{"id":4112,"date":"2026-06-23T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=4112"},"modified":"2026-06-23T11:58:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T15:58:09","slug":"match-preview-tunisia-vs-netherlands-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-tunisia-vs-netherlands-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Tunisia vs Netherlands: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Thursday, June 25 at 7 PM ET \/ 6 PM CT \/ 5 PM MT \/ 4 PM PT, Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City hosts the Group F finale \u2014 a match that means everything to one side and very little to the other.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The World Cup 2026<\/a> Tunisia vs Netherlands fixture has an odd shape to it. Netherlands are already through, already on four points, and need only to avoid a heavy defeat to lock down top spot in Group F. Tunisia, meanwhile, are going home regardless \u2014 nine goals shipped across two matches, one scored, zero points. This is dead rubber territory for one team and a consolation exercise for the other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365 Canada has the Dutch at -800 on the moneyline, Tunisia at +2200, and the draw at +700. Those odds reflect exactly what the group table already shows \u2014 Oranje have better players, better recent form, and nothing to worry about except how comfortable they want to be. For Canadian bettors, the live prices from bet365<\/strong><\/a> are the sharpest available on this market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tunisia vs Netherlands: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A heavy favourite against an eliminated side. The value question is not whether Netherlands win \u2014 at -800 that is effectively priced as a certainty \u2014 but where to build around them. Goals markets, a correct score, and the anytime scorer provide the angles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Netherlands to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(88.9%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nThe Dutch top Group F on four points with a goal difference of plus-four. Tunisia have lost both group matches by a combined 9-1 and have had no answer at either end. At -800 the odds are short, but the win is the structurally sound pick.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-225 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(69.2%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nNetherlands have scored seven goals across two group matches. Tunisia have conceded nine. The Dutch put five past Sweden last time out; Japan scored four against Tunisia in MD2. Three goals in this one looks like the path of least resistance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Tunisia 0-3 Netherlands<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15.4%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nThe second-shortest correct score on the board behind only 0-2. A three-goal Dutch win also lands Netherlands to Win, Over 2.5, and BTTS No on the same scoreline \u2014 solid parlay alignment at a price worth the exposure.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-200 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(66.7%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nTunisia have scored once in two matches \u2014 a consolation in the 5-1 defeat to Sweden. With the Eagles of Carthage already eliminated and Virgil van Dijk anchoring the Dutch defensive line, keeping a clean sheet is the more likely outcome than Tunisia finding a way through.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cody Gakpo to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n-110 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(52.4%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nCody Gakpo<\/strong> has been the Dutch’s sharpest attacking weapon through qualifying and into the group stage. Operating as the left-sided forward against a Tunisia defence that has shipped nine goals in two appearances, he is the anytime scorer pick by some distance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The build: anchor on Netherlands to Win, stack Over 2.5 as a parlay leg, and add Gakpo Anytime for the player-prop value. The 0-3 correct score is the speculative shot \u2014 worth a small stake at +550 given the parlay alignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC) | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON)<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

World Cup Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Group F has already resolved its two qualification spots before this game kicks off. Netherlands lead on four points, Japan are second on four (superior goal difference tiebreaker pending the Sweden result), Sweden sit third on three, and Tunisia are bottom on zero. The Dutch’s Group F seeding is the only thing still being decided on Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Netherlands<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n+4<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Japan<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n+4<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sweden<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tunisia<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n-8<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n