{"id":1467,"date":"2026-06-12T17:30:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T21:30:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&p=1467"},"modified":"2026-06-12T17:41:53","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T21:41:53","slug":"match-preview-sweden-vs-tunisia-06-14-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-sweden-vs-tunisia-06-14-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Sweden vs Tunisia: Prediction, Picks & Best Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sunday night in Monterrey closes out the Group F opening round when Sweden meet Tunisia at Estadio BBVA, kicking off at 10:00 PM ET \/ 9:00 PM CT \/ 8:00 PM MT \/ 7:00 PM PT on June 14 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Group F is shaped at the top by Netherlands and Japan, so the read on this fixture is straightforward: it’s the points game inside the group, and whoever takes three here gives themselves real breathing room before the heavier matches arrive. Sweden, with two Premier League goalscorers in their forward line, are the side with the bigger ceiling.<\/p>\n

The flip side is that opening matchdays in a World Cup rarely look like the team’s friendly form. Tunisia will set up to stay in it, Sweden will probe rather than charge, and the markets are pricing exactly that kind of evening.<\/p>\n

Sweden are favourites at -106 with bet365, the draw sits at +230, and Tunisia drift out to +300. That’s a short price on the Swedes, not a runaway one, which lines up with the books respecting Tunisia’s shape and willingness to soak up pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n

Sweden vs Tunisia: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n

The play here is Sweden on the moneyline with a low-scoring overlay, not a romp. Their forwards are the edge; Tunisia’s structure is the brake on the goal lines.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Sweden to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-106 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(51%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTwo Premier League finishers in Gy\u00f6keres and Isak give Sweden the cleaner route to a goal, and Tunisia rarely break a deep block to chase a game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-0 Sweden<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTunisia concede sparingly when they’re set up to defend, so one moment of quality settling it is a sensible shape on the scoreline market.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Viktor Gy\u00f6keres<\/strong> anytime scorer<\/td>\nCheck bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n14 Premier League goals for Arsenal in 2025\/26 \u2014 the highest-scoring Swedish international going into the tournament, and the obvious lead to back.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(61%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFirst match of the group, both sides cautious, one defends-deep instinctively \u2014 the recipe for fewer chances and a tight final-third game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(57%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTunisia’s attacking output is modest from open play, so a Sweden clean sheet pairs naturally with the under read.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

<\/p>\n

How we’d play it: Sweden moneyline as the anchor, with Under 2.5 and BTTS No layered on as a correlated read of the same low-scoring picture.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

Group F \u2014 2026 FIFA World Cup<\/h2>\n

Netherlands and Japan are seeded as the group’s heavyweights; Sweden and Tunisia sit below them in the projected order. The standings show the draw’s pot order, not played fixtures \u2014 everyone is on zero ahead of the opener.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Netherlands<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Japan<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sweden<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tunisia<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n