Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 14
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-3) are favored by 3.5 points as they look to keep their three-game winning streak alive in a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (7-5) on Sunday, December 12, 2021 at Raymond James Stadium. The over/under is 52.5 in this matchup.
Buccaneers vs Bills predictions
| ATS | Total | Score prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers (-3.5) | Under (52.5) | Buccaneers 28 Bills 21 |
Last three results
Buccaneers recent betting insights
- Tampa Bay is unbeaten against the spread and 3-0 overall in its last three games.
- Tampa Bay has hit the over once in its past three contests.
- The Buccaneers’ scoring average over the last three games is 1.2 points lower than the 52.5 total listed for this matchup.
Bills recent betting insights
- Buffalo has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, over its past three contests.
- Buffalo’s past three games have not gone over the total.
- The Bills have averaged a total of 42.0 combined points over their last three games, 10.5 less than this game’s total of 52.5.
Buccaneers vs Bills head-to-head
Tampa Bay holds a 3-2 advantage over Buffalo in the last five meetings between these two teams. Tampa Bay totaled 124 points in those five matchups compared to Buffalo’s 89.
Buccaneers vs Bills betting odds
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite spread odds | Underdog spread odds | Total | Over total odds | Under total odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -3.5 | 100 | -120 | 52.5 | -110 | -110 |
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Buccaneers vs Bills betting insights
Buccaneers trends
- Tampa Bay has put together a record of 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-5.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total six times this season.
- The Buccaneers average 31.4 points per game, 15.1 more than the Bills allow per outing (16.3).
- Tampa Bay is 6-6 against the spread and 9-3 overall this season when the team scores more than 16.3 points.
- The Buccaneers average 403.7 yards per game, 131.4 more yards than the 272.3 the Bills allow per contest.
- When Tampa Bay totals over 272.3 yards, the team is 6-6 against the spread and 9-3 overall.
Bills trends
- Buffalo is 8-5-1 against the spread this season.
- The Bills are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
- Buffalo games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times out of 14 chances this season.
- This season the Bills average 5.5 more points per game (28.0) than the Buccaneers surrender (22.5).
- When Buffalo scores more than 22.5 points, it is 8-1-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
- The Bills average 376.0 yards per game, 43.2 more yards than the 332.8 the Buccaneers give up.
- When Buffalo churns out more than 332.8 yards, the team is 7-2-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall.
Team stats
| Buccaneers | Stats | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| 319.8 | Pass yards | 270.3 |
| 265.1 | Pass yards against | 174.9 |
| 92.6 | Rush yards | 116.7 |
| 84.3 | Rush yards against | 107.1 |
| +8 | Turnover differential | +9 |
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Player betting tips
Buccaneers top players
- Tom Brady has compiled 3,771 passing yards (314.3 per game) while connecting on 347 of 508 passes (68.3%), with 34 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
- In 11 of 12 games this season, Brady has thrown a touchdown pass, and nine of those games included multiple TD passes.
- Leonard Fournette has taken 152 carries for a team-high 665 rushing yards (55.4 per game) and seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 58 passes for 402 yards with two touchdowns through the air.
- In four of his games this season, Fournette has run for a touchdown, including two games with multiple TDs.
- Chris Godwin has grabbed 82 passes for a team-high 949 yards and five touchdowns. He averages 79.1 receiving yards per game.
- In five of 12 games this year, Godwin has had a receiving touchdown. But he has not had a game with multiple receiving TDs.
| Name | Pass Yds | Pass TDs | Rush Yds | Rush TDs | Rec Yds | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 319.5 (-114) | – | 2.5 (+106) | – | – | – |
| Leonard Fournette | – | – | 66.5 (-116) | – | 32.5 (-108) | – |
| Chris Godwin | – | – | 0.5 (-141) | – | 76.5 (-114) | – |
Bills top players
- This season Josh Allen has put up 3,216 passing yards (268.0 per game) while going 289-for-440 (65.7%) and throwing for 26 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. He has tacked on a team-high 422 rushing yards on 75 carries with three touchdowns.
- Devin Singletary has churned out a team-best 495 rushing yards (41.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
- Stefon Diggs has been targeted 108 times and has 71 catches, leading his team with 898 yards (74.8 per game) while also scoring seven touchdowns.
- Emmanuel Sanders’ stat line this year reveals 39 catches for 581 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 48.4 receiving yards per game.
- Cole Beasley is averaging 45.1 yards per game, with 63 catches for 541 yards and one touchdown.
| Name | Pass Yds | Pass TDs | Rush Yds | Rush TDs | Rec Yds | Rec TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 266.5 (-116) | 2.5 (+113) | 30.5 (-109) | – | – | – |
| Devin Singletary | – | – | 46.5 (-110) | – | 12.5 (-117) | – |
| Stefon Diggs | – | – | – | – | 78.5 (-118) | – |
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