Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 10

By Squawka NFL

Published: 10:40, 11 November 2021

Oddsmakers project a tight game when the Kansas City Chiefs (5-4) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (5-3) on Sunday, November 14, 2021 in a matchup between AFC West foes at Allegiant Stadium. Kansas City is favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is 51.5.

Chiefs vs Raiders predictions

Squawka predictions for Chiefs vs Raiders
ATS Total Score prediction
Raiders (+2.5) Under (51.5) Chiefs 26 Raiders 23

Last three results

Chiefs recent betting insights

  • Kansas City is winless against the spread and 2-1 overall over its last three games.
  • In its past three games, Kansas City has not hit the over.
  • The Chiefs have averaged a total of 53.0 combined points in their last three games, 1.5 greater than this game’s over/under of 51.5.

Raiders recent betting insights

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread twice, and is 2-1 overall, over its last three games.
  • Las Vegas has gone over the total twice in its past three contests.
  • The Raiders have averaged a total of 47.2 combined points over their last three games, 4.3 less than this game’s over/under of 51.5.

Chiefs vs Raiders head-to-head

Kansas City holds a 4-1 advantage over Las Vegas in the past five meetings between these two teams. The Raiders have a 2-0 record against the spread in those games against the Chiefs, with the two squads going over the point total both times. Kansas City outscored Las Vegas 142-83 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Chiefs vs Raiders betting odds

Chiefs vs Raiders betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chiefs -2.5 -115 -105 51.5 -110 -110

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Chiefs vs Raiders betting insights

Chiefs trends

  • Kansas City has covered the spread just two times in 10 games with a set spread.
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Chiefs have an ATS record of just 2-8.
  • This season, Kansas City’s games have hit the over four times out of 10 chances.
  • This year, the Chiefs score just 1.0 more point per game (24.6) than the Raiders allow (23.6).
  • Kansas City is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall this season when the team puts up more than 23.6 points.
  • The Chiefs rack up 52.9 more yards per game (393.3) than the Raiders give up per contest (340.4).
  • When Kansas City amasses more than 340.4 yards, the team is 2-6 against the spread and 4-3 overall.

Raiders trends

  • Las Vegas is 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Raiders are 3-1 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, Las Vegas’ games have hit the over four times.
  • This season the Raiders rack up just 0.7 fewer points per game (24.5) than the Chiefs surrender (25.2).
  • Las Vegas is 4-1 against the spread and 5-0 overall in games when it records more than 25.2 points.
  • The Raiders average only 13.1 more yards per game (394.5) than the Chiefs give up (381.4).
  • In games that Las Vegas totals over 381.4 yards, the team is 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Chiefs and Raiders
Chiefs Stats Raiders
290.7 Pass yards 320.6
270.1 Pass yards against 220.8
112.3 Rush yards 89.4
121.8 Rush yards against 133.5
-9 Turnover differential +2

Player betting tips

Chiefs top players

  • Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 2,534 yards (236-for-362), with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (281.6 YPG). He’s also run the ball 37 times for a team-high 227 yards and one touchdown, averaging 25.2 yards per game.
  • Mahomes has had a passing touchdown in eight of nine games this year, with multiple passing TDs in six of them.
  • Darrel Williams has picked up a team-leading 300 rushing yards (33.3 per game) and four scores. He has added 22 receptions for 170 yards .
  • Williams has had at least one trip to the end zone as a runner in three games this season, with multiple rushing TDs once.
  • Tyreek Hill has 68 receptions for a team-high 772 yards (85.8 per game) and six touchdowns.
  • Hill has had a receiving touchdown in four of nine games this season, and multiple receiving TDs once.

Raiders top players

  • Derek Carr has thrown for 2,565 yards while completing 67.3% of his passes, with 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions (320.6 yards per game).
  • Josh Jacobs has 73 carries for a team-high 280 rushing yards (35.0 per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 18 catches for 129 receiving yards .
  • Kenyan Drake has 190 yards on 46 carries (23.8 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns. He also has 24 catches for 257 yards and one touchdown.
  • Darren Waller has reeled in 40 passes for a team-high 470 yards and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 64 times, and averages 58.8 yards per game.
  • Hunter Renfrow has hauled in 45 catches for 448 yards (56.0 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Bryan Edwards has 346 receiving yards on 18 receptions (35 targets), with one touchdown.


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