year, with multiple rushing TDs once.
  • CeeDee Lamb has 24 receptions for a team-high 348 yards (69.6 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Lamb has had a touchdown catch twice this year, out of five games played, but he did not have multiple TD receptions in either of those games.

Patriots top players

  • This year Mac Jones has put up 1,243 passing yards (248.6 per game) while going 135-for-190 (71.1%) and throwing for five touchdowns with five interceptions.
  • Damien Harris has 63 carries for a team-high 230 rushing yards (46.0 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Jakobi Meyers has hauled in 31 passes for a team-high 302 yards. He has been targeted 46 times, and averages 60.4 yards per game.
  • Hunter Henry has hauled in 20 catches for 216 yards (43.2 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Kendrick Bourne is averaging 41.4 receiving yards per game, racking up 17 receptions (22 targets) for 207 yards and one touchdown.


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