NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 13

By Squawka NFL

Published: 15:10, 2 December 2021 | Updated: 11:23, 4 December 2021

The New England Patriots (8-4) are an underdog by 3 points as they attempt to keep their six-game winning streak intact in a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (7-4) on Monday, December 6, 2021 at Highmark Stadium. The total has been set at 43.5 points for this game.

Bills vs Patriots predictions

Squawka predictions for Bills vs Patriots
ATS Total Score prediction
Patriots (+3) Over (43.5) Bills 23 Patriots 22

Last three results

Bills recent betting insights

  • Over its last three contests, Buffalo has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Buffalo has gone over the total once in its past three games.
  • The Bills and their opponents have combined to score an average of 46.8 points over their last three games, 3.3 more than the 43.5 over/under in this matchup.

Patriots recent betting insights

  • In its past three contests, New England has covered the spread each time, and is 3-0 overall.
  • In New England’s past three contests, it has hit the over twice.
  • The Patriots have averaged a total of 45.0 combined points in their last three games, 1.5 greater than this game’s total of 43.5.

Bills vs Patriots head-to-head

New England holds an edge against Buffalo in the last five matchups between these two teams, collecting a 3-2 record in those games. The Bills and Patriots have split those games 1-1 against the spread with those games eclipsing the total on one occasion. Buffalo outscored New England 101-94 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Bills vs Patriots betting odds

Bills vs Patriots betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Bills -3 -105 -115 43.5 -115 -105

18+ only. New customers only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

18+ only. Place 5 x €10 bets to get a €20 free bet . Repeat 5 times to get €100 in free bets. New customer offer. Place 5 x €10 or more bets to receive €20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum €100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.

18+ only. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. Full terms apply. BeGambleAware.

Bills vs Patriots betting insights

Bills trends

  • Buffalo is 8-4-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 3-point favorites or more, the Bills have an ATS record of 6-4-1.
  • This season, five of Buffalo’s games have gone over the point total out of 13 chances.
  • The Bills rack up 13.8 more points per game (29.6) than the Patriots allow (15.8).
  • When Buffalo records more than 15.8 points, it is 8-2-1 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
  • The Bills collect 389.3 yards per game, 72.6 more yards than the 316.7 the Patriots give up per matchup.
  • Buffalo is 7-2-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall when the team amasses more than 316.7 yards.

Patriots trends

  • New England has compiled an 8-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • New England games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this year.
  • This year the Patriots score 11.5 more points per game (28.0) than the Bills surrender (16.5).
  • New England is 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall when the team records more than 16.5 points.
  • The Patriots collect 80.1 more yards per game (355.3) than the Bills give up per contest (275.2).
  • When New England piles up more than 275.2 yards, the team is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Bills and Patriots
Bills Stats Patriots
281.7 Pass yards 257.0
189.1 Pass yards against 218.3
118.3 Rush yards 115.3
96.6 Rush yards against 115.8
+9 Turnover differential +10

 

CLICK HERE to claim. 18+ only. New customers using Promo code H30 only. Min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. Full terms apply. BeGambleAware.

Player betting tips

Bills top players

  • Josh Allen has 3,071 passing yards (279.2 per game) and a 66.8% completion percentage (274-for-410) while throwing 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also leads his team with 383 rushing yards on 69 carries (plus three touchdowns), averaging 34.8 yards per game.
  • Allen has had a passing touchdown in 10 of 11 games this season, with multiple passing TDs in nine of them.
  • Devin Singletary has racked up a team-best 459 rushing yards (41.7 per game) and two scores.
  • Singletary has rushed for a touchdown in two games this season, but did not score more than one in either game.
  • Stefon Diggs has 67 catches (on 101 targets) and leads the team with 847 receiving yards (77.0 per game) while hauling in seven touchdowns.
  • In six of 11 games this year, Diggs has had a receiving touchdown (and one game with multiple receiving TDs).
Select player props for the Buffalo Bills
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Josh Allen 274.5 (-117) 2.5 (+107) 29.5 (-119)
Devin Singletary 43.5 (-113) 13.5 (-117)
Stefon Diggs 80.5 (-115)

Patriots top players

  • This campaign, Mac Jones has racked up 2,850 passing yards (237.5 per game) while connecting on 268 of 381 passes (70.3%), with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
  • Damien Harris has racked up a team-best 643 rushing yards (53.6 per game) and eight touchdowns.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for 351 yards on 76 carries (29.3 yards per game), with three touchdowns on the ground.
  • Kendrick Bourne has hauled in 42 passes for a team best 623 yards and five touchdowns. He has been targeted 53 times, and averages 51.9 yards per game.
  • Jakobi Meyers has also added 620 yards on 59 catches and one touchdown. He has been targeted 90 times and averages 51.7 receiving yards.
  • Nelson Agholor is averaging 34.7 yards per game, with 32 catches for 416 yards and three touchdowns.
Select player props for the New England Patriots
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Mac Jones 241.5 (-114) 4.5 (-128)
Damien Harris 53.5 (-111) 5.5 (-121)
Kendrick Bourne 1.5 (-139) 38.5 (-115)

READ MORE:

Powered by Data Skrive

✕︎

Sign up to the Best Football Offers

A valid email is required.

Invalid e-mail.

Yes I am over 18.
Yes, I would like to receive email updates on exciting offers from squawka.com. For more info on how we and our partners process your data, see Privacy and Cookie Policies.
You need to confirm that you are over 18 and that you want to receive updates.

*By subscribing you are confirming that you are over 18 years of age.

*All emails include an unsubscribe link, where you can opt out any time. *Please see our privacy and cookies policy..

x

Newsletter error