NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 8

By Squawka NFL

Published: 11:24, 28 October 2021

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) are less than a touchdown favorite (-6) on Sunday, October 31, 2021 against the New England Patriots (3-4). The over/under is set at 47.5.

Chargers vs Patriots predictions

Squawka predictions for Chargers vs Patriots
ATS Total Score prediction
Patriots (+6) Over (47.5) Chargers 27 Patriots 21

Last three results

Chargers recent betting insights

  • In its past three contests, Los Angeles has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Los Angeles has hit the over once in its past three contests.
  • The Chargers total over the last three games is 2.5 points more than the 47.5 total listed for this matchup.

Patriots recent betting insights

  • New England has covered the spread once, and is 2-1 overall, in its last three games.
  • In its past three games, New England has hit the over.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have combined to score an average of 44.2 combined points in their last three games, 3.3 less than the 47.5 over/under in this matchup.

Chargers vs Patriots head-to-head

New England holds an edge against Los Angeles over the last five meetings between these two squads, collecting a 5-0 record in those games. The Patriots are 1-0 against the spread in those games against the Chargers while the two teams haven’t managed to go over the total. New England has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 142 points while Los Angeles notched 62.

Chargers vs Patriots betting odds

Chargers vs Patriots betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Chargers -6 -110 -110 47.5 -110 -110

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Chargers vs Patriots betting insights

Chargers trends

  • Los Angeles has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-2-0).
  • Games involving Los Angeles have hit the over once this season.
  • This year, the Chargers rack up 4.7 more points per game (24.7) than the Patriots allow (20.0).
  • Los Angeles is 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall this season when the team records more than 20.0 points.
  • The Chargers average 377.5 yards per game, 26.9 more yards than the 350.6 the Patriots give up per contest.
  • In games that Los Angeles amasses more than 350.6 yards, the team is 4-1 against the spread and 4-1 overall.

Patriots trends

  • New England has covered the spread three times over seven games with a set spread.
  • The Patriots are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
  • This year, three of New England’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Patriots average 25.6 points per game, comparable to the 25.0 the Chargers surrender.
  • When New England puts up more than 25.0 points, it is 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • The Patriots average 355.0 yards per game, only 9.3 fewer than the 364.3 the Chargers allow.
  • In games that New England picks up more than 364.3 yards, the team is 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Chargers and Patriots
Chargers Stats Patriots
295.2 Pass yards 275.4
216.7 Pass yards against 259.9
94.7 Rush yards 95.4
162.5 Rush yards against 105.6
+3 Turnover differential 0

Player betting tips

Chargers top players

  • Justin Herbert has 1,771 passing yards (295.2 per game) and a 65.4% completion percentage (161-for-246) while firing 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. He also leads his team with 72 yards on the ground on 21 attempts (plus one touchdown), averaging 12.0 YPG.
  • Herbert has had a passing touchdown in all six games this season, with multiple passing TDs in three of them.
  • Austin Ekeler has picked up a team-leading 356 rushing yards (59.3 YPG) and racked up four touchdowns. He has added 27 catches for 242 yards (also a team high) with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Ekeler has had at least one trip to the end zone as a runner in three games this season, with multiple rushing TDs once.
  • Mike Williams has reeled in 33 passes for a team best 498 yards and six touchdowns. He averages 83.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Williams has had a touchdown catch four times this year, out of six games played, but had multiple TD receptions only twice.
Select player props for the Los Angeles Chargers
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Justin Herbert 282.5 (-114) 2.5 (+113) 17.5 (-115)
Austin Ekeler 57.5 (-116) 42.5 (-119)
Mike Williams 77.5 (-115)

Patriots top players

  • This year Mac Jones has recorded 1,779 passing yards (254.1 per game) while going 174-for-247 (70.4%) and throwing for nine touchdowns with six interceptions.
  • Damien Harris has racked up a team-best 437 rushing yards (62.4 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for 48 yards on 17 carries (6.9 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground.
  • Jakobi Meyers has reeled in 41 passes for a team best 390 yards. He has been targeted 59 times, and averages 55.7 yards per game.
  • Kendrick Bourne’s stat line this year shows 22 catches for 350 yards and two touchdowns. He puts up 50.0 receiving yards per game.
  • Nelson Agholor has totaled 275 yards on 19 receptions with two touchdowns, averaging 39.3 yards per game.
Select player props for the New England Patriots
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Mac Jones 251.5 (-114) 5.5 (-127)
Damien Harris 74.5 (-115) 6.5 (-120)
Jakobi Meyers 1.5 (+122) 57.5 (-112)

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