{"id":4886,"date":"2026-07-06T17:14:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T21:14:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T18:23:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T22:23:13","slug":"match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16\/","title":{"rendered":"USA vs Belgium: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The USA meet Belgium in the World Cup round of 16 at CenturyLink Field in Seattle on Monday, July 6, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET \/ 7:00 PM CT \/ 6:00 PM MT \/ 5:00 PM PT. A quarter-final place is on the line, and extra time and penalties are in play if the sides can&#8217;t be separated.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>This is about as even as a knockout tie gets. The hosts have been carried a long way by their crowd in this <a href=\"\/ca\/world-cup-2026\/\">World Cup 2026<\/a>, but there&#8217;s a significant late twist in the hosts&#8217; favour: Folarin Balogun&#8217;s one-match ban for his red card in the last round has been deferred, so the USA&#8217;s leading scorer is free to start after all. Belgium still turn up with the deeper squad and the confidence of an extra-time win over Senegal behind them.<\/p>\n\n<p>bet365 make the USA slight favourites at +150, with Belgium at +170 and the draw at +250. That pricing leans on the crowd and the run; our own numbers read the squads instead, and they point the other way.<\/p>\n\n\n<style>\n.sq-bpg{--lime:#a8e039;--glow:#c8f24c;--tx:#f4f8f1;--mut:rgba(244,248,241,.62);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#F7B500;--b365:#ffdd00;position:relative;overflow:hidden;isolation:isolate;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:12px auto 30px;border-radius:18px;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(168,224,57,.20) 0%,rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29 0%,#0a2c1f 60%,#08251a 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(10,44,31,.32)}\n.sq-bpg 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6px;line-height:1.3}.sq-bpg__act{padding:14px}.sq-bpg__act-txt{min-width:0}.sq-bpg__cta{width:100%;justify-content:center}.sq-bpg__altsbtn{flex:1 1 120px}}\n@media(max-width:400px){.sq-bpg__ttl{font-size:19px}.sq-bpg__pk{font-size:15px}.sq-bpg__why{font-size:12.5px}.sq-bpg__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 82px}.sq-bpg__prob{font-size:19px}.sq-bpg__altsbtn{flex:1 1 100%}}\n.sq-bpg__odd{display:inline-block;margin-top:7px;font-size:12.5px;font-weight:700;color:var(--tx);background:rgba(255,255,255,.08);border-radius:7px;padding:3px 8px}\n.sq-bpg__panel--solo{display:block;margin-top:16px}\n<\/style>\n\n<div class=\"sq-bpg\" id=\"sq-bpg-usa-bel\">\n <div class=\"sq-bpg__wrap\">\n  <h2 class=\"sq-bpg__ttl\">USA vs Belgium: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__sub\">A true knockout coin-flip in Seattle &#8212; Belgium carry the higher ceiling with De Bruyne, Lukaku and Trossard, even as the market leans narrowly to the hosts.<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__perf\">\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__perf-h\">Squawka World Cup record<\/span>\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__chip sq-bpg__chip--big\">Overall <b>57%<\/b> &middot; 80\/88<\/span>\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__chip\">Group Stage <b>55%<\/b><\/span>\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__chip\">Round of 32 <b>69%<\/b><\/span>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__list\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Result\" data-selection=\"Belgium to Win\" data-prob=\"34\" data-odds=\"+170\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Belgium to Win<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__top\">Top pick<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Our model makes Belgium 57% to advance even with the market siding with the hosts. De Bruyne, Lukaku and Trossard sit a level above at plus-money, and while Balogun&#8217;s reprieve restores the USA&#8217;s focal point, Belgium&#8217;s ceiling is higher.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__prob\">34%<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">win prob.<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd\">+170 @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Both Teams to Score\" data-selection=\"Yes\" data-prob=\"62\" data-odds=\"-163\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">The USA have found the net in every game, and Belgium carry the firepower to reply. Neither defence has looked like keeping a clean sheet.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__prob\">62%<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd\">-163 @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-selection=\"Over 2.5\" data-prob=\"56\" data-odds=\"-125\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Over 2.5 Goals<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">A free-scoring US group stage and Belgium&#8217;s 5-1 and 3-2 wins both point at goals. This has the look of an open knockout.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__prob\">56%<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd\">-125 @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Anytime Goalscorer\" data-selection=\"Folarin Balogun\" data-prob=\"42\" data-odds=\"+137\" data-player-id=\"edti8t30h7ukwi3wqlzaczje1\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Folarin Balogun to score anytime<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Three goals already and the shortest-priced scorer on the board now his ban has been deferred \u2014 the USA&#8217;s focal point restored at a fair price.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__prob\">42%<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd\">+137 @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Correct Score\" data-selection=\"USA 1-2 Belgium\" data-prob=\"9\" data-odds=\"+1000\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Correct Score: USA 1-2 Belgium<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">The natural scoreline for a tight, open tie that Belgium&#8217;s extra class settles late.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__prob\">9%<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd\">+1000 @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__approach\"><b>Our approach:<\/b> anchor on Belgium at plus-money as the value call, pair Both Teams to Score with the Over for the likeliest game state, and add Balogun anytime as the shortest scorer price.<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel--solo\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Back these with bet365<\/b><span>Odds shown in American format for illustration &#8212; your local price and offer are served on click.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--b365\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Bet with bet365 &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB &amp; QC). Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available &mdash; ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2>World Cup Form &amp; Route to the Round of 16<\/h2>\n<p>The USA came out of the blocks quickly, beating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 to book their place before a dead-rubber 3-2 loss to Turkey with qualification already secured and changes made. They found their level again to see off Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 in the round of 32 \u2014 though Balogun&#8217;s red card in that win rules him out here, a real dent to their attack.<\/p>\n<p>Belgium took the long way round, drawing with Egypt and Iran before thrashing New Zealand 5-1, then edging a 3-2 extra-time thriller past Senegal. The <a href=\"\/ca\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-outright-betting-odds\/\">World Cup 2026 outright odds<\/a> can barely split the two, but the closer you look at the squads, the clearer Belgium&#8217;s edge becomes.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>USA: W W L W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 1, 2026: USA 2-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 25, 2026: Turkey 3-2 USA (L)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 19, 2026: USA 2-0 Australia (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 12, 2026: USA 4-1 Paraguay (W)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The USA have been sharp when it counted, with their only defeat arriving in a dead rubber against Turkey after qualification was already wrapped up. With Balogun cleared to play, the USA have their focal point back, and the goals can still come through midfield and the wide areas too.<\/p>\n<h3>Belgium: D D W W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 1, 2026: Belgium 3-2 Senegal (W, after extra time)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 26, 2026: New Zealand 1-5 Belgium (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 21, 2026: Belgium 0-0 Iran (D)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 15, 2026: Belgium 1-1 Egypt (D)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Belgium were slow to warm up but have grown into the tournament, and the extra-time win over Senegal showed they can force a way through under pressure. 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font-size:12px;line-height:1.45;color:var(--sq-muted);font-style:italic;}\n.sq-teamnews__caveat svg{flex:none;margin-top:1px;opacity:.8;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 teams grid \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__teams{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:16px;padding:16px;}\n.sq-teamnews__team{min-width:0;}\n.sq-teamnews__teamhead{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin-bottom:10px;}\n.sq-teamnews__crest{width:32px;height:32px;flex:none;border-radius:7px;overflow:hidden;object-fit:cover;\n  background:var(--sq-ground);box-shadow:inset 0 0 0 1px var(--sq-line);}\n.sq-teamnews__name{flex:1;margin:0;font-size:16px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.01em;}\n.sq-teamnews__formation{flex:none;font-size:12px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;color:var(--sq-primary);\n  background:rgba(27,94,59,.09);border:1px solid rgba(27,94,59,.2);border-radius:7px;padding:4px 9px;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 the pitch \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__pitch{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:11px;min-height:330px;\n  background:repeating-linear-gradient(0deg,rgba(255,255,255,.045) 0 12.5%,rgba(0,0,0,.05) 12.5% 25%),\n    linear-gradient(180deg,var(--sq-turfA) 0%,var(--sq-turfB) 100%);\n  box-shadow:inset 0 0 0 2px rgba(255,255,255,.14),0 6px 18px -12px rgba(14,36,25,.5);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk{position:absolute;pointer-events:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--half{left:7%;right:7%;top:50%;border-top:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--circle{left:50%;top:50%;width:86px;height:86px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--spot{left:50%;top:50%;width:5px;height:5px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);background:rgba(255,255,255,.3);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxb{left:24%;right:24%;bottom:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-bottom:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxt{left:24%;right:24%;top:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-top:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalb{left:41%;right:41%;bottom:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-bottom:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalt{left:41%;right:41%;top:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-top:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n\/* bands: GK at the bottom (goal), FWD at the top (attacking) *\/\n.sq-teamnews__bands{position:absolute;inset:0;z-index:2;display:flex;flex-direction:column-reverse;padding:12px 4px;}\n.sq-teamnews__band{flex:1;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-evenly;gap:2px;}\n.sq-teamnews__node{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:3px;flex:1;min-width:0;max-width:98px;}\n.sq-teamnews__jersey{width:27px;height:24px;flex:none;color:#ffffff;filter:drop-shadow(0 1px 2px rgba(0,0,0,.45));}\n.sq-teamnews__band[data-role=\"GK\"] .sq-teamnews__jersey{color:var(--sq-gold);}\n.sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.12;color:#fff;text-align:center;\n  letter-spacing:-.01em;max-width:100%;overflow-wrap:break-word;\n  text-shadow:0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.75),0 0 2px rgba(0,0,0,.55);}\n.sq-teamnews__mark{color:var(--sq-gold);font-weight:800;}\nsup.sq-teamnews__mark{font-size:.72em;margin-left:1px;text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footnotes (auto-hides when there are none) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__notes{list-style:none;margin:0;padding:14px 16px 2px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:5px;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes:empty{display:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes li{font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.4;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n.sq-teamnews__notes strong{color:var(--sq-ink);font-weight:700;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes .sq-teamnews__mark{text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footer \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__foot{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;margin-top:14px;padding:10px 16px;\n  border-top:1px solid var(--sq-line);background:var(--sq-ground);\n  font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:700;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 narrow phones: stop the header pill + 4-across bands clipping \u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(max-width:559px){\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:14px 14px 13px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__kicker{font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.12em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pill{font-size:9.5px;padding:4px 9px;letter-spacing:.08em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:16.5px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{padding:12px;gap:12px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__bands{padding:10px 2px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__band{gap:1px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__node{max-width:none;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:9px;line-height:1.05;}\n  .sq-teamnews__jersey{width:23px;height:20px;}\n}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 desktop: pitches side-by-side \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(min-width:560px){\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;}\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:18px 20px 17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:21px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__name{font-size:17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pitch{min-height:372px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:11px;}\n}\n<\/style>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 HEADER \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__head\">\n    <div class=\"sq-teamnews__brandrow\">\n      <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__chev\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n        <path d=\"M4 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent-2)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n        <path d=\"M13 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <\/svg>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__kicker\">Team News<\/span>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill\"><span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill-dot\"><\/span>Predicted<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n    <h2 class=\"sq-teamnews__h2\">USA vs Belgium Predicted Lineups<\/h2>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 CAVEAT (predicted only) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  \n  <p class=\"sq-teamnews__caveat\">\n    <svg width=\"14\" height=\"14\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M12 11.2v5M12 7.4v.4\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Based on the XI each side started in their last match.<\/span>\n  <\/p>\n  \n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 TWO TEAMS, each on a pitch \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teams\">\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">USA<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">4-3-3<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">M. Freese<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Robinson<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">T. Ream<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">C. Richards<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Freeman<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"MID\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">M. Tillman<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">T. Adams<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">W. McKennie<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">C. Pulisic<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">F. Balogun<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">S. Dest<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">Belgium<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">4-2-3-1<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">T. Courtois<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">M. De Cuyper<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Theate<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">B. Mechele<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">T. Castagne<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">H. Vanaken<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">Y. Tielemans<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"AM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Doku<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">K. De Bruyne<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Trossard<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">C. De Ketelaere<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 FOOTNOTES: one line per player with a note (any team) \u2500\u2500 -->\n  <ul class=\"sq-teamnews__notes\">\n    \n  <\/ul>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__foot\">\n    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <path d=\"M5 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M13 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Squawka \u00b7 Team News<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-END -->\n\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium):<\/strong> A goal off an xG of 1.49 and four shots on target, still the tournament&#8217;s most dangerous passer and the man who sets Belgium&#8217;s tempo.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romelu Lukaku (Belgium):<\/strong> Two goals and an assist off an xG of 1.27, the focal point up front and one of the shortest-priced scorers on the board.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Leandro Trossard (Belgium):<\/strong> Two goals off a team-high xG of 2.37, drifting in from the left to give Belgium a second dependable finisher.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Folarin Balogun (USA):<\/strong> Three goals off an xG of 0.88 with 11 shots, four on target \u2014 the USA&#8217;s leading scorer, available again after his ban was deferred and the hosts&#8217; clear focal point.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Malik Tillman (USA):<\/strong> A goal and an assist off an xG of 1.01 with three shots on target, a key creator in the US attack.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2>USA vs Belgium Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Seattle will be loud and, with Balogun cleared to play, the USA have their focal point back \u2014 a live underdog now, not a hollow one. But Belgium simply hold more match-winners across the pitch. Our model&#8217;s 57% lean toward the visitors matches what the eye sees, even with the market favouring the hosts. We&#8217;re going <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Belgium to win at +170 with bet365<\/strong><\/a>, with Both Teams to Score and Lukaku anytime the supporting plays in what should be an open game. For more of our knockout coverage, head to the <a href=\"\/ca\/world-cup-2026\/\">World Cup 2026 hub<\/a> and the <a href=\"\/ca\/world-cup-2026\/standings\/\">World Cup 2026 standings<\/a>. Kickoff is 8:00 PM ET \/ 5:00 PM PT at CenturyLink Field, Seattle.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What time does USA vs Belgium kick off?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">USA vs Belgium kicks off at 8:00 PM ET \/ 7:00 PM CT \/ 6:00 PM MT \/ 5:00 PM PT on Monday, July 6, 2026 at CenturyLink Field in Seattle, in the World Cup round of 16.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is suspended for USA vs Belgium?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Nobody. Folarin Balogun was sent off in the round of 32, but his one-match ban has been deferred, so the USA&#8217;s leading scorer is available to start against Belgium.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the bet365 prediction for USA vs Belgium?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">bet365 price the USA at +150 to win, the draw at +250, and Belgium at +170. Folarin Balogun is the shortest-priced anytime scorer at +137 now his ban has been deferred.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p><em>19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON)<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The USA meet Belgium in the World Cup round of 16 at CenturyLink Field in Seattle on Monday, July 6, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET \/ 7:00 PM CT \/ 6:00 PM MT \/ 5:00 PM PT. A quarter-final place is on the line, and extra time and penalties are in play if the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":4885,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"USA vs Belgium prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"USA vs Belgium Prediction: World Cup 2026 | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our USA vs Belgium prediction, picks and best bets for the World Cup round of 16 in Seattle, with bet365 odds and predicted lineups.","footnotes":""},"tags":[262],"news-category":[261],"class_list":["post-4886","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-world-cup-2026","news-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>USA vs Belgium Prediction: World Cup 2026 | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our USA vs Belgium prediction, picks and best bets for the World Cup round of 16 in Seattle, with bet365 odds and predicted lineups.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"USA vs Belgium: Predictions, Picks, Odds &amp; 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Folarin Balogun was sent off in the round of 32, but his one-match ban has been deferred, so the USA's leading scorer is available to start against Belgium.","inLanguage":"en-CA"},"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16\/#faq-usa-bel-3","position":3,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-usa-vs-belgium-world-cup-2026-round-of-16\/#faq-usa-bel-3","name":"What is the bet365 prediction for USA vs Belgium?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"bet365 price the USA at +150 to win, the draw at +250, and Belgium at +170. Folarin Balogun is the shortest-priced anytime scorer at +137 now his ban has been deferred.","inLanguage":"en-CA"},"inLanguage":"en-CA"}]}},"yoast_title":"USA vs Belgium Prediction: World Cup 2026 | Squawka","yoast_description":"Our USA vs Belgium prediction, picks and best bets for the World Cup round of 16 in Seattle, with bet365 odds and predicted lineups.","yoast_keyword":"USA vs Belgium prediction","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/4886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/393"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/4886\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5238,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/4886\/revisions\/5238"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4885"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4886"},{"taxonomy":"news-category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news-category?post=4886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}