NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 13

By Squawka NFL

Published: 14:45, 2 December 2021 | Updated: 11:18, 4 December 2021

The Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) are favored by 9.5 points as they look to keep their four-game winning streak intact in a matchup against the Denver Broncos (6-5) on Sunday, December 5, 2021 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The contest’s over/under is 49.5.

Chiefs vs Broncos predictions

Squawka predictions for Chiefs vs Broncos
ATS Total Score prediction
Broncos (+9.5) Under (49.5) Chiefs 26 Broncos 17

Last three results

Chiefs recent betting insights

  • Over its past three games, Kansas City has two wins against the spread, and is 3-0 overall.
  • In its past three contests, Kansas City has hit the over once.
  • The Chiefs’ scoring over their last three games is 3.0 points more than the 49.5 over/under given for this matchup.

Broncos recent betting insights

  • In its last three contests, Denver has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Denver has not hit the over in its past three contests.
  • The Broncos total over the last three games is 2.3 points fewer than the 49.5 total given for this matchup.

Chiefs vs Broncos head-to-head

Kansas City holds an edge against Denver in the past five meetings between these two squads, recording a 5-0 record in those games. The Chiefs and Broncos have split those games 1-1 against the spread with those games eclipsing the total on one occasion. Kansas City outscored Denver 148-64 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Chiefs vs Broncos betting odds

Chiefs vs Broncos betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chiefs -9.5 -110 -110 49.5 -110 -110

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Chiefs vs Broncos betting insights

Chiefs trends

  • Kansas City is 4-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs have yet to cover a spread (0-1) when they are at least 9.5-point favorites.
  • Kansas City games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times out of 12 chances this season.
  • The Chiefs score 25.5 points per game, 7.7 more than the Broncos give up per outing (17.8).
  • Kansas City is 4-6 against the spread and 6-3 overall in games when it scores more than 17.8 points.
  • The Chiefs average 71.6 more yards per game (402.4) than the Broncos allow per matchup (330.8).
  • In games that Kansas City amasses more than 330.8 yards, the team is 4-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

Broncos trends

  • Denver is 6-5-0 against the spread this year.
  • In games they have played as 9.5-point underdogs or more, the Broncos have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.
  • This season, Denver’s games have hit the over twice.
  • This year the Broncos score just 2.0 fewer points per game (20.7) than the Chiefs surrender (22.7).
  • Denver is 5-1 against the spread and 5-1 overall when the team records more than 22.7 points.
  • The Broncos collect 338.5 yards per game, 25.9 fewer yards than the 364.4 the Chiefs give up.
  • Denver is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall when the team piles up more than 364.4 yards.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Chiefs and Broncos
Chiefs Stats Broncos
299.8 Pass yards 241.5
264.4 Pass yards against 239.7
111.9 Rush yards 114.7
111.6 Rush yards against 106.6
-7 Turnover differential +1

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Player betting tips

Chiefs top players

  • This year Patrick Mahomes II has 3,200 passing yards (290.9 yards per game) while going 294-for-449 (65.5%) and connecting on 25 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. He has tacked on 238 rushing yards and one touchdown, averaging 21.6 yards per game.
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown nine times this year in 11 games played, including multiple TD passes seven times.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 77 carries for a team-best 367 rushing yards (61.2 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Edwards-Helaire has one rushing touchdown this year in six games played.
  • Tyreek Hill has racked up 84 receptions for 932 yards, best on his team, and eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 122 times, and averages 84.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Hill has had a touchdown catch five times this year, out of 11 games played, but had multiple TD receptions only twice.
Select player props for the Kansas City Chiefs
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Patrick Mahomes II 315.5 (-115) 19.5 (-113)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 58.5 (-117) 15.5 (-107)
Tyreek Hill 5.5 (-118) 84.5 (-118)

Broncos top players

  • This year Teddy Bridgewater has collected 2,518 passing yards (228.9 per game) while going 233-for-339 (68.7%) and throwing for 15 touchdowns with five interceptions.
  • Melvin Gordon III has racked up a team-high 605 rushing yards (55.0 per game) and scored five touchdowns. He has tacked on 22 catches for 166 yards with two receiving touchdowns.
  • Javonte Williams has 568 yards on 117 carries (51.6 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns. He also has 27 catches for 193 yards and one touchdown.
  • Courtland Sutton has been targeted 70 times and has 45 catches, leading his team with 634 yards (57.6 per game) while hauling in two touchdowns.
  • Tim Patrick has added 549 yards on 39 catches and four touchdowns. He has been targeted 56 times and averages 49.9 receiving yards.
  • Noah Fant has 391 receiving yards on 45 receptions (63 targets), with three touchdowns.
Select player props for the Denver Broncos
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Teddy Bridgewater 247.5 (-114) 10.5 (-115)
Melvin Gordon III 54.5 (-115) 10.5 (-123)
Courtland Sutton 49.5 (-118)

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