{"id":18368,"date":"2026-10-28T07:59:06","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T11:59:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=18368"},"modified":"2026-10-28T13:11:08","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T17:11:08","slug":"thunder-vs-mavericks-prediction-team-news","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/nba\/thunder-vs-mavericks-prediction-team-news\/","title":{"rendered":"Thunder vs Mavericks: Prediction, Team News and SGA Against Flagg"},"content":{"rendered":"

Oklahoma City has won all four games, and it has done it while the injury list grew. Jalen Williams needs surgery on a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula, Cason Wallace on a torn labrum, and Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are out tonight.<\/strong> So the question in Dallas is how much Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can carry against Cooper Flagg.<\/p>\n

The Canadian is averaging 27.3 points through four games. Flagg has scored 32 and 29 in two of his three appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n

Our best bet<\/div>
Thunder to win<\/div>
Score prediction<\/span>Thunder 115-108<\/span><\/div>
Spread<\/span>Thunder at -6.5 or shorter<\/span><\/div>
Total<\/span>Under at 228.5 or higher<\/span><\/div>
Player prop<\/span>P.J. Washington over 14.5 points, if Irving is out<\/span><\/div>
Watch in Canada<\/span>NBA TV Canada<\/span><\/div>
Prop line checked on Covers’ NBA prop board at 6:55 a.m. ET on 28 October. Lines move, so check yours before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n

How to watch Thunder vs Mavericks in Canada<\/h2>\n\n
\n\n
<\/th>Detail<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n
Game<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks<\/td><\/tr>
Date<\/strong><\/td>Wednesday 28 October 2026<\/td><\/tr>
Tip-off<\/strong><\/td>9:30pm ET \/ 8:30pm CT<\/td><\/tr>
Venue<\/strong><\/td>American Airlines Center, Dallas<\/td><\/tr>
Records<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City 4-0, Dallas 2-2<\/td><\/tr>
Rest<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City with 1 day off, Dallas with 1 day off<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n

In Canada it’s on NBA TV Canada. If you’re watching away from a TV, our how to watch the NBA in Canada<\/a> page lists the streaming options.<\/p>\n

Thunder vs Mavericks odds<\/h2>\n

There’s no Canadian line on this one yet. NBA prices tend to settle on game day, once the injury report does. The NBA betting<\/a> hub explains where you can bet legally in Canada.<\/p>\n\n\n

Oklahoma City is 4-0 with a shrinking rotation<\/h2>\n

Oklahoma City won 116-104 in San Antonio, then beat Denver 96-84, the Clippers 108-101 and Phoenix 125-114 at home. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32, 17, 34 and 26.<\/p>\n

Depth has been tested already. Ajay Mitchell scored 30 against Phoenix on Monday, Jared McCain hit four threes for 18, and Isaiah Hartenstein had 15 points and 13 rebounds. Mitchell is questionable with an ankle problem, so even that cover isn’t certain.<\/p>\n

How they compare<\/h2>\n\n
\n\n
2025-26<\/th>Oklahoma City Thunder<\/th>Dallas Mavericks<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n
Record<\/strong><\/td>64-18<\/td>26-56<\/td><\/tr>
Net rating<\/strong><\/td>+11.0<\/td>-5.3<\/td><\/tr>
Offensive rating<\/strong><\/td>117.0<\/td>109.1<\/td><\/tr>
Defensive rating<\/strong><\/td>106.0<\/td>114.3<\/td><\/tr>
Pace<\/strong><\/td>101.8<\/td>104.6<\/td><\/tr>
Three-point %<\/strong><\/td>36.5%<\/td>34.4%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n

Rates from last season. The gap was 16.3 points per 100 possessions, which is why a short-handed Thunder team is still the favourite in this Thunder vs Mavericks game.<\/p>\n

Dallas has Flagg and a questionable Kyrie Irving<\/h2>\n

Dallas is 2-2: beaten 128-110 in Houston, winners 121-105 in Indiana, beaten 122-106 at home by San Antonio, then 113-109 winners in Miami on Monday. Flagg had 29 points and 11 assists that night.<\/p>\n

Kyrie Irving is questionable (knee) and Naji Marshall (illness). Dallas went 26-56 last season, so even a .500 start is a change.<\/p>\n

Oklahoma City swept last season’s meetings<\/h2>\n\n
\n\n
Date<\/th>Result<\/th>Venue<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n
1 Mar 2026<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City 100-87<\/td>American Airlines Center<\/td><\/tr>
5 Dec 2025<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City 132-111<\/td>Paycom Center<\/td><\/tr>
27 Oct 2025<\/strong><\/td>Oklahoma City 101-94<\/td>American Airlines Center<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n

Oklahoma City won all three, twice in Dallas. The highest total was 243, and two finished under 200.<\/p>\n

Recent form<\/h2>\n\n\n
Oklahoma City Thunder<\/span>Last 4: 4-0<\/span>W<\/span>W<\/span>W<\/span>W<\/span><\/span><\/div>
Date<\/th>Opponent<\/th>Result<\/th>Top scorer<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Mon 26 Oct<\/td>vs Phoenix<\/td>W<\/span> 125-114<\/td>Ajay Mitchell 30<\/td><\/tr>
Sun 25 Oct<\/td>vs Clippers<\/td>W<\/span> 108-101<\/td>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 34<\/td><\/tr>
Thu 22 Oct<\/td>vs Denver<\/td>W<\/span> 96-84<\/td>Jalen Williams 21<\/td><\/tr>
Tue 20 Oct<\/td>at San Antonio<\/td>W<\/span> 116-104<\/td>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 32<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div>
Dallas Mavericks<\/span>Last 4: 2-2<\/span>L<\/span>W<\/span>L<\/span>W<\/span><\/span><\/div>
Date<\/th>Opponent<\/th>Result<\/th>Top scorer<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Mon 26 Oct<\/td>at Miami<\/td>W<\/span> 113-109<\/td>Cooper Flagg 29<\/td><\/tr>
Sat 24 Oct<\/td>vs San Antonio<\/td>L<\/span> 106-122<\/td>Sergio de Larrea 21<\/td><\/tr>
Fri 23 Oct<\/td>at Indiana<\/td>W<\/span> 121-105<\/td>Kyrie Irving 24<\/td><\/tr>
Wed 21 Oct<\/td>at Houston<\/td>L<\/span> 110-128<\/td>Cooper Flagg 32<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div>\n\n\n

Team news<\/h2>\n\n
\n\n
Club<\/th>Player<\/th>Status<\/th>Latest<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Alex Caruso<\/td>Out, ankle<\/td>Out for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Cason Wallace<\/td>Out, shoulder<\/td>No timetable<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Chet Holmgren<\/td>Out, knee<\/td>Out for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Jalen Williams<\/td>Out, leg<\/td>No timetable<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Nikola Topic<\/td>Out, back<\/td>Week to week<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Otega Oweh<\/td>Out, achilles<\/td>No timetable<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Thomas Sorber<\/td>Out, knee<\/td>Out for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City<\/strong><\/td>Ajay Mitchell<\/td>Day to day, ankle<\/td>Questionable for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Caleb Martin<\/td>Questionable, thumb<\/td>Questionable for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Dereck Lively II<\/td>Out, foot<\/td>Week to week<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Santi Aldama<\/td>Doubtful, knee<\/td>Doubtful on the official report (28 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Sergio de Larrea<\/td>Out, knee<\/td>Out for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Tarik Biberovic<\/td>Doubtful, heel<\/td>Doubtful for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Kyrie Irving<\/td>Day to day, knee<\/td>Questionable for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr>
Dallas<\/strong><\/td>Naji Marshall<\/td>Day to day, illness<\/td>Questionable for this game (27 Oct)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n

Questionable calls on both sides usually settle about an hour before tip-off. The official NBA injury report<\/a> is the one to check late.<\/p>\n

The NBA injury report<\/a> covers the rest of the league.<\/p>\n

Probable starting fives<\/h2>\n\n\n
Oklahoma City Thunder<\/span>Started Mon 26 Oct vs Phoenix<\/span><\/div>
Pos<\/th>Player<\/th>That game<\/th>Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
C<\/td>Isaiah Hartenstein<\/td>15 pts, 13 reb, 3 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Kenrich Williams<\/td>3 pts, 7 reb, 0 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/td>26 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Jared McCain<\/td>18 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Ajay Mitchell<\/td>30 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast<\/td>Day to day<\/span> (ankle)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div>
Dallas Mavericks<\/span>Started Mon 26 Oct at Miami<\/span><\/div>
Pos<\/th>Player<\/th>That game<\/th>Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
F<\/td>Daniel Gafford<\/td>8 pts, 9 reb, 3 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
F<\/td>P.J. Washington<\/td>20 pts, 9 reb, 2 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
F<\/td>Cooper Flagg<\/td>29 pts, 6 reb, 11 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Kyrie Irving<\/td>18 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast<\/td>Day to day<\/span> (knee)<\/td><\/tr>
G<\/td>Max Christie<\/td>11 pts, 5 reb, 3 ast<\/td>Available<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div>
Each club’s most recent starting five, checked against today’s injury list. A starter marked out has no named replacement yet: clubs confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.<\/div>\n\n\n

Players to watch<\/h2>\n

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City.<\/strong> His one quiet night, 17 on 6-of-19 against Denver, is also the Thunder’s lowest score so far.<\/p>\n

Cooper Flagg, Dallas.<\/strong> He’s taken on more of the playmaking, with 11 assists in Miami. If Irving sits, the next-best scorer is P.J. Washington at 15.5 a game.<\/p>\n\n\n

Score prediction<\/h2>\n

Thunder 115-108 Mavericks.<\/strong> Taken alone, last season’s ratings would make Oklahoma City a double-digit favourite, even on the road. We take about half of that away for Jalen Williams, Holmgren, Wallace and Caruso, and a questionable Irving takes some back from Dallas.<\/p>\n

Thunder vs Mavericks prediction<\/h2>\n

Dallas has the home floor and a forward who can score 30. Oklahoma City has the best player on the court and a defence that held Denver to 84.<\/p>\n

Our pick: Oklahoma City to win, the Thunder at -6.5 or shorter, and the under if the total sits at 228.5 or higher.<\/strong> Their three meetings a season ago averaged 208 points.<\/p>\n

Our player prop is P.J. Washington over 14.5 points, but only if Kyrie Irving is ruled out. Washington has 10, 20, 12 and 20, and he’s the next scorer up without Irving. The line was 14.5 on Covers’ NBA prop board at 6:55 a.m. ET.<\/p>\n

The NBA games tonight<\/a> board lists the rest of Wednesday’s games.<\/p>\n\n

What time is Thunder vs Mavericks?<\/strong>

Tip-off is 9:30pm ET \/ 8:30pm CT on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at American Airlines Center, Dallas.<\/p><\/div>

Where can I watch Thunder vs Mavericks in Canada?<\/strong>

NBA TV Canada carries the game in Canada.<\/p><\/div>

Is Chet Holmgren playing against Dallas?<\/strong>

No. He has been ruled out (knee), and Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace are out after injuries that need surgery.<\/p><\/div>

Is Kyrie Irving playing tonight?<\/strong>

He’s questionable because of his knee, so his status may not be settled until close to tip-off.<\/p><\/div>

What is our Thunder vs Mavericks prediction?<\/strong>

Thunder 115-108. We back Oklahoma City to win, at -6.5 or shorter, and the under at 228.5 or higher.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oklahoma City has won all four games, and it has done it while the injury list grew. Jalen Williams needs surgery on a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula, Cason Wallace on a torn labrum, and Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are out tonight. So the question in Dallas is how much Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can carry…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3595,"featured_media":18367,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"thunder vs mavericks","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Thunder vs Mavericks: Prediction, Odds and Team News","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Thunder vs Mavericks preview: Oklahoma City is 4-0 but without Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, Cooper Flagg leads Dallas, and our score prediction.","footnotes":""},"tags":[417],"news-category":[416],"class_list":["post-18368","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-nba","news-category-nba"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"\nThunder vs Mavericks: Prediction, Odds and Team News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Thunder vs Mavericks preview: Oklahoma City is 4-0 but without Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, Cooper Flagg leads Dallas, and 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