NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 15

By Squawka NFL

Published: 14:30, 16 December 2021

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-3) bring a four-game winning streak into a matchup with the New Orleans Saints (6-7) on Sunday, December 19, 2021 at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay is a 10-point favorite in the contest. A 46.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Buccaneers vs Saints predictions

Squawka predictions for Buccaneers vs Saints
ATS Total Score prediction
Buccaneers (-10) Over (46.5) Buccaneers 31 Saints 19

Last three results

Buccaneers recent betting insights

  • Tampa Bay has covered the spread in its past three contests, and went 3-0 overall.
  • In Tampa Bay’s past three games, it has gone over the total twice.
  • The Buccaneers and their opponents have combined to score an average of 52.5 points over their last three games, 6.0 more than the 46.5 over/under in this matchup.

Saints recent betting insights

  • In its last three games, New Orleans has one win against the spread, and is 1-2 overall.
  • New Orleans’ past three contests have not gone over the total.
  • The Saints have averaged a total of 44.0 combined points in their last three games, 2.5 less than this matchup’s over/under of 46.5.

Buccaneers vs Saints head-to-head

New Orleans holds an edge against Tampa Bay in the last five matchups between these two squads, putting together a 4-1 record in those games. The Saints are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Buccaneers while the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion. New Orleans has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 157 points while Tampa Bay scored 97.

Buccaneers vs Saints betting odds

Buccaneers vs Saints betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Buccaneers -10 -115 -105 46.5 -110 -110

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Buccaneers vs Saints betting insights

Buccaneers trends

  • Tampa Bay has covered the spread seven times over 13 games with a set spread.
  • The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS when playing as at least 10-point favorites.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay have hit the over seven times this season.
  • The Buccaneers put up 31.5 points per game, 9.6 more than the Saints give up per outing (21.9).
  • Tampa Bay is 7-4 against the spread and 9-2 overall in games when it records more than 21.9 points.
  • The Buccaneers rack up 70.7 more yards per game (410.2) than the Saints give up per contest (339.5).
  • In games that Tampa Bay churns out over 339.5 yards, the team is 7-5 against the spread and 10-2 overall.

Saints trends

  • New Orleans has compiled a 6-8-0 record against the spread this year.
  • Games involving New Orleans have hit the over six times out of 14 chances this season.
  • The Saints put up 23.4 points per game, comparable to the 22.8 the Buccaneers allow.
  • When New Orleans records more than 22.8 points, it is 5-2 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • The Saints collect 319.4 yards per game, 23.6 fewer yards than the 343.0 the Buccaneers allow.
  • New Orleans is 4-3 against the spread and 3-4 overall when the team picks up over 343.0 yards.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Buccaneers and Saints
Buccaneers Stats Saints
323.2 Pass yards 211.4
268.4 Pass yards against 259.3
96.0 Rush yards 121.5
91.2 Rush yards against 95.0
+9 Turnover differential +1

 

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Player betting tips

Buccaneers top players

  • Tom Brady has racked up 4,134 passing yards (318.0 per game) while completing 378 of 554 passes (68.2%), with 36 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
  • Brady has had a passing touchdown in 12 of 13 games this season, with multiple passing TDs in 10 of them.
  • Leonard Fournette has 171 carries for a team-high 778 rushing yards (59.8 per game) and eight touchdowns. He also has 62 catches for 421 receiving yards (32.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • In five of his games this year, Fournette has run for a touchdown, including two games with multiple TDs.
  • Chris Godwin has racked up 92 receptions for 1,054 yards, best on his team, and five touchdowns. He has been targeted 121 times, and averages 81.1 receiving yards per game.
  • Godwin has had a receiving touchdown in five of 13 games this year, but no games with multiple receiving TDs.
Select player props for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Tom Brady 313.5 (-117) 2.5 (-111)
Leonard Fournette 64.5 (-113) 31.5 (-113)
Chris Godwin 1.5 (+123) 79.5 (-117)

Saints top players

  • Trevor Siemian has thrown for 1,083 yards while completing 57.2% of his passes, with nine touchdowns and three interceptions (83.3 yards per game).
  • Alvin Kamara has churned out a team-high 650 rushing yards (50.0 per game) and scored four touchdowns. He has added 36 catches for 335 yards, also tops on the team, with four receiving touchdowns.
  • Taysom Hill has 278 yards on 42 carries (21.4 yards per game), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Marquez Callaway has grabbed 30 passes for a team best 443 yards and six touchdowns. He has been targeted 59 times, and averages 34.1 yards per game.
  • Tre’Quan Smith has caught 25 passes on 40 targets for 284 yards and two touchdowns.
Select player props for the New Orleans Saints
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Alvin Kamara 65.5 (-114) 35.5 (-114)
Marquez Callaway 37.5 (-115)

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