{"id":19357,"date":"2026-10-30T06:51:23","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T10:51:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?page_id=19357"},"modified":"2026-10-30T06:53:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T10:53:16","slug":"mvp-odds","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/nba\/mvp-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Wembanyama, Gilgeous-Alexander and the MVP Race"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Victor Wembanyama is the favourite in the NBA MVP odds, priced at +190 to +200 across six major sportsbooks. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Toronto-born guard who has won the last two, is at +320 to +400<\/strong>, level with Luka Doncic in the middle of the market (+250 to +600). Nobody has won three in a row since Larry Bird.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Below is the full board as we checked it on 30 October 2026, how the prices have moved since the summer, the live MVP race from this season’s box scores, and what the 65-game rule means for anyone who misses time. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NBA MVP odds 2026-27<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Prices from bet365, BetMGM, DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel and Hard Rock, read from the VegasInsider odds grid at 5:57 a.m. ET on 30 October 2026. These NBA MVP odds are US-market prices. Most of those books also hold an Ontario licence, but their Ontario boards can differ, and books elsewhere in Canada will differ more. The implied chance uses the middle price and includes the books’ margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Player<\/th>Club<\/th>Odds range<\/th>Books pricing<\/th>Implied chance<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Victor Wembanyama<\/strong><\/td>San Antonio<\/td>+190 to +200<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>33%<\/td><\/tr>
Luka Doncic<\/strong><\/td>Lakers<\/td>+250 to +600<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>24%<\/td><\/tr>
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City<\/td>+320 to +400<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>23%<\/td><\/tr>
Nikola Jokic<\/strong><\/td>Denver<\/td>+550 to +800<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>12%<\/td><\/tr>
Jayson Tatum<\/strong><\/td>Boston<\/td>+900 to +2500<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>8%<\/td><\/tr>
Anthony Edwards<\/strong><\/td>Minnesota<\/td>+1500<\/td>1 of 6<\/td>6%<\/td><\/tr>
Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/strong><\/td>Miami<\/td>+1000 to +3000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>5%<\/td><\/tr>
Cade Cunningham<\/strong><\/td>Detroit<\/td>+3000 to +4000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>3%<\/td><\/tr>
Jalen Brunson<\/strong><\/td>Knicks<\/td>+4000 to +10000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>2%<\/td><\/tr>
Tyrese Maxey<\/strong><\/td>Philadelphia<\/td>+6000 to +10000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>1%<\/td><\/tr>
Donovan Mitchell<\/strong><\/td>Cleveland<\/td>+6000 to +12500<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr>
Cooper Flagg<\/strong><\/td>Dallas<\/td>+9000 to +15000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr>
Paul George<\/strong><\/td>Boston<\/td>+15000<\/td>1 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr>
Jaylen Brown<\/strong><\/td>Philadelphia<\/td>+7500 to +25000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr>
Kawhi Leonard<\/strong><\/td>Toronto<\/td>+10000 to +50000<\/td>5 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr>
Tyrese Haliburton<\/strong><\/td>Indiana<\/td>+10000 to +30000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td>under 1%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Anthony Edwards is missing from five of the six boards. Only Hard Rock still prices him, at +1500, after his knee surgery on 29 October. Kawhi Leonard’s price runs from +10000 to +50000, a sign the books disagree about his knee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How the NBA MVP odds have moved since opening<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The opening column is the price VegasInsider recorded before the season. The comparison shows where the market has changed its mind in the first two weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Player<\/th>Opening<\/th>Now<\/th>Direction<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Victor Wembanyama<\/strong><\/td>+230<\/td>+190 to +200<\/td>Shorter<\/td><\/tr>
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/strong><\/td>+400<\/td>+320 to +400<\/td>Shorter<\/td><\/tr>
Luka Doncic<\/strong><\/td>+600<\/td>+250 to +600<\/td>Shorter<\/td><\/tr>
Nikola Jokic<\/strong><\/td>+650<\/td>+550 to +800<\/td>Longer<\/td><\/tr>
Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/strong><\/td>+1200<\/td>+1000 to +3000<\/td>Longer<\/td><\/tr>
Anthony Edwards<\/strong><\/td>+1500<\/td>+1500<\/td>Pulled by five books<\/td><\/tr>
Jayson Tatum<\/strong><\/td>+2500<\/td>+900 to +2500<\/td>Shorter<\/td><\/tr>
Cade Cunningham<\/strong><\/td>+3000<\/td>+3000 to +4000<\/td>Longer<\/td><\/tr>
Jalen Brunson<\/strong><\/td>+6000<\/td>+4000 to +10000<\/td>Shorter<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Luka Doncic and Jayson Tatum have shortened the most. Doncic opened at +600 and now sits between +250 and +600, after scoring 52 in Utah and 41 against Portland before a back problem kept him out on Wednesday. Tatum has come in from +2500 after scoring 36 against New York and 40 against Brooklyn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

The NBA MVP race so far<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Season averages for the leading candidates, from every box score so far, with each club’s record and the latest injury status. Updated 30 October 2026, 6:04 AM ET. Of this group, Luka Doncic is scoring the most, at 36.0 points a game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Player<\/th>Club<\/th>Record<\/th>Games<\/th>PTS<\/th>REB<\/th>AST<\/th>Status<\/th>Odds range<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Victor Wembanyama<\/strong><\/td>San Antonio<\/td>3-2<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>25.0<\/td>11.4<\/td>2.8<\/td>Available<\/td>+190 to +200<\/td><\/tr>
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City<\/td>4-1<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>26.0<\/td>4.6<\/td>3.4<\/td>Available<\/td>+320 to +400<\/td><\/tr>
Luka Doncic<\/strong><\/td>Lakers<\/td>4-1<\/td>4 of 5<\/td>36.0<\/td>6.8<\/td>8.2<\/td>Available<\/td>+250 to +600<\/td><\/tr>
Nikola Jokic<\/strong><\/td>Denver<\/td>2-2<\/td>4 of 4<\/td>22.0<\/td>10.5<\/td>9.0<\/td>Available<\/td>+550 to +800<\/td><\/tr>
Jayson Tatum<\/strong><\/td>Boston<\/td>3-1<\/td>4 of 4<\/td>28.0<\/td>6.2<\/td>8.0<\/td>Available<\/td>+900 to +2500<\/td><\/tr>
Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/strong><\/td>Miami<\/td>1-4<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>27.6<\/td>11.2<\/td>4.6<\/td>Available<\/td>+1000 to +3000<\/td><\/tr>
Cade Cunningham<\/strong><\/td>Detroit<\/td>4-1<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>22.6<\/td>5.6<\/td>7.8<\/td>Available<\/td>+3000 to +4000<\/td><\/tr>
Jalen Brunson<\/strong><\/td>Knicks<\/td>2-3<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>25.8<\/td>2.4<\/td>5.0<\/td>Available<\/td>+4000 to +10000<\/td><\/tr>
Tyrese Maxey<\/strong><\/td>Philadelphia<\/td>4-1<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>28.4<\/td>4.2<\/td>4.6<\/td>Available<\/td>+6000 to +10000<\/td><\/tr>
Cooper Flagg<\/strong><\/td>Dallas<\/td>3-2<\/td>4 of 5<\/td>25.2<\/td>5.2<\/td>6.8<\/td>Available<\/td>+9000 to +15000<\/td><\/tr>
Donovan Mitchell<\/strong><\/td>Cleveland<\/td>3-2<\/td>5 of 5<\/td>24.2<\/td>5.6<\/td>4.8<\/td>Available<\/td>+6000 to +12500<\/td><\/tr>
Jamal Murray<\/strong><\/td>Denver<\/td>2-2<\/td>4 of 4<\/td>22.5<\/td>5.0<\/td>5.8<\/td>Available<\/td>+25000 to +60000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Games matter more than they used to. Luka Doncic has missed one game and Cooper Flagg has missed one game so far, and the 65-game rule below means every absence now counts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Canadian angle<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Gilgeous-Alexander is the only Canadian near the top of the NBA MVP odds. He won the MVP in 2024-25 and again in 2025-26, and he went into last season as only the third favourite, at +550. Steve Nash, who grew up in Victoria, is the only other Canadian to win it, in 2004-05 and 2005-06.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A third straight award would put him with Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain and Larry Bird, the only players to do it. Oklahoma City has lost Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace to surgery and Alex Caruso to an ankle sprain, so more of the attack runs through him, which is usually how MVP cases are built.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Canadian<\/th>Born<\/th>Club<\/th>Odds range<\/th>Books pricing<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/strong><\/td>Toronto<\/td>Oklahoma City<\/td>+320 to +400<\/td>6 of 6<\/td><\/tr>
Jamal Murray<\/strong><\/td>Kitchener<\/td>Denver<\/td>+25000 to +60000<\/td>6 of 6<\/td><\/tr>
Nickeil Alexander-Walker<\/strong><\/td>Toronto<\/td>Atlanta<\/td>+75000 to +100000<\/td>2 of 6<\/td><\/tr>
RJ Barrett<\/strong><\/td>Toronto<\/td>Toronto<\/td>+100000<\/td>1 of 6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Every Canadian on an NBA roster, with this season’s numbers, is on our Canadians in the NBA<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 65-game rule and NBA MVP odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Since 2023-24, a player has to play at least 20 minutes in 65 regular-season games to be eligible for MVP, with two games of 15 to 20 minutes allowed to count. Miss 18 games and the award is gone, however well he played.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That changes how to read a long price on an injured star. Edwards, out for up to two months, could miss more than the 17 games the rule allows. Doncic’s back is worth watching for the same reason. Check the NBA injury report<\/a> before backing anyone with a history of missed games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Past NBA MVP winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Season<\/th>MVP<\/th>Club<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
2025-26<\/strong><\/td>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/td>Oklahoma City Thunder<\/td><\/tr>
2024-25<\/strong><\/td>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/td>Oklahoma City Thunder<\/td><\/tr>
2023-24<\/strong><\/td>Nikola Jokic<\/td>Denver Nuggets<\/td><\/tr>
2022-23<\/strong><\/td>Joel Embiid<\/td>Philadelphia 76ers<\/td><\/tr>
2021-22<\/strong><\/td>Nikola Jokic<\/td>Denver Nuggets<\/td><\/tr>
2020-21<\/strong><\/td>Nikola Jokic<\/td>Denver Nuggets<\/td><\/tr>
2019-20<\/strong><\/td>Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/td>Milwaukee Bucks<\/td><\/tr>
2018-19<\/strong><\/td>Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/td>Milwaukee Bucks<\/td><\/tr>
2017-18<\/strong><\/td>James Harden<\/td>Houston Rockets<\/td><\/tr>
2016-17<\/strong><\/td>Russell Westbrook<\/td>Oklahoma City Thunder<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Jokic and Giannis, both former winners, are on this season’s board again. Giannis now plays for Miami after the July trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Betting on the NBA MVP in Canada<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MVP odds are a futures market: the bet settles when the award is announced after the regular season, so the stake is tied up for months. Where you can bet depends on your province. Ontario and Alberta have licensed private sportsbooks, and elsewhere the provincial lottery platform is the legal route. Our NBA betting hub<\/a> covers each province, and the list below is matched to where you are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

For the title market, our NBA championship odds<\/a> page has every club’s price from the same six books.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For single games rather than the season-long view, the NBA games tonight<\/a> board has tip-off times, Canadian TV and our picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NBA MVP odds FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Who is the favourite for NBA MVP in 2026-27?<\/strong>

Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs, priced at +190 to +200 across six major sportsbooks when we checked on 30 October 2026.<\/p><\/div>

What are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP odds?<\/strong>

From +320 to +400 on 30 October 2026. He has won the last two MVP awards and would be the first player since Larry Bird to win three in a row.<\/p><\/div>

Has a Canadian won NBA MVP?<\/strong>

Yes. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won it in 2024-25 and 2025-26, and Steve Nash won it in 2004-05 and 2005-06.<\/p><\/div>

How many games does a player need to win NBA MVP?<\/strong>

At least 20 minutes in 65 regular-season games, though two games of 15 to 20 minutes can count towards the total. The rule has applied since the 2023-24 season.<\/p><\/div>

When is the NBA MVP announced?<\/strong>

After the regular season, which ends in April. A panel of media members votes, and the winner is named during the playoffs.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Victor Wembanyama is the favourite in the NBA MVP odds, priced at +190 to +200 across six major sportsbooks. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Toronto-born guard who has won the last two, is at +320 to +400, level with Luka Doncic in the middle of the market (+250 to +600). Nobody has won three in a row…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3595,"featured_media":19356,"parent":18206,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"nba mvp odds","_yoast_wpseo_title":"NBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Favourites and the MVP Race | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"NBA MVP odds for 2026-27: Victor Wembanyama leads, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander chases a third straight MVP, how prices moved since opening and the live MVP race.","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-19357","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"\nNBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Favourites and the MVP Race | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NBA MVP odds for 2026-27: Victor Wembanyama leads, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander chases a third straight MVP, how prices moved since opening and the live MVP race.\" 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