Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 9

By Squawka NFL

Published: 12:50, 4 November 2021

The Green Bay Packers (7-1) will fight to keep their seven-game winning streak alive as they are 1-point underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs (4-4) on Sunday, November 7, 2021 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The total for this matchup has been set at 54 points.

Chiefs vs Packers predictions

Squawka predictions for Chiefs vs Packers
ATS Total Score prediction
Packers (+1) Under (54) Packers 27 Chiefs 22

Last three results

Chiefs recent betting insights

  • Kansas City has covered the spread once, and is 2-1 overall, over its past three contests.
  • Kansas City’s past three games have not gone over the total.
  • The Chiefs total over the last three games is 0.8 points more than the 54 over/under given for this matchup.

Packers recent betting insights

  • Green Bay is unbeaten against the spread and 3-0 overall over its last three games.
  • Green Bay has not hit the over in its past three games.
  • The Packers total over the last three games is 6.2 points fewer than the 54 total listed for this matchup.

Chiefs vs Packers head-to-head

Green Bay has an edge against Kansas City in the last five matchups between these two teams, collecting a 3-2 record in those games. Green Bay scored 150 points in those five outings compared to Kansas City’s 133.

Chiefs vs Packers betting odds

Chiefs vs Packers betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chiefs -1 -110 -110 54 -110 -110

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Chiefs vs Packers betting insights

Chiefs trends

  • Kansas City has covered the spread just two times in nine games with a set spread.
  • In games they have played as 1-point favorites or more, the Chiefs have an ATS record of just 2-7.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total four times out of nine chances this season.
  • This year, the Chiefs score 5.1 more points per game (26.0) than the Packers surrender (20.9).
  • Kansas City is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall this season when the team records more than 20.9 points.
  • The Chiefs average 412.9 yards per game, 81.1 more yards than the 331.8 the Packers allow per contest.
  • Kansas City is 2-7 against the spread and 4-4 overall when the team totals over 331.8 yards.

Packers trends

  • Green Bay has compiled a 7-1-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Packers are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
  • Games involving Green Bay have hit the over twice this year.
  • The Packers score 3.5 fewer points per game (24.0) than the Chiefs allow (27.5).
  • Green Bay is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall in games when it records more than 27.5 points.
  • The Packers collect 337.5 yards per game, 54.0 fewer yards than the 391.5 the Chiefs give up.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Chiefs and Packers
Chiefs Stats Packers
306.3 Pass yards 245.3
280.1 Pass yards against 235.4
116.8 Rush yards 108.1
121.8 Rush yards against 115.0
-11 Turnover differential

Player betting tips

Chiefs top players

  • Patrick Mahomes II has 2,368 passing yards (296.0 per game) and a 66.5% completion percentage (216-for-325) while throwing 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also leads his team with 229 yards on the ground on 35 carries (plus one touchdown), averaging 28.6 yards per game.
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown seven times this year in eight games played, including multiple TD passes six times.
  • Darrel Williams has taken 65 attempts for a team-high 230 rushing yards (28.8 per game) and four touchdowns. He’s also caught 19 passes for 163 yards .
  • Williams has had a rushing touchdown in three of eight games this season, including multiple rushing TDs once.
  • Tyreek Hill has 64 receptions for a team-high 735 yards (91.9 per game) and six touchdowns.
  • Hill has had a receiving touchdown in four of eight games this year, and multiple receiving TDs once.
Select player props for the Kansas City Chiefs
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Patrick Mahomes II 309.5 (-113) 24.5 (-110)
Darrel Williams 59.5 (-112) 17.5 (-117)
Tyreek Hill 6.5 (-102) 87.5 (-113)

Packers top players

  • Reigning NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers, who has 1,894 passing yards (236.8 per game) with a 67.1% completion percentage (173-for-258), throwing for 17 touchdowns with three interceptions, is inactive for Week 9, following a positive COVID-19..
  • Aaron Jones has churned out a team-high 463 rushing yards (57.9 per game) and scored three touchdowns. He has tacked on 33 catches for 237 yards, also tops on the team, with four receiving touchdowns.
  • A.J. Dillon has 309 yards on 68 carries (38.6 yards per game).
  • Randall Cobb has also contributed 17 catches for 194 yards and four touchdowns this year. He has been targeted 23 times, and puts up 24.3 receiving yards.
  • Allen Lazard is averaging 23.0 receiving yards per game, racking up 15 receptions (21 targets) for 184 yards and two touchdowns.
Select player props for the Green Bay Packers
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Jordan Love N/A N/A
Aaron Jones 63.5 (-119) 31.5 (-115)


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