{"id":4116,"date":"2026-06-23T12:15:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T16:15:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=4116"},"modified":"2026-06-23T12:16:06","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T16:16:06","slug":"match-preview-uruguay-vs-spain-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-uruguay-vs-spain-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Uruguay vs Spain: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Spain’s Group H campaign at World Cup 2026 reaches its conclusion on Friday, June 26 against Uruguay at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara. Kickoff is 8 PM ET \/ 7 PM CT \/ 6 PM MT \/ 5 PM PT.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luis de la Fuente’s side arrive in first place on four points, having shut out Cape Verde in the opener before dismantling Saudi Arabia 4-0. Uruguay sit second on two points from two draws \u2014 1-1 with Saudi Arabia and 2-2 with Cape Verde \u2014 and need at least a point here to guarantee their place in the round of 32 under Marcelo Bielsa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The significant team news concerns Spain: Pedri collected his second group-stage yellow card in the Saudi Arabia match and is suspended. He is the connective tissue of Spain’s midfield, and his absence forces de la Fuente to redistribute build-up responsibility between Rodri and Fabian Ruiz. Uruguay’s Valverde-Bentancur-Ugarte spine, which has provided a competitive base across two draws, is expected to remain intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The other Group H fixture on this matchday \u2014 Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia<\/a> \u2014 runs concurrently. bet365<\/strong><\/a> price Spain at -209 to win, the draw at +320 and Uruguay at +600.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uruguay vs Spain: Predictions & Best Bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spain carry a clear attacking advantage: they are averaging 2.5 goals per match in this group, and Bielsa’s structure \u2014 while compact and organised \u2014 has already conceded twice. The absence of Pedri is meaningful but not decisive for the goal threat, which still runs primarily through Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal. Our picks lean toward Spain winning, with Oyarzabal as the key finishing route.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Spain to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-209 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(67.6%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nSpain lead Group H on four points with a +4 goal difference. Uruguay have managed just two goals across 180 minutes, and Spain retain their attacking depth even without Pedri.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mikel Oyarzabal<\/strong> to score anytime<\/td>\n+120 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(45.5%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nOyarzabal is Spain’s shortest-priced anytime scorer in the bet365 book, ahead of Yamal and Ferran Torres. He has been the consistent finishing reference point for Spain throughout the group stage.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-111 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(52.6%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nSpain are averaging 2.5 goals per match in Group H. Uruguay’s set-piece aerial threat through Araujo and Gimenez makes a goal against Spain’s high line realistic even in a comfortable Spanish win.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Spain 2-1<\/strong><\/td>\n+800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(11.1%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐<\/td>\nCombines the Spain win, BTTS and Over 2.5 case in a single scoreline. Ronald Araujo and Jose Maria Gimenez are credible aerial threats who can convert from dead-ball situations.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n+100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(50.0%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nUruguay carry genuine dead-ball threat through corners and free kicks, and Spain’s high defensive line has conceded chances even in comfortable wins. BTTS at evens looks a fair reflection of that structure-versus-structure tension.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: anchor on Spain to win at -209, add Oyarzabal anytime at +120, and treat the 2-1 correct score as the natural extension of that combination if BTTS lands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC). Please play responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n

World Cup Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Spain have their Group H qualification wrapped up and are playing for the top-spot advantage \u2014 a more favourable path in the round of 32. Uruguay are playing for something more pressing: they need at least a point to guarantee they go through, and a defeat with the wrong result in the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia match could end their tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Spain<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n+4<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Uruguay<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cape Verde<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Saudi Arabia<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n-4<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n