{"id":4111,"date":"2026-06-23T10:47:28","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T14:47:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=4111"},"modified":"2026-06-23T11:58:22","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T15:58:22","slug":"match-preview-egypt-vs-iran-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-egypt-vs-iran-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Egypt vs Iran: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Egypt and Iran meet in the Group G finale on Friday, June 26 at Lumen Field in Seattle \u2014 11 PM ET \/ 10 PM CT \/ 9 PM MT \/ 8 PM PT \u2014 with qualification permutations that make this one of the more compelling group-stage finales on the card.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n

Egypt arrive at the top of World Cup 2026<\/a> Group G on four points. Hossam Hassan’s side were rescued by a Mohamed Salah penalty in stoppage time against Belgium on matchday one, then they dismantled New Zealand 3-1 in Vancouver \u2014 Salah, Omar Marmoush and Mostafa Mohamed all on the scoresheet \u2014 to take full command of the group. Any result other than a loss sends them through; a draw guarantees first place unless Belgium beat the All Whites in the parallel kick-off and take the group on goal difference, which the numbers make unlikely.<\/p>\n\n

Iran come in second, level with Belgium on two points but holding that position on goals scored after back-to-back draws \u2014 2-2 with New Zealand in Inglewood and a disciplined 0-0 with Belgium at SoFi Stadium. What Amir Ghalenoei’s side cannot paper over is the loss of captain Ehsan Hajisafi to suspension: two yellow cards at this tournament, and now he watches the decider from the stands. Milad Mohammadi is expected to cover at left-back. The market has noticed \u2014 bet365 price Egypt at +140 to win, the draw at +180, and Iran at +260.<\/p>\n\n

Egypt vs Iran: Best Bets & Picks<\/h2>\n\n

Egypt are the better side across almost every metric that matters in a group-stage finale with something to win. Iran are hard to break down but they cannot sit for a draw when they need at least a point themselves \u2014 which should open proceedings up.<\/p>\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Pick<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Egypt to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n+140 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(41.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nEgypt have outscored Iran 4-2 across the group stage and carry the superior xG, forward depth and tactical incentive \u2014 finishing top keeps them on the kinder side of the bracket.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+187 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(34.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nOne goal, two assists and three shots on target in 161 minutes. He leads Egypt for xG (0.7), takes the penalties, and Iran will be tracking Marmoush and Mostafa Mohamed too \u2014 that creates space for Liverpool’s captain to operate.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n+105 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(48.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nEgypt have conceded in both group games; Iran scored twice against New Zealand and Ramin Rezaeian has contributed a goal and an assist from right-back. Neither defence has been watertight.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n+162 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nMore of a value lean than a banker \u2014 Egypt’s win over New Zealand cleared this line with room to spare, and Iran will need to push forward if they concede early.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Egypt 2-1<\/strong><\/td>\n+1000 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(9.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTies the win pick with the BTTS lean \u2014 Hassan’s side tend to manage a single-goal lead rather than chase a second, and Iran almost always find a way onto the scoresheet against tiring legs.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n

The approach: anchor the ticket with Salah Anytime Goalscorer at +187, add Egypt to Win, and combine them into a parlay for roughly +600. The 2-1 correct score is a small-stake speculative addition that squares neatly with the other two picks.<\/p>\n\n

Odds correct at time of writing. Please bet responsibly. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC).<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

World Cup Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n

Egypt sit top of Group G on four points. Iran and Belgium share second place on two points apiece, separated by goals scored \u2014 Iran edge that battle, hence their current position. A draw on Friday is enough to send Egypt through as group winners; Iran need at minimum a point and must hope Belgium do not beat New Zealand in the other simultaneous kick-off.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Egypt<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n+2<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Iran<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Belgium<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
New Zealand<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n-2<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n