Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 6

By Squawka NFL

Published: 12:29, 14 October 2021

The Green Bay Packers (4-1) are favored by 4.5 points as they battle to keep their four-game winning streak going in a matchup against the Chicago Bears (3-2) on Sunday, October 17, 2021 at Soldier Field. The total for this matchup has been set at 44.5 points.

Packers vs Bears predictions

Squawka predictions for Packers vs Bears
ATS Total Score prediction
Bears (+4.5) Under (44.5) Bears 22 Packers 21

Last 3 results

Packers Recent Betting Insights

  • In its last three contests, Green Bay has covered the spread each time, and is 3-0 overall.
  • In Green Bay’s past three contests, it has gone over the total once.
  • The Packers total over the last three games is 4.3 points more than the 44.5 over/under given for this matchup.

Bears recent betting insights

  • In its last three games, Chicago has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall.
  • Chicago has not hit the over in its past three games.
  • The Bears and their opponents have combined to score an average of 44.0 combined points over their last three games, 0.5 less than the 44.5 over/under in this matchup.

Packers vs Bears head-to-head

Green Bay holds a 4-1 advantage over Chicago in the past five matchups between these two squads. In those games against the Bears, the Packers have a 2-0 record against the spread while both contests went over the total. Green Bay has had the upper hand scoring in those five matchups, totaling 124 points while Chicago put up 81.

Packers vs Bears betting odds

Packers vs Bears Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Packers -4.5 -110 -110 44.5 -110 -110

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Packers vs Bears betting insights

Packers trends

  • Green Bay has compiled a 4-1-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Packers are a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
  • This season, Green Bay’s games have hit the over twice.
  • The Packers rack up 4.0 more points per game (24.0) than the Bears allow (20.0).
  • Green Bay is 4-0 against the spread and 4-0 overall in games when it records more than 20.0 points.
  • The Packers average only 15.8 more yards per game (347.6) than the Bears allow per contest (331.8).
  • When Green Bay totals over 331.8 yards, the team is 3-0 against the spread and 3-0 overall.

Bears trends

  • Chicago has covered the spread three times over five games with a set spread.
  • The Bears have an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total once this year.
  • The Bears score 16.8 points per game, 7.6 fewer than the Packers surrender (24.4).
  • The Bears rack up 240.0 yards per game, 82.6 fewer yards than the 322.6 the Packers allow.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Packers and Bears
Packers Stats Bears
261.8 Pass yards 145.6
233.4 Pass yards against 255.8
100.6 Rush yards 126.8
102.2 Rush yards against 103.8
+3 Turnover differential +3

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*Geo restrictions apply, 18+ only, must have a funded account or placed a bet in the last 24 hours, BeGambleAware. All odds and offers within this article are accurate at the time of publication.

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Player betting tips

Packers top players

  • This year Aaron Rodgers has 1,241 passing yards (248.2 yards per game) while going 107-for-163 (65.6%) and tossing 10 touchdowns with three interceptions.
  • Rodgers has had a passing touchdown in four of five games this season, with multiple passing TDs in four of them.
  • Aaron Jones has racked up a team-leading 309 rushing yards (61.8 YPG) and tallied two touchdowns. He has tacked on 17 catches for 132 yards (also a team high) with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Jones has found paydirt on the ground in two games this year, but did not have multiple rushing TDs either time.
  • Davante Adams has been targeted 61 times and has 42 catches, leading his team with 579 yards (115.8 ypg) while hauling in two touchdowns.
  • Adams has had a receiving touchdown in two of five games this season, but he has not scored multiple receiving TDs in a game.

Bears top players

  • This season Justin Fields has recorded 458 passing yards (91.6 per game) while going 37-for-72 (51.4%) and throwing for one touchdown with two interceptions. He has added 59 rushing yards on 20 carries with one touchdown.
  • Damien Williams has 32 carries for a team-high 137 rushing yards (27.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Khalil Herbert has rushed for 82 yards on 21 carries (16.4 yards per game).
  • This year Darnell Mooney has 20 catches for a team-high 261 yards (52.2 per game).
  • Allen Robinson II has tacked on 181 yards on 17 catches and one touchdown. He has been targeted 29 times and averages 36.2 receiving yards.
  • Cole Kmet has racked up 81 yards on 10 receptions, averaging 16.2 yards per game.


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