Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 9

By Squawka NFL

Published: 12:41, 4 November 2021

AFC North rivals square off when the Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) host the Cleveland Browns (4-4) on Sunday, November 7, 2021 at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati is favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is set at 47.

Bengals vs Browns predictions

Squawka predictions for Bengals vs Browns
ATS Total Score prediction
Bengals (-2.5) Under (47) Bengals 27 Browns 19

Last three results

Bengals recent betting insights

  • Cincinnati has covered the spread twice, and is 2-1 overall, over its last three contests.
  • In Cincinnati’s past three contests, it has gone over the total twice.
  • The Bengals average total over the last three games is 1.5 points fewer than the 47 over/under given for this matchup.

Browns recent betting insights

  • Over its past three contests, Cleveland has one win against the spread, and is 1-2 overall.
  • In Cleveland’s past three games, it has gone over the total once.
  • The Browns have averaged a total of 44.3 combined points in their last three games, 2.7 fewer than this matchup’s total of 47.

Bengals vs Browns head-to-head

In the past five matchups between these two teams, Cleveland holds the edge with a 4-1 record over Cincinnati. In those games against the Browns, the Bengals have a 2-0 record against the spread while both contests went over the point total. Cleveland scored 148 points in those five matchups compared to Cincinnati’s 134.

Bengals vs Browns betting odds

Bengals vs Browns betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Bengals -2.5 -115 -105 47 -105 -115

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Bengals vs Browns betting insights

Bengals trends

  • Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in eight games with a set spread.
  • In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Bengals have an ATS record of 1-2.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total three times this season.
  • The Bengals average 27.5 points per game, 5.0 more than the Browns give up per matchup (22.5).
  • When Cincinnati records more than 22.5 points, it is 4-2 against the spread and 5-1 overall.
  • The Bengals average 363.1 yards per game, 58.2 more yards than the 304.9 the Browns allow per contest.
  • When Cincinnati totals over 304.9 yards, the team is 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall.

Browns trends

  • Cleveland has covered the spread in a matchup four times this season (4-4-0).
  • The Browns have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • This year, four of Cleveland’s games have gone over the point total.
  • The Browns score 22.9 points per game, comparable to the 20.3 the Bengals give up.
  • Cleveland is 2-2 against the spread and 2-2 overall in games when it scores more than 20.3 points.
  • The Browns collect 382.5 yards per game, 21.2 more yards than the 361.3 the Bengals give up.
  • When Cleveland totals more than 361.3 yards, the team is 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Bengals and Browns
Bengals Stats Browns
283.5 Pass yards 238.0
283.0 Pass yards against 239.4
98.6 Rush yards 161.1
94.4 Rush yards against 84.8
-1 Turnover differential -3

Player betting tips

Bengals top players

  • Joe Burrow has thrown for 2,215 yards while completing 67.9% of his passes (167-for-246), with 20 touchdowns and nine interceptions (276.9 yards per game).
  • Burrow has had a passing touchdown in all eight games this season, and multiple passing TDs each time.
  • Joe Mixon has 137 attempts for a team-best 572 rushing yards (71.5 per game) and five touchdowns. He also has 17 catches for 148 receiving yards (18.5 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Mixon has rushed for a score in five of his games this season, but is yet to score more than once in a single contest.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has hauled in 38 catches for 786 yards, best on his team, and seven touchdowns. He has been targeted 60 times, and averages 98.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Chase has had a receiving touchdown in six of eight games this season, and multiple receiving TDs once.
Select player props for the Cincinnati Bengals
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Joe Burrow 278.5 (-113) 2.5 (+107) 9.5 (-115)
Joe Mixon 79.5 (-110) 18.5 (-113)
Ja’Marr Chase 0.5 (-104) 89.5 (-114)

Browns top players

  • This year Baker Mayfield has recorded 1,699 passing yards (212.4 per game) while going 136-for-204 (66.7%) and throwing for six touchdowns with three interceptions.
  • Nick Chubb has churned out a team-best 584 rushing yards (73.0 per game) and four touchdowns.
  • D’Ernest Johnson has 179 yards on 29 carries (22.4 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • David Njoku has 20 catches (24 targets) and paces his team with 323 receiving yards (40.4 per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Odell Beckham Jr. has also chipped in with 232 yards on 17 catches. He has been targeted 34 times and averages 29.0 receiving yards.
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has caught 13 passes on 15 targets for 228 yards and two touchdowns.
Select player props for the Cleveland Browns
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Baker Mayfield 224.5 (-117) 7.5 (-107)
Nick Chubb 87.5 (-118) 13.5 (-117)
David Njoku 25.5 (-120)


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