Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 14

By Squawka NFL

Published: 8:08, 10 December 2021

The Chicago Bears (4-8) are 11.5-point underdogs in a road NFC North matchup against the Green Bay Packers (9-3) on Sunday, December 12, 2021 at Lambeau Field. The over/under is 43.5.

Packers vs Bears predictions

Squawka predictions for Packers vs Bears
ATS Total Score prediction
Packers (-11.5) Under (43.5) Packers 29 Bears 13

Last three results

Packers recent betting insights

  • Over its last three games, Green Bay has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • In Green Bay’s past three games, it has hit the over twice.
  • The Packers have averaged a total of 47.3 combined points over their last three games, 3.8 greater than this matchup’s over/under of 43.5.

Bears recent betting insights

  • Chicago has not covered the spread and is 2-1 overall over its last three games.
  • Chicago has hit the over once in its past three contests.
  • The Bears and their opponents have combined to score an average of 42.5 combined points over their last three games, 1.0 less than the 43.5 over/under in this matchup.

Packers vs Bears head-to-head

Green Bay has an edge against Chicago in the past five meetings between these two teams, recording a 4-1 record in those games. The Packers are 2-0 against the spread in those games against the Bears while the two teams went over the total both times. Green Bay has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 124 points while Chicago notched 81.

Packers vs Bears betting odds

Packers vs Bears betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Packers -11.5 -110 -110 43.5 -110 -110

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Packers vs Bears betting insights

Packers trends

  • Green Bay is 10-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • Green Bay games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season.
  • The Packers rack up 23.6 points per game, comparable to the 23.9 per outing the Bears surrender.
  • When Green Bay puts up more than 23.9 points, it is 8-1 against the spread and 8-1 overall.
  • The Packers collect 27.3 more yards per game (355.0) than the Bears allow per matchup (327.7).
  • In games that Green Bay picks up over 327.7 yards, the team is 6-1 against the spread and 6-1 overall.

Bears trends

  • Chicago has compiled a 4-10-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Bears have yet to cover a spread (0-1) when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total four times out of 14 chances this year.
  • This season the Bears put up 3.4 fewer points per game (16.8) than the Packers allow (20.2).
  • Chicago is 2-3 against the spread and 1-3 overall when the team records more than 20.2 points.
  • The Bears collect 298.8 yards per game, 22.9 fewer yards than the 321.7 the Packers allow.
  • When Chicago piles up over 321.7 yards, the team is 2-7 against the spread and 2-5 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Packers and Bears
Packers Stats Bears
261.3 Pass yards 198.2
237.8 Pass yards against 228.3
106.7 Rush yards 125.1
102.5 Rush yards against 120.1
+9 Turnover differential -8

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Player betting tips

Packers top players

  • Aaron Rodgers has registered 2,878 passing yards (239.8 per game) while completing 247 of 373 throws (66.2%), with 23 touchdowns and four interceptions.
  • Rodgers has thrown for a touchdown nine times this year in 12 games played, including multiple TD passes nine times.
  • Aaron Jones has run for a team-high 564 yards (47.0 YPG) and three touchdowns. He also has 298 receiving yards on 37 catches and four touchdowns.
  • Jones has had a rushing touchdown in three games this year, but no games with multiple rushing TDs.
  • Davante Adams has 80 catches (on 115 targets) and leads the team with 1,083 receiving yards (90.3 per game) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • Adams has had a receiving touchdown in four of 12 games this year, and multiple receiving TDs once.
Select player props for the Green Bay Packers
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Aaron Rodgers 269.5 (-114) 2.5 (+113) 9.5 (-117)
Aaron Jones 41.5 (-117) 17.5 (-118)
Davante Adams 95.5 (-115)

Bears top players

  • Justin Fields has 1,361 passing yards (113.4 per game) with a 58.1% completion percentage (115-for-198), throwing for four touchdowns with eight interceptions. He also has 311 rushing yards on 56 carries and two touchdowns.
  • David Montgomery has 134 carries for a team-high 566 rushing yards (70.8 per game) and four touchdowns. He also has 20 catches for 154 receiving yards .
  • Khalil Herbert has run for 389 yards on 94 carries (32.4 yards per game), with one touchdown on the ground.
  • Darnell Mooney has been targeted 90 times and has 51 catches, leading his team with 721 yards (60.1 per game) while scoring three touchdowns.
  • Cole Kmet has tacked on 402 yards on 40 catches. He has been targeted 64 times and averages 33.5 receiving yards.
  • Allen Robinson II has caught 30 passes on 50 targets for 339 yards and one touchdown, averaging 28.3 yards per game.
Select player props for the Chicago Bears
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Justin Fields 190.5 (-115) 29.5 (-112)
David Montgomery 72.5 (-114) 15.5 (-115)
Darnell Mooney 1.5 (-132) 66.5 (-114)


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