American Football

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 3

By Squawka NFL

Published: 15:26, 23 September 2021

AFC West foes meet when the Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) host the Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) on Sunday, September 26, 2021 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City is favored by 6.5 points. The total for this matchup has been set at 55.5 points.

Chiefs vs Chargers predictions

Computer predictions for Chiefs vs Chargers
ATS Total Score prediction
Chiefs (-6.5) Under (55.5) Chiefs 55 Chargers -4

Chiefs vs Chargers head-to-head

Kansas City holds a 3-2 advantage over Los Angeles in the last five meetings between these two squads. In those games against the Chiefs, the Chargers have a 2-0 record against the spread with those games eclipsing the total on one occasion. Kansas City has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, scoring 127 points while Los Angeles notched 125.

Chiefs vs Chargers betting odds

Chiefs vs Chargers Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chiefs -6.5 -110 -110 55.5 -110 -110

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Chiefs vs Chargers betting insights

Chiefs trends

  • Kansas City’s record against the spread last season was 7-9-0.
  • The Chiefs went 4-8 as 6.5-point favorites or more last year.
  • In 16 Kansas City games last year, eight of them went over the total.
  • The Chiefs scored 29.6 points per game last year, 3.0 more than the Chargers gave up per contest (26.6).
  • When Kansas City scored over 26.6 points last year, it was 6-5 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
  • The Chiefs averaged 72.4 more yards per game (415.8) than the Chargers allowed per contest (343.4) last season.
  • When Kansas City amassed more than 343.4 yards last season, the team was 6-10 against the spread and 14-2 overall.

Chargers trends

  • Los Angeles covered the spread nine times in 16 games last season.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 6.5 points or more, the Chargers went 3-0 last season.
  • Los Angeles had nine of its 16 games hit the over last season.
  • Last season the Chargers racked up just 1.4 more points per game (24.0) than the Chiefs surrendered (22.6).
  • When Los Angeles recorded more than 22.6 points last year, it was 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 overall.
  • The Chargers collected 23.8 more yards per game (382.1) than the Chiefs gave up per outing (358.3) last season.
  • When Los Angeles picked up more than 358.3 yards last year, the team was 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2020 season stats for Chiefs and Chargers
Chiefs Stats Chargers
312.8 Pass yards 284.3
248.0 Pass yards against 232.2
112.4 Rush yards 111.5
122.1 Rush yards against 119.8
+6 Turnover differential +3

Player betting tips

Chiefs top players

  • Last season Patrick Mahomes II collected 4,740 passing yards (296.3 per game) while going 390-for-588 (66.3%) and throwing for 38 touchdowns with six interceptions. He tacked on 308 rushing yards on 62 carries with two touchdowns.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran for 803 yards on 181 attempts (50.2 yards per game) and scored four touchdowns a season ago. He also averaged 18.6 receiving yards per game, grabbing 36 passes for 297 yards and one touchdown.
  • Last year Jerick McKinnon rushed for 319 yards on 81 carries (19.9 yards per game), with five rushing touchdowns. McKinnon also helped out in the passing game, with 33 catches for 253 yards and one TD.
  • Travis Kelce reeled in 105 passes for 1,416 yards last season and scored 11 touchdowns. He was targeted 145 times, and averaged 88.5 receiving yards.
  • Tyreek Hill’s stat line last year showed 87 catches for 1,276 yards and 15 touchdowns. He put up 79.8 yards per game.
  • Mecole Hardman caught 41 passes for 560 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 35.0 yards per game.
  • Last season, Chris Jones racked up 7.5 sacks, 4.5 TFL and 49 tackles.
  • Daniel Sorensen’s 2020 campaign saw him total 114 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three interceptions.
  • Tyrann Mathieu intercepted six passes while adding 76 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and nine passes defended a season ago.
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Patrick Mahomes II 309.5 (-116) 16.5 (-121)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 59.5 (-117) 24.5 (-113)
Travis Kelce 88.5 (-112)

Chargers top players

  • Justin Herbert threw for 4,336 yards while completing 66.6% of his passes last season, with 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (271.0 yards per game). He also carried the ball 55 times for 234 yards and five TDs.
  • Austin Ekeler took 116 carries for 530 rushing yards a season ago (53.0 per game) and scored one touchdown. He also caught 54 passes for 403 yards with two TDs through the air.
  • Last year Joshua Kelley rushed for 354 yards on 111 carries (22.1 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Keenan Allen reeled in 100 passes for 992 yards last year and scored eight touchdowns. He was targeted 147 times, and averaged 62.0 yards per game.
  • Mike Williams’ stat line last season was 48 grabs for 756 yards and five touchdowns. He put up 47.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Jalen Guyton caught 28 passes on 55 targets for 511 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 31.9 receiving yards per game.
  • Joey Bosa showed out with an impressive stat line of 7.5 sacks, 14.5 TFL and 49 tackles.
  • Over the course of his 2020 campaign, Kenneth Murray totaled 146 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack.
  • Michael Davis intercepted three passes while adding 80 tackles, 2.5 TFL, and 14 passes defended a season ago.

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