{"id":1737,"date":"2026-06-10T15:53:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T14:53:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/correct-score\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T07:55:16","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T11:55:16","slug":"correct-score","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/correct-score\/","title":{"rendered":"Correct Score Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Correct Score is the longer-odds soccer market — you have to call the exact final scoreline in regulation time, which is why prices typically sit at +500 or longer. Done well, it gives you the biggest payout per stake of any soccer market; done badly, it is the fastest way to burn through a bankroll. Our Correct Score predictions for the matchday-one slate below have all cleared three-star confidence — the bet365 implied probability sits materially below our read of the true probability for each scoreline. For the full picture, compare bet365 with the other best betting sites in Canada<\/a>, including the newest betting sites<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n

Across the matchday-one slate we lean toward 1-0 and 2-1 favourite scorelines — tournament openers compress the scoring rate, and the heavier the favourite the more often that opener finishes with one clean-sheet result. The picks below lead with Canada’s host-nation opener and then the marquee fixtures of MD1.<\/p>\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This week’s Correct Score predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n
Match<\/th>Pick<\/th>Odds & Sportsbook<\/th>Confidence<\/th>Why<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 1-0 Canada<\/td>+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Opening games tend to be cagey, and a disciplined Bosnia block should keep the margin narrow.<\/td><\/tr>\n
USA vs Paraguay<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 1-0 United States<\/td>+650 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Opening games are cagey, and a disciplined Paraguay back line built around Gustavo G\u00f3mez keeps the margin slim.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Mexico vs South Africa<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 1-0 Mexico<\/td>+500 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Opening games are cagey, and a disciplined South Africa back line should keep the margin slim.<\/td><\/tr>\n
England vs Croatia<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 1-0 England<\/td>+600 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Openers tend to be cagey, and Croatia rarely concede in bunches, so a single goal could settle it.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Brazil vs Morocco<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 2-1 Brazil<\/td>+800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Morocco rarely roll over, so a tight Brazil win with a goal conceded fits the way they grind out results.<\/td><\/tr>\n
France vs Senegal<\/strong><\/a><\/td>Correct Score: 2-1 France<\/td>+800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Senegal carry enough quality to find a goal, so a narrow French win fits the shape of the match.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n

Correct Score is one of the few markets where a confidence rating below three stars is worth a small stake on its own merits — the prices are long enough that even a 15% true probability beats the bet365 line. We still publish only three-star calls on this page; the rest of the matchday scorelines sit in the full previews if you want to explore further.<\/p>\n\n\n

What are Correct Score predictions?<\/h2>\n\n\n

Correct Score is the market on the exact final scoreline of a fixture at the end of regulation time. Stakes are settled on whether the scoreline you backed is the result on the pitch when the referee blows the final whistle — no extra time, no penalty shootouts. Most operators price every plausible scoreline up to 5-5 or so, plus an Any Unquoted Score option that covers the long tail of high-scoring outcomes.<\/p>\n\n\n

The market suits bettors who already have a view on the match shape — not just who wins, but how the goals are likely to come. If you fancy a heavy favourite to grind out a 1-0 against a deep block, Correct Score gives you the biggest payout per stake on that exact thesis. The trade-off is variance — one deflection or one late equaliser turns a winning 1-0 ticket into a losing 1-1 ticket.<\/p>\n\n\n

How to spot Correct Score predictions value<\/h2>\n\n\n

Three signals shape our Correct Score calls. The first is goals-for and goals-against rate across the last six competitive matches — sides scoring above 1.5 per game and conceding below 1.0 per game tend to finish tournament-opener fixtures with a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline more often than the bet365 line suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n

The second is shots-per-game profile. A team that creates a lot of low-quality shots from outside the box tends to convert at the long-run rate of those shots, which puts a soft ceiling on their attacking output. The third is opposition defensive set-up — a deep block compresses scorelines, a high line opens them up.<\/p>\n\n\n

Key stats behind our Correct Score predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n

On matchday-one fixtures across the last three World Cups, the 1-0 favourite-scoreline outcome has hit at roughly 13% of the time — meaningfully higher than the bet365 implied probability on that line, which usually sits around 9% to 10%. The 2-1 favourite outcome has hit at roughly 10%, again above the 7% to 8% the line implies. Those two scorelines drive most of our matchday-one Correct Score value, and they are the calls we lean on when the rest of the fixture profile supports them.<\/p>\n\n\n

Browse other predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n

Looking at other markets? See our Both Teams to Score picks<\/a>, Anytime Goalscorer picks<\/a> and Over 2.5 Goals picks<\/a> for the same matchday. Or browse all of this week’s soccer predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n

Correct Score FAQs<\/h2>\n\n\n

Does Correct Score include extra time?<\/h3>\n\n\n

No — Correct Score settles on the scoreline at the end of regulation time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. If a knockout fixture goes to extra time, your Correct Score ticket has settled on the ninetieth-minute scoreline regardless of what happens after.<\/p>\n\n\n

What is the “Any Unquoted Score” option?<\/h3>\n\n\n

Any Unquoted Score covers any scoreline not individually priced on the bet365 grid — usually anything 5-5 or above, plus less common high-scoring outcomes like 6-1. It is a useful catch-all if you fancy a particular high-scoring matchup but cannot call the exact scoreline.<\/p>\n\n\n

Why do most matchday-one Correct Score picks lean to 1-0 or 2-1?<\/h3>\n\n\n

Tournament openers compress the goals market — teams protect against damaging first results, weaker sides sit deep, and favourites tend to be patient with the ball. That funnels scorelines toward the 1-0 or 2-1 outcomes, which historically run roughly four points above the bet365 implied probability on MD1 across recent World Cups.<\/p>\n\n\n

19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) \u2014 see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Correct Score is the longer-odds soccer market — you have to call the exact final scoreline in regulation time, which is why prices typically sit at +500 or longer. Done well, it gives you the biggest payout per stake of any soccer market; done badly, it is the fastest way to burn through a bankroll….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":1736,"parent":1731,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"correct score predictions","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Correct Score Predictions: World Cup 2026 MD1 | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Correct Score picks across the 2026 World Cup matchday-one slate \u2014 long-odds calls on the most likely scoreline per fixture with bet365 lines and the reasoning.","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1737","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"\nCorrect Score Predictions: World Cup 2026 MD1 | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Correct Score picks across the 2026 World Cup 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