{"id":1731,"date":"2026-06-10T15:53:26","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T14:53:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T07:53:04","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T11:53:04","slug":"soccer-predictions","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Soccer Predictions &#038; Picks This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <a href=\"\/ca\/world-cup-2026\/\">2026 World Cup<\/a> is finally here, and the matchday-one slate is loaded with calls worth taking a serious look at. We have run every Group A through Group L opener through the same process \u2014 recent form, head-to-head where it exists, expected-goals output, squad availability, and the bet365 line versus the rest of the market \u2014 and pulled out the picks that look strongest heading into the first round of fixtures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Co-hosts Canada open the tournament at home in Toronto on 12 June. The USA and Mexico follow on home soil too, so the entire MD1 slate carries more North American fan interest than any World Cup before it. Below is our headline soccer predictions list for the matchday, with the reasoning, the bet365 odds and a link to the full preview for every fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2587\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-300x38.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-1024x128.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-768x96.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-400x50.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-600x75.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-480x60.jpg 480w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/15\/2026\/06\/12070540\/soccer-predictions-leaderboard-150x19.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-this-week-s-soccer-predictions\">This week\u2019s soccer predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Seven picks across the matchday-one openers, ordered to lead with the North American hosts and then the marquee fixtures behind them. Every line is sourced from a full fixture preview and the bet365 number was current at the time of writing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Match<\/th><th>Pick<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th><th>Why<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-canada-vs-bosnia-herzegovina-06-12-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>Canada to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Home advantage and a settled defensive shape give the hosts the edge in a tight opener.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-united-states-vs-paraguay-06-12-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>USA vs Paraguay<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>United States to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Home advantage and a deeper pool of in-form attackers give the hosts the edge on opening night at SoFi Stadium.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-mexico-vs-south-africa-06-11-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>Mexico vs South Africa<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>Mexico to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-209 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Home advantage and altitude stack heavily for the hosts, who carry far more top-level depth than the Group A field.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-brazil-vs-morocco-06-13-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>Brazil vs Morocco<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>Brazil to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-175 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Brazil carry far more top-level attacking depth than any Group C rival and start as genuine tournament contenders.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-france-vs-senegal-06-16-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>France vs Senegal<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>France to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-225 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>France carry the deepest squad in Group I and far more recent tournament pedigree than the rest of the field.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-argentina-vs-algeria-06-16-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>Argentina vs Algeria<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>Argentina to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-239 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>The world champions have the talent advantage in every department and rarely slip up in opening fixtures.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-england-vs-croatia-06-17-26-world-cup-2026\/\"><strong>England vs Croatia<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td>England to Win<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-138 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>England carry far more squad depth than this Croatia group and have won four of the last six meetings between the nations.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Three-star confidence is our standard rating for a pick we are willing to put in front of readers; we do not publish anything below that bar. The percentages in parentheses are the implied probability of the bet365 line, not our own model output. Use them to sanity-check whether the price has any margin over the true probability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-predictions-by-bet-type\">Predictions by bet type<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Rather than spread every market across one page, we split picks by bet type so you can drill straight into the call you are looking for. Each child page below carries its own curated slate from the matchday and an explainer for how that market behaves in tournament play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/both-teams-to-score\/\">Both Teams to Score predictions<\/a> \u2014 BTTS Yes and No picks across the matchday-one slate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/anytime-goalscorer\/\">Anytime Goalscorer predictions<\/a> \u2014 player picks built off recent club form and tournament role.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/correct-score\/\">Correct Score predictions<\/a> \u2014 longer-odds value plays on the most likely scoreline per fixture.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"\/ca\/soccer-predictions\/over-2-5-goals\/\">Over 2.5 Goals predictions<\/a> \u2014 the six matchday fixtures where the goal line carries real value.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-stats-behind-our-predictions\">Key stats behind our predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Three points anchor every call we make on this page. Recent form \u2014 we lean on the last six competitive results rather than tournament friendlies, because friendlies tell you very little about competitive shape. Expected goals \u2014 we look at xG for and against to separate teams whose results have outperformed their underlying numbers from teams who are creating better chances than the table suggests. And availability \u2014 if a side\u2019s first-choice attacker or first-choice keeper is not on the team sheet, the line moves and our pick moves with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On a tournament opener, two structural effects tend to compress the goal lines. Sides protect against a damaging first result and play more cautiously than they would in a qualifying group, and the team without a strong tournament pedigree tends to sit deeper and look to nick a result on the counter. That is why most of our Goals picks across the opening matchday lean Under 2.5 even where one team is clearly stronger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-we-make-our-predictions\">How we make our predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Every pick on this page starts from a full match preview. We build the preview against squad-availability data, club-season stats from the major European leagues plus MLS and Liga MX, head-to-head context where it exists, and the live bet365 line at time of writing. The pick we surface is the one where our internal read of the fixture meaningfully diverges from the bet365 price \u2014 not just \u201cCanada to win\u201d because Canada are the better team, but \u201cCanada at -125\u201d because we make them more like -160 against this opponent. You can dig into the same player and team data yourself in our <a href=\"\/ca\/comparison-matrix\/\">Comparison Matrix<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We do not chase parlay payouts and we do not publish picks under three-star confidence. If a market does not have value at the current price, we say so in the preview and leave it off this list. Markets move \u2014 the bet365 line you see today is the line that was live at the time of writing, and the price you place at can move either way before kick-off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-soccer-predictions-faqs\">Soccer predictions FAQs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How often are these picks updated?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The picks table is rebuilt each matchday from the latest set of fixture previews. Mid-tournament we will refresh on a per-matchday cadence; during the group stage that is roughly once every three days, and during the knockouts it is every two days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Where does the bet365 line come from?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>All odds are pulled live from bet365 at the time of writing. Bet365 is one of the licensed sportsbook operators in Ontario via iGaming Ontario, and runs a separate non-Ontario product for the rest of Canada. The line shown is the bet365 GB feed in American odds \u2014 the same data that powers the on-page fixture odds widgets across Squawka. For the full picture, compare bet365 with the other <a href=\"\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/\">best betting sites in Canada<\/a>, including the <a href=\"\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/new\/\">newest betting sites<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why do most opening matchday picks lean Under 2.5?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Tournament openers compress goal lines. Sides play conservatively against the risk of a damaging first result, the weaker side tends to sit deep, and the favourite tends to be patient with the ball rather than chasing the second goal at all costs. Across recent World Cups the matchday-one Under-2.5 hit rate has run materially above the implied probability of the lines, which is why we lean that way on most fixtures and only pivot Over where there is a clear quality gap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is bet365 the only operator you cover?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bet365 is the line we anchor our picks against because the depth and stability of their international soccer book is the strongest of any operator available to Canadian bettors. Our <a href=\"\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365 Canada review<\/a> covers the rest-of-Canada product and our <a href=\"\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365-ontario\/\">bet365 Ontario review<\/a> covers the AGCO-licensed Ontario product.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What does three-star confidence mean?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Three stars is our standard rating. It means the pick has cleared our internal value bar \u2014 the bet365 line is materially worse than our read of the true probability \u2014 and the call is fit to publish. We do not publish below three stars; if a market does not clear the bar we leave it off the page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) \u2014 see your province&#8217;s helpline for resources elsewhere.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 World Cup is finally here, and the matchday-one slate is loaded with calls worth taking a serious look at. We have run every Group A through Group L opener through the same process \u2014 recent form, head-to-head where it exists, expected-goals output, squad availability, and the bet365 line versus the rest of the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":1730,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"soccer predictions","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Soccer Predictions & Picks: World Cup 2026 | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our 2026 World Cup MD1 picks across all 24 openers \u2014 match-winner, BTTS, anytime goalscorer, correct score and Over 2.5 \u2014 with bet365 lines and reasoning.","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1731","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Soccer Predictions &amp; 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