NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 11

By Squawka NFL

Published: 10:24, 18 November 2021

The No. 1 team in the AFC West, the Kansas City Chiefs (6-4), are tight, 2.5-point favorites against the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys (7-2) on Sunday, November 21, 2021 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The over/under is set at 56.5.

Chiefs vs Cowboys predictions

Squawka predictions for Chiefs vs Cowboys
ATS Total Score prediction
Cowboys (+2.5) Under (56.5) Cowboys 27 Chiefs 24

Last three results

Chiefs recent betting insights

  • In its past three games, Kansas City has one win against the spread, and is 3-0 overall.
  • Kansas City has hit the over once in its past three games.
  • The Chiefs have averaged a total of 51.7 combined points over their last three games, 4.8 less than this matchup’s over/under of 56.5.

Cowboys recent betting insights

  • Dallas has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, over its last three contests.
  • Dallas’ past three contests have not hit the over.
  • The Cowboys have averaged a total of 51.5 combined points over their last three games, 5.0 fewer than this game’s over/under of 56.5.

Chiefs vs Cowboys head-to-head

In the last five matchups between these two teams, Dallas holds the edge with a 3-2 record over Kansas City. Dallas outscored Kansas City 118-102 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Chiefs vs Cowboys betting odds

Chiefs vs Cowboys betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chiefs -2.5 -110 -110 56.5 -110 -110

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Chiefs vs Cowboys betting insights

Chiefs trends

  • Kansas City has covered the spread in a matchup three times this season (3-8-0).
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 3-8.
  • This season, Kansas City’s games have hit the over five times out of 11 chances.
  • This year, the Chiefs score 4.5 more points per game (26.2) than the Cowboys allow (21.7).
  • Kansas City is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall in games when it records more than 21.7 points.
  • The Chiefs collect 51.6 more yards per game (405.6) than the Cowboys allow per matchup (354.0).
  • When Kansas City piles up more than 354.0 yards, the team is 3-6 against the spread and 5-3 overall.

Cowboys trends

  • Dallas has covered the spread eight times this season (8-1-0).
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point underdogs or more, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 3-0.
  • Games involving Dallas have hit the over five times this season.
  • This year the Cowboys average 7.5 more points per game (31.6) than the Chiefs surrender (24.1).
  • When Dallas puts up more than 24.1 points, it is 6-0 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • The Cowboys collect 60.7 more yards per game (433.9) than the Chiefs give up per matchup (373.2).
  • Dallas is 8-0 against the spread and 7-1 overall when the team piles up more than 373.2 yards.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Chiefs and Cowboys
Chiefs Stats Cowboys
303.8 Pass yards 304.9
269.2 Pass yards against 270.1
110.5 Rush yards 139.6
114.6 Rush yards against 101.2
-8 Turnover differential +5

 

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Player betting tips

Chiefs top players

  • Patrick Mahomes II has 2,940 passing yards (294.0 per game) and a 65.8% completion percentage (271-for-412) while tossing 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also leads his team with 227 rushing yards on 37 attempts (plus one touchdown), averaging 22.7 yards per game.
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown nine times this year in 10 games played, including multiple TD passes seven times.
  • Darrel Williams has churned out a team-best 343 rushing yards (34.3 per game) plus four touchdowns. He has tacked on 31 catches for 271 yards and one receiving touchdown.
  • Williams has rushed for at least one touchdown three times this season, including one game with multiple rushing TDs.
  • Tyreek Hill has been targeted 111 times and has 75 catches, leading his team with 855 yards (85.5 ypg) while also scoring eight touchdowns.
  • In five of 10 games this year, Hill has had a receiving touchdown (and two games with multiple TD catches).
Select player props for the Kansas City Chiefs
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Patrick Mahomes II 311.5 (-114) 20.5 (-110)
Darrel Williams 39.5 (-110) 17.5 (-106)
Tyreek Hill 4.5 (-125) 89.5 (-113)

Cowboys top players

  • Dak Prescott has passed for 2,341 yards (201-of-286), with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions (260.1 yards per game). He’s also rushed 26 times for 91 yards and one touchdown.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has taken 142 attempts for a team-leading 663 rushing yards (73.7 per game) while scoring seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 26 passes for 168 yards (18.7 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air.
  • Tony Pollard has rushed for 445 yards on 83 carries (49.4 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground. He also has 23 catches for 204 yards.
  • CeeDee Lamb has grabbed 47 passes for a team best 726 yards and six touchdowns. He has been targeted 73 times, and averages 80.7 yards per game.
  • Amari Cooper’s stat line this year reveals 44 catches for 583 yards and five touchdowns. He puts up 64.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Dalton Schultz is averaging 48.7 receiving yards per game, racking up 38 receptions (51 targets) for 438 yards and three touchdowns.
Select player props for the Dallas Cowboys
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Dak Prescott 297.5 (-115) 2.5 (+102) 17.5 (-120)
Ezekiel Elliott 75.5 (-118) 18.5 (-108)
CeeDee Lamb 1.5 (-136) 76.5 (-112)

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