NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 11

By Squawka NFL

Published: 10:17, 18 November 2021

The Buffalo Bills (6-3) are 7-point favorites heading into their matchup on Sunday, November 21, 2021 against the Indianapolis Colts (5-5). The game’s over/under is set at 50.5.

Bills vs Colts predictions

Squawka predictions for Bills vs Colts
ATS Total Score prediction
Bills (-7) Under (50.5) Bills 28 Colts 20

Last three results

Bills recent betting insights

  • Over its last three games, Buffalo has one win against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Buffalo has hit the over once in its past three contests.
  • The Bills and their opponents have combined to score an average of 48.5 points in their last three games, 2.0 less than the 50.5 over/under in this matchup.

Colts recent betting insights

  • Indianapolis has one win against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, over its past three contests.
  • Indianapolis has gone over the total twice in its past three games.
  • The Colts total over the last three games is 2.7 points fewer than the 50.5 total given for this matchup.

Bills vs Colts head-to-head

Buffalo holds an edge against Indianapolis in the last five matchups between these two teams, recording a 3-2 record in those games. The Colts are 1-0 against the spread in those games against the Bills while the two teams haven’t managed to go over the point total. Indianapolis has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, recording 102 points while Buffalo notched 85.

Bills vs Colts betting odds

Bills vs Colts betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Bills -7 -115 -105 50.5 -105 -115

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Bills vs Colts betting insights

Bills trends

  • Buffalo has put together a record of 6-3-1 against the spread this season.
  • In games they were favored in by 7 points or more so far this season, the Bills have gone 3-1-1 against the spread.
  • This season, four of Buffalo’s games have gone over the point total out of 10 chances.
  • This year, the Bills average 8.1 more points per game (31.1) than the Colts surrender (23.0).
  • Buffalo is 6-1-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall this season when the team scores more than 23.0 points.
  • The Bills average 401.1 yards per game, 37.5 more yards than the 363.6 the Colts give up per matchup.
  • Buffalo is 5-2 against the spread and 4-2 overall when the team totals over 363.6 yards.

Colts trends

  • Indianapolis has compiled a 6-4-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Colts are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
  • This season, six of Indianapolis’ games have gone over the point total.
  • The Colts rack up 26.8 points per game, 11.8 more than the Bills give up (15.0).
  • Indianapolis is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall when the team records more than 15.0 points.
  • The Colts average 89.3 more yards per game (363.4) than the Bills give up per matchup (274.1).
  • In games that Indianapolis churns out more than 274.1 yards, the team is 6-3 against the spread and 5-4 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Bills and Colts
Bills Stats Colts
290.1 Pass yards 240.3
201.2 Pass yards against 263.3
121.9 Rush yards 136.3
83.9 Rush yards against 113.7
+14 Turnover differential +11

 

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Player betting tips

Bills top players

  • Josh Allen has 2,602 passing yards (289.1 per game) and a 66.3% completion percentage (230-for-347) while pitching 19 touchdowns and six interceptions. He also leads his team with 322 yards on the ground on 59 attempts (plus three touchdowns), averaging 35.8 YPG.
  • Allen has thrown for a touchdown eight times this season in nine games played, including multiple TD passes seven times.
  • Devin Singletary has rushed for a team-high 398 yards (44.2 per game) and tallied two touchdowns.
  • Singletary has rushed for a touchdown in two games this season, but did not score more than one in either game.
  • Stefon Diggs has hauled in 56 passes for a team-high 750 yards plus four touchdowns. He averages 83.3 receiving yards per game.
  • In four of nine games this year, Diggs has had a receiving touchdown. But he has no games with multiple receiving TDs.
Select player props for the Buffalo Bills
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Josh Allen 287.5 (-115) 2.5 (+108) 35.5 (-112)
Devin Singletary 37.5 (-116) 14.5 (-121)
Stefon Diggs 85.5 (-119)

Colts top players

  • This season Carson Wentz has put up 2,378 passing yards (237.8 per game) while going 212-for-334 (63.5%) and throwing for 17 touchdowns with three interceptions. He has tacked on 120 rushing yards on 33 carries with one touchdown.
  • Jonathan Taylor has rushed for a team-leading 937 yards on 161 carries (93.7 yards per game) while scoring nine touchdowns. He also averages 30.3 receiving yards per game, grabbing 29 passes for a team-high 303 yards and one touchdown.
  • Nyheim Hines has 203 yards on 43 carries (20.3 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns. He also has 26 catches for 204 yards.
  • This season Michael Pittman Jr. has 55 catches and leads the team with 729 yards (72.9 per game) while hauling in five touchdowns.
  • Zach Pascal has contributed with 32 receptions (on 52 targets) for 328 yards and three touchdowns.
Select player props for the Indianapolis Colts
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Carson Wentz 238.5 (-113) 14.5 (-113)
Jonathan Taylor 80.5 (-117) 23.5 (-112)
Michael Pittman Jr. 1.5 (-109) 63.5 (-113)

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