{"id":9726,"date":"2026-09-08T06:54:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T10:54:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=outright_markets&p=9726"},"modified":"2026-09-08T06:54:33","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T10:54:33","slug":"afc-championship-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/outright-markets\/afc-championship-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL AFC Championship Odds 2027: Squawka Signal Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"

Squawka Signal, our own NFL model, is live for the AFC Championship. It rates every AFC team from five seasons of results and its projected quarterback, then simulates the season tens of thousands of times to work out how often each one reaches Super Bowl LXI. The full board is below, and it moves with results, injuries and quarterback changes.<\/p>\n\n\n

<\/span>Squawka Signal · Model read<\/div>

AFC Championship — Squawka Signal<\/h2>

Our model’s AFC Championship probability for every AFC team. It leans on five seasons of team strength plus each side’s projected quarterback, and sharpens as results land. Tap any team for its Squawka Rating and Super Bowl odds.<\/p>

1<\/span>\"BUF\"Buffalo Bills<\/span>Squawka<\/span>23.5%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>97<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>23.5%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>13.8%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
2<\/span>\"DEN\"Denver Broncos<\/span>Squawka<\/span>20.8%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>94<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>20.8%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>12.6%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
3<\/span>\"HOU\"Houston Texans<\/span>Squawka<\/span>12.8%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>83<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>12.8%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>6.9%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
4<\/span>\"JAC\"Jacksonville Jaguars<\/span>Squawka<\/span>10.3%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>82<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>10.3%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>5.3%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
5<\/span>\"NE\"New England Patriots<\/span>Squawka<\/span>10.2%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>85<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>10.2%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>5.1%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
6<\/span>\"BAL\"Baltimore Ravens<\/span>Squawka<\/span>8.3%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>77<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>8.3%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>3.8%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
7<\/span>\"LAC\"Los Angeles Chargers<\/span>Squawka<\/span>4.6%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>73<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>4.6%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>2.2%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
8<\/span>\"PIT\"Pittsburgh Steelers<\/span>Squawka<\/span>3.5%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>67<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>3.5%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>1.5%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
9<\/span>\"CIN\"Cincinnati Bengals<\/span>Squawka<\/span>3.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>62<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>3.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>1.1%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
10<\/span>\"KC\"Kansas City Chiefs<\/span>Squawka<\/span>2.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>63<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>2.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.7%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
11<\/span>\"IND\"Indianapolis Colts<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.7%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>51<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.7%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.2%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
12<\/span>\"MIA\"Miami Dolphins<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.2%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>43<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.2%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.1%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
13<\/span>\"LV\"Las Vegas Raiders<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>21<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
14<\/span>\"TEN\"Tennessee Titans<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>11<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
15<\/span>\"CLE\"Cleveland Browns<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>23<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details>
16<\/span>\"NYJ\"New York Jets<\/span>Squawka<\/span>0.0%<\/span><\/span><\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>
Squawka Rating<\/span>19<\/b><\/div>
Win the AFC<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div>
Win Super Bowl<\/span>0.0%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><\/div>
bet365<\/a><\/div>

Squawka Rating = each team’s strength on a 0–100 scale. Model % = AFC Championship probability across tens of thousands of season simulations, updated as games are played. These are model predictions, not a bookmaker’s price. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Read the Signal methodology<\/a>. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365<\/a>.<\/p>