Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 13

The Atlanta Falcons (5-6) are 11-point underdogs in a home NFC South matchup with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) on Sunday, December 5, 2021 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The game has a point total set at 50.5.
Buccaneers vs Falcons predictions
ATS | Total | Score prediction |
---|---|---|
Buccaneers (-11) | Under (50.5) | Buccaneers 33 Falcons 17 |
Last three results
Buccaneers recent betting insights
- Tampa Bay has covered the spread twice, and is 2-1 overall, over its past three games.
- In Tampa Bay’s past three games, it has gone over the total once.
- The Buccaneers’ scoring over their last three games is 0.7 points more than the 50.5 over/under given for this matchup.
Falcons recent betting insights
- In its last three contests, Atlanta has one win against the spread, and is 1-2 overall.
- Atlanta’s past three contests have not hit the over.
- The Falcons have averaged a total of 49.7 combined points over their last three games, 0.8 less than this game’s over/under of 50.5.
Buccaneers vs Falcons head-to-head
Tampa Bay has an edge against Atlanta over the last five meetings between these two teams, collecting a 3-2 record in those games. The Buccaneers and Falcons have split those games 1-1 against the spread while both contests outpaced the point total. Tampa Bay outscored Atlanta 164-138 in those five head-to-head matchups.
Buccaneers vs Falcons betting odds
Favorite | Spread | Favorite spread odds | Underdog spread odds | Total | Over total odds | Under total odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buccaneers | -11 | -110 | -110 | 50.5 | -110 | -110 |
Buccaneers vs Falcons betting insights
Buccaneers trends
- Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times this season (5-6-0).
- In games they were favored in by 11 points or more so far this season, the Buccaneers have gone 4-0 against the spread.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total six times this season.
- The Buccaneers rack up 31.5 points per game, 4.0 more than the Falcons allow per matchup (27.5).
- Tampa Bay is 5-2 against the spread and 7-0 overall in games when it puts up more than 27.5 points.
- The Buccaneers collect 39.9 more yards per game (401.7) than the Falcons give up per outing (361.8).
- When Tampa Bay churns out over 361.8 yards, the team is 3-5 against the spread and 6-2 overall.
Falcons trends
- Atlanta has covered the spread four times over 11 games with a set spread.
- The Falcons are winless against the spread when they are 11-point underdogs or more (0-1).
- Atlanta’s games have gone over the total five times this season.
- This year the Falcons put up 4.9 fewer points per game (18.1) than the Buccaneers allow (23.0).
- When Atlanta records more than 23.0 points, it is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
- The Falcons collect just 18.0 fewer yards per game (310.5) than the Buccaneers give up per matchup (328.5).
- Atlanta is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall when the team churns out more than 328.5 yards.
Team stats
Buccaneers | Stats | Falcons |
---|---|---|
315.5 | Pass yards | 239.6 |
262.2 | Pass yards against | 249.3 |
95.8 | Rush yards | 85.0 |
81.0 | Rush yards against | 124.9 |
+8 | Turnover differential | -7 |
How to live stream Buccaneers vs Falcons online
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- Click on this link.
- ‘Register’ and enter details.
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*Geo restrictions apply, 18+ only, must have a funded account or placed a bet in the last 24 hours, BeGambleAware. All odds and offers within this article are accurate at the time of publication.
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Player betting tips
Buccaneers top players
- Tom Brady has posted 3,403 passing yards (309.4 per game) with a 67.6% completion percentage (309-for-457) while registering 30 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
- Brady has had a passing touchdown in 10 of 11 games this year, with multiple passing TDs in eight of them.
- Leonard Fournette has racked up a team-high 621 rushing yards (56.5 per game) plus seven touchdowns. He has augmented his performance with 51 catches for 354 yards and one receiving touchdown.
- In four of his games this season, Fournette has run for a touchdown, including two games with multiple TDs.
- Chris Godwin has 67 catches (89 targets) and paces his team with 806 receiving yards (73.3 ypg) and five touchdowns.
- Godwin has had a receiving touchdown in five of 11 games this year, but no games with multiple receiving TDs.
Name | Pass Yds | Pass TDs | Rush Yds | Rush TDs | Rec Yds | Rec TDs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tom Brady | 320.5 (-113) | – | 2.5 (+106) | – | – | – |
Leonard Fournette | – | – | 62.5 (-110) | – | 29.5 (-120) | – |
Chris Godwin | – | – | 0.5 (-148) | – | 71.5 (-116) | – |
Falcons top players
- This season Matt Ryan has racked up 2,617 passing yards (237.9 per game) while going 256-for-379 (67.5%) and throwing for 16 touchdowns with 11 interceptions.
- Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for a team-leading 411 yards on 93 attempts (37.4 yards per game) while scoring four touchdowns. He also averages 45.5 receiving yards per game, grabbing 41 passes for a team-high 500 yards and five touchdowns.
- Mike Davis has run for 306 yards on 96 carries (27.8 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground.
- Kyle Pitts has hauled in 45 catches for 661 yards, best on his team, and one touchdown. He averages 60.1 receiving yards per game.
- Russell Gage is averaging 24.5 receiving yards per game, racking up 27 receptions (41 targets) for 270 yards and two touchdowns.
Name | Pass Yds | Pass TDs | Rush Yds | Rush TDs | Rec Yds | Rec TDs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matt Ryan | 254.5 (-114) | – | 3.5 (-125) | – | – | – |
Cordarrelle Patterson | – | – | 36.5 (-115) | – | 40.5 (-112) | – |
Kyle Pitts | – | – | – | – | 57.5 (-110) | – |
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