Squawka NFL

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 4

By Squawka NFL

Published: 19:20, 30 September 2021

The Cleveland Browns (2-1) are small favourites (-2.5) against the Minnesota Vikings (1-2) on Sunday, October 3, 2021. The contest has a 52-point over/under.

Browns vs Vikings predictions

Computer predictions for Browns vs Vikings
ATS Total Score prediction
Vikings (+2.5) Under (52) Vikings 29 Browns 22

Browns vs Vikings head-to-head

Minnesota has an edge against Cleveland in the last five meetings between these two squads, putting together a 4-1 record in those games. Minnesota put up 145 points in those five matchups compared to Cleveland’s 90.

Browns vs Vikings betting odds

Browns vs Vikings betting information
Favourite Spread Favourite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Browns -2.5 -105 -115 52 -110 -110

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Browns vs Vikings betting insights

Browns trends

  • Cleveland has covered the spread twice in three games with a set spread.
  • The Browns have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point favourites.
  • This season, Cleveland’s games have hit the over twice.
  • The Browns average just 2.7 more points per game (28.7) than the Vikings allow (26.0).
  • When Cleveland scores more than 26.0 points, it is 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • The Browns collect 410.0 yards per game, just 0.3 more than the 409.7 the Vikings give up per contest.
  • Cleveland is 2-0 against the spread and 1-1 overall when the team totals over 409.7 yards.

Vikings trends

  • Minnesota has covered the spread two times over three games with a set spread.
  • The Vikings are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • This season, Minnesota’s games have hit the over twice.
  • This year the Vikings score 9.0 more points per game (29.0) than the Browns surrender (20.0).
  • Minnesota is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall when the team notches more than 20.0 points.
  • The Vikings rack up 425.0 yards per game, 176.3 more yards than the 248.7 the Browns give up.
  • Minnesota is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall when the team churns out over 248.7 yards.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Browns and Vikings
Browns Stats Vikings
260.0 Pass yards 309.7
210.7 Pass yards against 319.7
174.7 Rush yards 128.0
67.0 Rush yards against 119.3
-2 Turnover differential +1

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Player betting tips

Browns top players

  • Baker Mayfield has 780 yards through the air (260.0 per game) and a 73.8% completion percentage (59-for-80), heaving two touchdown passes and two interceptions. He also has 48 rushing yards on 13 attempts (with one touchdown).
  • In two of three games this season, Mayfield has thrown a touchdown pass, but he has no games with multiple TD passes.
  • Nick Chubb has put up a team-high 262 yards (87.3 YPG) and tallied three touchdowns.
  • Chubb has had a rushing touchdown in two games this season, including multiple rushing TDs once.
  • In three games this year, Kareem Hunt has had zero receiving touchdowns.

Vikings top players

  • Kirk Cousins has 918 passing yards (306.0 per game) and a 73.9% completion percentage, throwing eight touchdown passes and zero interceptions. He also has 37 rushing yards on three carries, averaging 12.3 yards per game.
  • Dalvin Cook has rushed for a team-high 192 yards on 42 carries (64.0 yards per game) and one touchdown. He also has 60 receiving yards on eight catches .
  • Alexander Mattison has 125 yards on 30 carries (41.7 yards per game). He also has eight catches for 80 yards.
  • Justin Jefferson has reeled in 20 passes for a team-high 254 yards and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 30 times, and averages 84.7 yards per game.
  • K.J. Osborn has also chipped in with 14 catches for 193 yards and one touchdown this year. He has been targeted 17 times, and puts up 64.3 receiving yards.
  • Adam Thielen has caught 21 passes on 26 targets for 181 yards and four touchdowns.

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