NFL PREDICTIONS & BETTING TIPS

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills: Predictions, betting trends and stats for Week 14

By Squawka NFL

Published: 8:25, 10 December 2021

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-3) are favored by 3.5 points as they look to keep their three-game winning streak alive in a matchup against the Buffalo Bills (7-5) on Sunday, December 12, 2021 at Raymond James Stadium. The over/under is 52.5 in this matchup.

Buccaneers vs Bills predictions

Squawka predictions for Buccaneers vs Bills
ATS Total Score prediction
Buccaneers (-3.5) Under (52.5) Buccaneers 28 Bills 21

Last three results

Buccaneers recent betting insights

  • Tampa Bay is unbeaten against the spread and 3-0 overall in its last three games.
  • Tampa Bay has hit the over once in its past three contests.
  • The Buccaneers’ scoring average over the last three games is 1.2 points lower than the 52.5 total listed for this matchup.

Bills recent betting insights

  • Buffalo has two wins against the spread, and is 2-1 overall, over its past three contests.
  • Buffalo’s past three games have not gone over the total.
  • The Bills have averaged a total of 42.0 combined points over their last three games, 10.5 less than this game’s total of 52.5.

Buccaneers vs Bills head-to-head

Tampa Bay holds a 3-2 advantage over Buffalo in the last five meetings between these two teams. Tampa Bay totaled 124 points in those five matchups compared to Buffalo’s 89.

Buccaneers vs Bills betting odds

Buccaneers vs Bills betting information
Favorite Spread Favorite spread odds Underdog spread odds Total Over total odds Under total odds
Buccaneers -3.5 100 -120 52.5 -110 -110

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Buccaneers vs Bills betting insights

Buccaneers trends

  • Tampa Bay has put together a record of 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 5-5.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total six times this season.
  • The Buccaneers average 31.4 points per game, 15.1 more than the Bills allow per outing (16.3).
  • Tampa Bay is 6-6 against the spread and 9-3 overall this season when the team scores more than 16.3 points.
  • The Buccaneers average 403.7 yards per game, 131.4 more yards than the 272.3 the Bills allow per contest.
  • When Tampa Bay totals over 272.3 yards, the team is 6-6 against the spread and 9-3 overall.

Bills trends

  • Buffalo is 8-5-1 against the spread this season.
  • The Bills are a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Buffalo games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under five times out of 14 chances this season.
  • This season the Bills average 5.5 more points per game (28.0) than the Buccaneers surrender (22.5).
  • When Buffalo scores more than 22.5 points, it is 8-1-1 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
  • The Bills average 376.0 yards per game, 43.2 more yards than the 332.8 the Buccaneers give up.
  • When Buffalo churns out more than 332.8 yards, the team is 7-2-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall.

Team stats

Compare 2021 season stats for Buccaneers and Bills
Buccaneers Stats Bills
319.8 Pass yards 270.3
265.1 Pass yards against 174.9
92.6 Rush yards 116.7
84.3 Rush yards against 107.1
+8 Turnover differential +9

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Player betting tips

Buccaneers top players

  • Tom Brady has compiled 3,771 passing yards (314.3 per game) while connecting on 347 of 508 passes (68.3%), with 34 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.
  • In 11 of 12 games this season, Brady has thrown a touchdown pass, and nine of those games included multiple TD passes.
  • Leonard Fournette has taken 152 carries for a team-high 665 rushing yards (55.4 per game) and seven touchdowns. He’s also caught 58 passes for 402 yards with two touchdowns through the air.
  • In four of his games this season, Fournette has run for a touchdown, including two games with multiple TDs.
  • Chris Godwin has grabbed 82 passes for a team-high 949 yards and five touchdowns. He averages 79.1 receiving yards per game.
  • In five of 12 games this year, Godwin has had a receiving touchdown. But he has not had a game with multiple receiving TDs.
Select player props for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Tom Brady 319.5 (-114) 2.5 (+106)
Leonard Fournette 66.5 (-116) 32.5 (-108)
Chris Godwin 0.5 (-141) 76.5 (-114)

Bills top players

  • This season Josh Allen has put up 3,216 passing yards (268.0 per game) while going 289-for-440 (65.7%) and throwing for 26 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. He has tacked on a team-high 422 rushing yards on 75 carries with three touchdowns.
  • Devin Singletary has churned out a team-best 495 rushing yards (41.3 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Stefon Diggs has been targeted 108 times and has 71 catches, leading his team with 898 yards (74.8 per game) while also scoring seven touchdowns.
  • Emmanuel Sanders’ stat line this year reveals 39 catches for 581 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 48.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Cole Beasley is averaging 45.1 yards per game, with 63 catches for 541 yards and one touchdown.
Select player props for the Buffalo Bills
Name Pass Yds Pass TDs Rush Yds Rush TDs Rec Yds Rec TDs
Josh Allen 266.5 (-116) 2.5 (+113) 30.5 (-109)
Devin Singletary 46.5 (-110) 12.5 (-117)
Stefon Diggs 78.5 (-118)

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