{"id":4125,"date":"2026-06-23T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=4125"},"modified":"2026-06-23T12:10:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T16:10:20","slug":"match-preview-turkey-vs-united-states-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-turkey-vs-united-states-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey vs United States: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Turkey vs United States is the Group D finale at the World Cup 2026<\/a>, kicking off on Thursday, June 25 at 10 PM ET \/ 9 PM CT \/ 8 PM MT \/ 7 PM PT at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Americans are already through as group winners. Turkey are already out.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The standings tell most of the story. Mauricio Pochettino’s side sit top of Group D on six points after a 4-1 win over Paraguay and a 2-0 victory against Australia, and they’ll start this one knowing the result doesn’t change their Round of 32 place. Turkey, meanwhile, have lost both matches without finding the net \u2014 2-0 to Australia in Vancouver, then 1-0 to Paraguay in California \u2014 and arrive at the finale with nothing tangible left to play for beyond pride and third-place seeding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That context makes this a tricky game to call at team level but a cleaner one in the individual markets. bet365<\/strong><\/a> price the Americans at -111, Turkey at +250, and the draw at +310, with Over 2.5 goals at +100. The USA moneyline is shorter than you might expect for a side that already has top spot locked, but Pochettino’s forward line has been clinical enough to justify it even accounting for rotation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turkey vs United States: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The rotation question sits at the heart of the handicapping here. Pochettino has every reason to give fringe players a run-out, which keeps Turkey live on the draw line and opens up the goalscorer and totals markets. But even a rotated American back four is dealing with a Turkish attack that has yet to register a single goal at this tournament, so the defensive exposure only travels so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
United States to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-111 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(52.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSix goals scored, one conceded across two games. Turkey haven’t scored yet at this tournament. Even a rotated USA side carries the superior forward line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n+100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(50.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nUSA are averaging three goals a game in the group. Turkey have conceded five and now need to chase the result to finish with anything off the floor.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Folarin Balogun Anytime Scorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+162 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTwo goals in 161 minutes at the tournament, xG of 0.88, three shots on target. The lead striker for one of the three co-hosts against a back line still looking for its first clean sheet.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: USA 3-1 Turkey<\/strong><\/td>\n+2800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(3.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nUSA control while Turkey grab a consolation chasing the game. Runs with the Over 2.5 and BTTS legs \u2014 speculative price for a parlay add-on.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTurkey are out and forced to push forward. USA have already conceded to Paraguay. An open second half tilts this toward both sides finding the net.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The anchor pick is Balogun. Over 2.5 goals stacks naturally as a parlay leg alongside the USA win. If you want a third leg, BTTS-Yes rides with both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at time of writing. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

World Cup 2026 Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The United States are clear at the top of Group D after two wins from two. Turkey sit at the bottom, pointless, scoreless, and already eliminated. Only the seeding for the best third-placed sides table remains to be settled here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
USA<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n+5<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Australia<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Paraguay<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n-2<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Turkey<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n-3<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Players to Watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n