{"id":10508,"date":"2026-09-08T01:01:02","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T05:01:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/nfl\/nfl-news\/bills-vs-texans-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T06:34:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T10:34:45","slug":"bills-vs-texans-prediction-picks-odds-week-1","status":"publish","type":"nfl-news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/nfl\/nfl-news\/bills-vs-texans-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs Texans Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our <strong>Bills vs Texans prediction<\/strong> is the closest call among the good teams. Buffalo visit NRG Stadium on Sunday, September 13. Both finished 2025 at 12-5, and both begin the <a href=\"\/ca\/nfl\/\">NFL season<\/a> here. Squawka Signal&#8217;s current read, and where the value sits, appears in the block directly below. Similarly, Signal rates <a href=\"\/ca\/nfl\/picks\/\">the full Week 1 slate<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seven points of differential separated these two across an entire season. Buffalo finished plus 116 and Houston plus 109.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The styles diverge sharply, though. Buffalo scored 481 points; Houston conceded just 295, the meanest defensive record of any side playing this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-nsig{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:18px;margin:28px 0;isolation:isolate;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(47,230,201,.14) 0%,rgba(47,230,201,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 60%,#040f1d 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(4,15,29,.5);font-family:'Bricolage 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a{color:#2FE6C9;text-decoration:underline}\n@media(max-width:560px){.sq-nsig__inner{padding:22px 16px}.sq-nsig__cmp{gap:10px}.sq-nsig__verd{min-width:0}.sq-nsig__name{font-size:14px}}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r{position:absolute;width:0;height:0;opacity:0;pointer-events:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-tabs{display:inline-flex;border:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.4);border-radius:999px;overflow:hidden;margin:0 0 14px}\n.sq-nsig__geo-tab{cursor:pointer;padding:6px 15px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-nsig__geo-a{display:contents}.sq-nsig__geo-b{display:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--a:checked~.sq-nsig__geo-tabs .sq-nsig__geo-tab--a,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__geo-tabs .sq-nsig__geo-tab--b{background:#2FE6C9;color:#04121f}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cards .sq-nsig__geo-a,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-a{display:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cards .sq-nsig__geo-b,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-b{display:contents}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-nsig\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__inner\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__tag\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Squawka Signal &middot; Model read<\/span><h3 class=\"sq-nsig__title\">Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans<\/h3><p class=\"sq-nsig__meta\">Week 1 &middot; Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the <b>Buffalo Bills<\/b> favourites by about <b>1<\/b> point, a 53% win probability.<\/p><div class=\"sq-nsig__cards\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/BUF.png\" alt=\"BUF\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Buffalo Bills<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Win prob<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">53%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/HOU.png\" alt=\"HOU\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Houston Texans<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Win prob<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">47%<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Projected line<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Buffalo Bills -1<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__cta-row\" style=\"margin-top:14px\"><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">bet365<\/a><\/div><p class=\"sq-nsig__foot\">Squawka Signal is our model&#8217;s read, updated after every result &mdash; not betting advice. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">How the NFL Signal works<\/a>. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&amp;Cs &amp; geo-restrictions apply: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365<\/a>.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_END -->\n\n\n\n<style>\n\/* Squawka NFL picks card - palette matched to the injected sq-nsig Signal units *\/\n.sqp{--cy:#2FE6C9;--val:#38D97A;--ovr:#FF6A5A;--fair:#FFC24B;--tx:#e8f0f7;--mut:rgba(232,240,247,.60);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#FFC24B;position:relative;overflow:hidden;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:14px auto 26px;border-radius:14px;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 62%,#04121f 100%);box-shadow:0 14px 36px rgba(4,18,31,.34)}\n.sqp *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sqp__wrap{padding:22px 26px 20px}\n.sqp__kick{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__kick::before{content:'';width:7px;height:7px;border-radius:50%;background:var(--cy);box-shadow:0 0 9px 1px var(--cy)}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:24px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.3px;line-height:1.14;margin:12px 0 0;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__sub{margin:7px 0 0;font-size:14.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut);max-width:70ch}\n.sqp__crests{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin-top:14px}\n.sqp__crests img{width:28px;height:28px;display:block}\n.sqp__at{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:var(--mut);letter-spacing:.1em}\n.sqp__h3{margin:20px 0 0;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__list{margin-top:12px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 126px;gap:14px;align-items:center;padding:14px 2px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__mkt{display:block;font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.13em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy);margin-bottom:4px}\n.sqp__pk{font-size:15.5px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.25;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__top{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle;margin-left:8px;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:#3a2c00;background:var(--gold);padding:3px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__why{display:block;margin-top:5px;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut)}\n.sqp__pr{text-align:center}\n.sqp__val{display:block;font-size:23px;font-weight:800;color:var(--cy);line-height:1;text-decoration:none}\na.sqp__val:hover{text-decoration:underline}\n.sqp__stars{display:block;font-size:15px;line-height:1;letter-spacing:1px;color:var(--gold)}\n.sqp__stars .d{opacity:.24}\n.sqp__lab{display:block;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--mut);margin-top:4px}\n.sqp__verd{display:inline-block;margin-top:6px;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;padding:2px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__verd--val{color:var(--val);background:rgba(56,217,122,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--ovr{color:var(--ovr);background:rgba(255,106,90,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--fair{color:var(--fair);background:rgba(255,194,75,.12)}\n.sqp__approach{margin:14px 0 0;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.55;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__foot{margin:16px 0 0;padding-top:13px;border-top:1px solid var(--line);font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.55;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5)}\n.sqp__foot a{color:var(--cy);font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.35)}\n@media(max-width:640px){\n.sqp__wrap{padding:18px 15px 16px}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:20px}\n.sqp__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 100px;gap:10px}\n.sqp__val{font-size:20px}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sqp\" id=\"sqp-bufhou\">\n<div class=\"sqp__wrap\">\n<span class=\"sqp__kick\">Week 1 &middot; Editorial pick<\/span>\n<h2 class=\"sqp__ttl\">Bills vs Texans: our editor&#8217;s prop<\/h2>\n<p class=\"sqp__sub\">One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sqp__crests\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/BUF.png\" alt=\"Bills\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<span class=\"sqp__at\">AT<\/span>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/HOU.png\" alt=\"Texans\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<\/div>\n<h3 class=\"sqp__h3\">Our prop<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sqp__list\">\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Player prop\" data-selection=\"Josh Allen sacked two or more times\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Player prop<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Josh Allen sacked two or more times<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Houston recorded 47 sacks in 2025, with Danielle Hunter on 15 and Will Anderson Jr. on 12. Buffalo&#8217;s line allowed 40 by contrast.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 4 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"d\">&#9733;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"sqp__foot\">An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs Texans: 2025 season form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Buffalo finished 12-5 at plus 116; Houston 12-5 at plus 109. Houston closed on nine straight wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>2025 regular season<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Bills<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Texans<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Record<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12-5<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12-5<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points for<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">481<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">404<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points against<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">365<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">295<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Point differential<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+116<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+109<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks recorded<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">47<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">40<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Interceptions made<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Third-down offence<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">44.8%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.2%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red-zone offence<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">66.2%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">46.3%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red zone allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">59.6%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">56.8%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Opponent passer rating<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">79.8<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">76.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The contrast is offence against defence. Buffalo scored 481 points to Houston&#8217;s 404, while Houston conceded 295 to Buffalo&#8217;s 365. Neither edge is obviously the larger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs Texans injury report and team news<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, both sides expect their first-choice quarterbacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Josh Allen starts for Buffalo with James Cook III in the backfield after a league-leading 1,621 rushing yards. The receiving group is led by Khalil Shakir, moreover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">C.J. Stroud starts for Houston. Nico Collins leads the receivers after 1,117 yards, meanwhile, with Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson Jr. anchoring the defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-ninj{border:1px solid #123f5c;border-radius:14px;overflow:hidden;margin:24px 0;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;background:#0a2540;color:#e8f0f7}\n.sq-ninj__head{display:flex;align-items:baseline;justify-content:space-between;gap:10px;padding:13px 16px;background:#06182b;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;letter-spacing:.4px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#fff;border-bottom:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__head span{font-size:11px;font-weight:600;letter-spacing:0;text-transform:none;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-ninj__cols{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}\n.sq-ninj__col{flex:1 1 260px;padding:14px 16px}\n.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__team{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-weight:800;font-size:14px;color:#fff;margin-bottom:10px}\n.sq-ninj__team img{width:24px;height:24px;object-fit:contain}\n.sq-ninj__row{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;padding:6px 0;border-top:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.06);font-size:13.5px}\n.sq-ninj__nm{flex:1;min-width:0;color:#fff;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\n.sq-ninj__pos{flex:0 0 auto;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);font-size:11px;font-weight:700}\n.sq-ninj__st{flex:0 0 auto;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:999px}\n.sq-ninj__st--out{background:rgba(255,106,90,.16);color:#FF6A5A}\n.sq-ninj__st--doubt{background:rgba(255,194,75,.16);color:#FFC24B}\n.sq-ninj__st--ques{background:rgba(232,240,247,.1);color:rgba(232,240,247,.8)}\n.sq-ninj__none{font-size:13px;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);padding:4px 0}\n@media(max-width:520px){.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid #123f5c}}\n<\/style><div class=\"sq-ninj\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__head\">Injury report &middot; Week 1<span>Official game-status report &mdash; updates through the week<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__cols\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/BUF.png\" alt=\"BUF\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Buffalo Bills<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/HOU.png\" alt=\"HOU\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Houston Texans<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_END -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The matchup that settles it: the best rushing attack against the meanest defence<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">James Cook III ran for 1,621 yards in 2025, more than any other player in the league. Buffalo scored 481 points on the back of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Houston conceded 295 points across the same season, the lowest figure of any team playing this week, with 47 sacks from Hunter and Anderson. Consequently something has to give, and neither side has an obvious answer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Players to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Josh Allen (BUF, QB):<\/strong> 3,668 passing yards for a 12-5 team.<\/li>\n<li><strong>James Cook III (BUF, RB):<\/strong> 1,621 rushing yards, indeed the most in the league.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Danielle Hunter (HOU, DE):<\/strong> 15 sacks, notably the most on either roster.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nico Collins (HOU, WR):<\/strong> 1,117 receiving yards, moreover, for the meanest defence on the slate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to watch Bills vs Texans<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, meanwhile, and RDS carries the French-language coverage. Because the CTV pick is regional, <a href=\"https:\/\/tidd.ly\/3SXLgWO\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DAZN<\/a> is the reliable route to this particular game through NFL Game Pass. Our full <a href=\"\/ca\/nfl\/nfl-news\/how-to-watch-nfl-in-canada\/\">guide to watching the NFL in Canada<\/a> sets out every window. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Detail<\/th><th>Bills vs Texans<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td>Sunday, September 13, 2026<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kickoff<\/strong><\/td><td>1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Venue<\/strong><\/td><td>NRG Stadium, Houston, TX<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>TV<\/strong><\/td><td>CTV (regional) \/ RDS (French)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Live stream<\/strong><\/td><td>DAZN (NFL Game Pass) \/ CTV.ca<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Week<\/strong><\/td><td>Week 1, 2026 NFL season<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs Texans prediction and score projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Bills vs Texans prediction<\/strong> is a narrow Buffalo win, and narrow is the operative word. These two finished 2025 seven points apart on differential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Notably, Signal currently puts Buffalo at <!--sig:BUF.wp-->53%<!--\/sig:BUF.wp--> and Houston at <!--sig:HOU.wp-->47%<!--\/sig:HOU.wp-->, with a projected line of <!--sig:sig.line-->Buffalo Bills -1<!--\/sig:sig.line-->.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Texans hold home field, the better defence and a nine-game winning run. However, Buffalo scored 77 more points and hold the league&#8217;s leading rusher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So we will take the Bills, 24-22, and back a winner rather than points. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Signal rates every game on our <a href=\"\/ca\/nfl\/picks\/\">NFL picks page<\/a>. Meanwhile the title race is priced through <a href=\"\/ca\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/\">Super Bowl LXI odds<\/a>, with both conferences on the <a href=\"\/ca\/outright-markets\/nfc-championship-odds\/\">NFC<\/a> and <a href=\"\/ca\/outright-markets\/afc-championship-odds\/\">AFC Championship<\/a> pages. Finally, player markets sit with our <a href=\"\/ca\/nfl\/props\/\">NFL player props<\/a> coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/schedules\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs Texans FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-bufhou-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is favourite to win, the Bills or the Texans?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">There is almost nothing in it. Both finished 12-5, seven points apart on differential. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-bufhou-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the spread for Bills vs Texans?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">This one may not offer a clean spread at all. Both teams finished 12-5 and seven points apart on differential, so back a winner rather than points. The live line, if there is one, sits in the Signal block.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-bufhou-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How can I watch Bills vs Texans in Canada?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region and RDS carries the French-language coverage, while DAZN has every game through NFL Game Pass. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13. Notably the CTV pick is regional.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-bufhou-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who starts at quarterback for Buffalo?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Josh Allen, with James Cook III in the backfield. Meanwhile C.J. Stroud starts for Houston.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-bufhou-5\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the score prediction for Bills vs Texans?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Bills 24-22. Buffalo scored 77 more points last season, though Houston conceded the fewest of any team playing this week.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our Bills vs Texans prediction is the closest call among the good teams. Buffalo visit NRG Stadium on Sunday, September 13. Both finished 2025 at 12-5, and both begin the NFL season here. Squawka Signal&#8217;s current read, and where the value sits, appears in the block directly below. Similarly, Signal rates the full Week 1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":10507,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bills vs texans prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bills vs Texans Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Bills vs Texans prediction, picks and odds for Week 1 in Houston. Two 12-5 teams, the best rushing attack against the meanest defence. 1 PM ET.","footnotes":""},"tags":[333,263,342,328],"class_list":["post-10508","nfl-news","type-nfl-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-buffalo-bills","tag-canada","tag-houston-texans","tag-nfl"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs Texans Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Bills vs Texans prediction, picks and odds for Week 1 in Houston. 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