NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 15

By Squawka NFL

Published: 14:19, 16 December 2021

The New England Patriots (9-4) are an underdog by just 2.5 points as they try to keep their seven-game winning streak alive in a matchup with the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) on Saturday, December 18, 2021 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The game has an over/under of 45 points.

Colts vs Patriots predictions

Squawka predictions for Colts vs Patriots
ATS Total Score prediction
Patriots (+2.5) Over (45) Patriots 24 Colts 23

Last three results

Colts recent betting insights

  • Indianapolis has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, in its past three games.
  • Indianapolis has hit the over twice in its past three contests.
  • The Colts have averaged a total of 49.2 combined points over their last three games, 4.2 greater than this matchup’s over/under of 45.

Patriots recent betting insights

  • New England is unbeaten against the spread and 3-0 overall in its last three contests.
  • New England has hit the over once in its past three contests.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to score an average of 43.3 combined points in their last three games, 1.7 less than the 45 over/under in this matchup.

Colts vs Patriots head-to-head

In the last five meetings between these two teams, New England holds the edge with a 5-0 record over Indianapolis. New England has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, recording 202 points while Indianapolis put up 100.

Colts vs Patriots betting odds

Colts vs Patriots betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Colts -2.5 -110 -110 45 -110 -110

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Colts vs Patriots betting insights

Colts trends

  • Indianapolis has covered the spread eight times this season (8-5-0).
  • In games this season when favored by 2.5 points or more, the Colts have gone 3-2 against the spread.
  • This season, eight of Indianapolis’ games have gone over the point total.
  • The Colts score 28.5 points per game, 13.1 more than the Patriots surrender per outing (15.4).
  • Indianapolis is 8-5 against the spread and 7-6 overall this season when the team scores more than 15.4 points.
  • The Colts average 58.1 more yards per game (368.1) than the Patriots allow per outing (310.0).
  • In games that Indianapolis totals more than 310.0 yards, the team is 7-2 against the spread and 5-4 overall.

Patriots trends

  • New England is 9-4-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Patriots have an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Games involving New England have hit the over six times this year.
  • This season the Patriots score 5.1 more points per game (26.9) than the Colts surrender (21.8).
  • New England is 7-2 against the spread and 8-1 overall in games when it records more than 21.8 points.
  • The Patriots rack up only 4.4 more yards per game (346.5) than the Colts give up (342.1).
  • New England is 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall when the team totals more than 342.1 yards.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Colts and Patriots
Colts Stats Patriots
228.7 Pass yards 238.7
244.7 Pass yards against 212.6
151.7 Rush yards 123.5
111.8 Rush yards against 114.5
+13 Turnover differential +10

 

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Player betting tips

Colts top players

  • Carson Wentz has put up 2,948 passing yards (226.8 per game) with a 63.3% completion percentage (266-for-420) while firing 22 touchdowns and five interceptions. He also has 167 rushing yards via 41 carries and one rushing touchdown.
  • Wentz has thrown for a touchdown 11 times this year in 13 games played, including multiple TD passes eight times.
  • Jonathan Taylor has churned out a team-leading 1,348 rushing yards (103.7 YPG) and scored 16 touchdowns. He has tacked on 36 catches for 336 yards (also a team high) with two receiving touchdowns.
  • In 10 games this year, Taylor has run for at least one touchdown, including four games with multiple rushing TDs.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has racked up 67 receptions for 882 yards, best on his team, and five touchdowns. He has been targeted 99 times, and averages 67.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Pittman has had a receiving touchdown in four of 13 games this season, and multiple receiving TDs once.
Select player props for the Indianapolis Colts
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Carson Wentz 236.5 (-115) 13.5 (-111)
Jonathan Taylor 97.5 (-116) 22.5 (-115)
Michael Pittman Jr. 2.5 (-105) 66.5 (-110)

Patriots top players

  • Mac Jones has 2,869 passing yards (220.7 per game) with a 70.3% completion percentage (270-for-384), throwing for 16 touchdowns with eight interceptions.
  • Damien Harris has 164 carries for a team-high 754 rushing yards (58.0 per game) and nine touchdowns.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has 429 yards on 100 carries (33.0 yards per game), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Kendrick Bourne has been targeted 53 times and has 42 catches, leading his team with 623 yards (47.9 per game) while also scoring five touchdowns.
  • Jakobi Meyers has tacked on 620 yards on 59 catches and one touchdown. He has been targeted 90 times and averages 47.7 receiving yards.
  • Nelson Agholor has caught 32 passes on 55 targets for 416 yards and three touchdowns.
Select player props for the New England Patriots
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Mac Jones 242.5 (-115) 6.5 (-112)
Damien Harris 46.5 (-116) 5.5 (-115)
Kendrick Bourne 0.5 (-140) 38.5 (-115)

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