{"id":11588,"date":"2026-09-14T10:22:40","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T14:22:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/?post_type=news&#038;p=11588"},"modified":"2026-09-14T10:22:40","modified_gmt":"2026-09-14T14:22:40","slug":"match-preview-new-york-city-fc-vs-new-york-red-bulls-09-18-26-mls","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/mls\/match-preview-new-york-city-fc-vs-new-york-red-bulls-09-18-26-mls\/","title":{"rendered":"NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>NYCFC host New York Red Bulls at Yankee Stadium on Friday, September 18 (7:30 PM ET \/ 6:30 PM CT \/ 4:30 PM PT).<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>NYCFC have no fresh fitness worries to report, with Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau expected to anchor the lineup after a season in which the attacking midfielder has racked up 14 goals and a team-high 45 chances created. Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf offer further support in the final third, both good for five goals apiece this season, while Keaton Parks continues to add composure through the middle. New York Red Bulls travel with their own key men fit and available: Julian Hall leads the line with 9 goals from 47 shots, Jorge Ruvalcaba has 7 goals of his own, and Emil Forsberg&#8217;s 32 chances created make him the creative hub in midfield.<\/p>\n<p>NYCFC had drawn three straight matches &#8211; away at New England Revolution, away at Toronto FC, and at home to Nashville SC &#8211; before a home loss to New England Revolution. They then got back to winning ways with a 2-0 win at Real Salt Lake last time out. The Red Bulls, meanwhile, followed a draw with Chicago Fire with defeats to Philadelphia Union and LAFC either side of a scoreless draw at Seattle, before edging Columbus Crew 1-0 last time out. Neither side has strung together consistent form this season, and a New York derby with this much on the line for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/news\/mls\/\">Eastern Conference<\/a> playoff race tends to tighten up further &#8211; expect a cagey opening period that only breaks open once NYCFC&#8217;s extra individual quality finds a way through.<\/p>\n\n\n<style>\n.sq-bpg{--lime:#a8e039;--glow:#c8f24c;--tx:#f4f8f1;--mut:rgba(244,248,241,.62);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#F7B500;--b365:#ffdd00;position:relative;overflow:hidden;isolation:isolate;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:12px auto 30px;border-radius:18px;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(168,224,57,.20) 0%,rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29 0%,#0a2c1f 60%,#08251a 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(10,44,31,.32)}\n.sq-bpg *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sq-bpg::before{content:'';position:absolute;inset:0;z-index:0;pointer-events:none;background-image:url(\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20preserveAspectRatio%3D%22xMidYMid%20slice%22%20viewBox%3D%220%200%203000%203000%22%3E%3Cdefs%3E%3Cpattern%20id%3D%22a%22%20width%3D%2278%22%20height%3D%22175.5%22%20x%3D%220%22%20y%3D%220%22%20patternTransform%3D%22rotate%28-45%29%22%20patternUnits%3D%22userSpaceOnUse%22%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22m-38.22%20157.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22M77.22%200%2078%2081.6l-78%20.78C-.45%2035.67%2034.12.45%2077.22%200%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22m37.78%20158.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fpattern%3E%3C%2Fdefs%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%25%22%20height%3D%22100%25%22%20fill%3D%22url%28%23a%29%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\");background-position:top left;background-size:380px 380px;opacity:.4}\n.sq-bpg__r{position:absolute;width:0;height:0;opacity:0;pointer-events:none}\n.sq-bpg__wrap{position:relative;z-index:1;padding:26px 30px 24px}\n.sq-bpg__tag{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;border:1.5px solid rgba(168,224,57,.55);border-radius:999px;padding:7px 16px;color:var(--lime);font-weight:800;font-size:12px;letter-spacing:2.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:rgba(10,44,31,.4)}\n.sq-bpg__tag::before{content:'';width:8px;height:8px;border-radius:50%;background:var(--lime);box-shadow:0 0 10px 1px var(--glow)}\n.sq-bpg__ttl{font-size:26px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.3px;line-height:1.12;margin:0;color:var(--tx)}\n.sq-bpg__sub{margin:8px 0 0;font-size:14.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut);max-width:70ch}\n.sq-bpg__perf{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;gap:9px;margin-top:18px;padding-top:16px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sq-bpg__perf-h{font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:1.4px;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--lime)}\n.sq-bpg__chip{font-size:12.5px;color:var(--mut);background:rgba(255,255,255,.05);border:1px solid var(--line);border-radius:999px;padding:4px 11px}\n.sq-bpg__chip b{color:var(--tx)}\n.sq-bpg__chip--big{background:var(--lime);color:#08251a;border-color:var(--lime)}\n.sq-bpg__chip--big b{color:#08251a}\n.sq-bpg__siglink{margin-left:auto;font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:var(--lime);text-decoration:none;border-bottom:2px solid rgba(168,224,57,.35)}\n.sq-bpg__geoq{margin-top:18px;font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:var(--tx)}\n.sq-bpg__toggle{display:flex;gap:6px;margin-top:9px}\n.sq-bpg__tab{flex:1;text-align:center;cursor:pointer;user-select:none;font-size:14.5px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.2;padding:10px;border-radius:11px;border:1px solid var(--line);background:rgba(255,255,255,.04);color:var(--mut);transition:.15s}\n.sq-bpg__tab span{display:block;font-size:11px;font-weight:600;margin-top:3px;opacity:.8}\n.sq-bpg__r--us:checked ~ .sq-bpg__toggle .sq-bpg__tab--us,\n.sq-bpg__r--row:checked ~ .sq-bpg__toggle .sq-bpg__tab--row{background:var(--lime);color:#08251a;border-color:var(--lime)}\n.sq-bpg__list{margin-top:16px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sq-bpg__row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 122px;gap:14px;align-items:center;padding:15px 2px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sq-bpg__pk{font-size:16px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.25;color:var(--tx)}\n.sq-bpg__top{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle;margin-left:8px;font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.8px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#5b3b00;background:linear-gradient(90deg,#ffe07a,var(--gold));padding:3px 8px;border-radius:6px}\n.sq-bpg__why{display:block;margin-top:5px;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut)}\n.sq-bpg__pr{text-align:center}\n.sq-bpg__prob{display:block;font-size:26px;font-weight:800;color:var(--lime);line-height:1}\n\/* pre-odds confidence stars (shown at launch before prices post; 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Predictions<\/h2>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__sub\">NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls: predicted lineups, team news, prediction and best bets.<\/p>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__list\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Result\" data-selection=\"NYCFC\" data-prob=\"46\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">NYCFC<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__top\">Top pick<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">NYCFC own the standout individual weapon in this fixture, with Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau&#x27;s 14 goals this season giving them the sharpest edge in the final third.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">46%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">win prob.<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Correct Score\" data-selection=\"NYCFC 2-1 New York Red Bulls\" data-prob=\"9\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">NYCFC 2-1 New York Red Bulls<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">NYCFC&#x27;s 2-0 win at Real Salt Lake and the Red Bulls&#x27; 1-0 win at Columbus Crew both came by narrow margins, pointing to another tight scoreline that tips NYCFC&#x27;s way given their extra firepower.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">9%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Both Teams to Score\" data-selection=\"Yes\" data-prob=\"61\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Yes<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau&#x27;s 14 goals for NYCFC and Julian Hall&#x27;s 9 goals for the Red Bulls mean both attacks arrive with proven end product.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">61%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-selection=\"Over 2.5\" data-prob=\"59\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Over 2.5<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Between Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau&#x27;s 14 goals and Hall&#x27;s nine, these two attacks have shown enough end product to push this one past two.5 goals.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">59%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Anytime Goalscorer\" data-selection=\"Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau\" data-prob=\"\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\" data-player-id=\"eg5xrgue41p7yq97ge9iri99m\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau to score anytime<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau leads all listed players with 14 goals from 59 shots, making him the header pick to find the net at any point.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 3 of 5\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<span class=\"d\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__approach\">Our approach: we built this preview from verified fixture data, recent form and season-long player numbers only &#8211; no invented stats, no filler.<\/p>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--row\" style=\"display:block\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Back these with bet365<\/b><span>Odds shown in American format; your local odds may vary.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--b365\" href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=ca-all-tmp-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Bet with bet365 &rarr;<\/a>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__review\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/ca\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365 review<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB\/MB\/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<style>\n.sq-standings table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;table-layout:auto}\n.sq-standings th,.sq-standings td{text-align:center;padding:8px 10px;white-space:nowrap;vertical-align:middle}\n.sq-standings th:first-child,.sq-standings td:first-child{text-align:left}\n@media (max-width:600px){\n  .sq-standings{display:block;overflow-x:auto;-webkit-overflow-scrolling:touch}\n  .sq-standings table{min-width:560px}\n  .sq-standings th,.sq-standings td{padding:6px 8px;font-size:13px}\n}\n<\/style>\n\n<p>Both NYCFC and the New York Red Bulls play in the Eastern Conference, and this New York derby carries genuine weight for both sides as they continue pushing for playoff positioning down the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau (NYCFC):<\/strong> The attacking midfielder has been NYCFC&#8217;s central threat all season, with 14 goals from 59 shots (33 on target) and a team-high 45 chances created underlining his all-round influence.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls):<\/strong> The striker has been the Red Bulls&#8217; most productive outlet in front of goal, converting 9 goals from 47 shots with 24 of those on target.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jorge Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls):<\/strong> The striker adds to that threat with 7 goals from 53 shots, giving New York Red Bulls real attacking depth through the middle.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n<h3>NYCFC: D D D L W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>2026-09-13: Real Salt Lake 0-2 NYCFC (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>2026-09-10: NYCFC 1-2 New England Revolution (L, home)<\/li>\n<li>2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, home)<\/li>\n<li>2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>NYCFC&#8217;s form reads D D D L W. Three straight draws opened the sequence &#8211; away at New England Revolution and Toronto FC, then at home to Nashville SC. A home loss to New England Revolution followed, before a 2-0 win at Real Salt Lake last time out.<\/p>\n\n<h3>New York Red Bulls: D L D L W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>2026-09-13: Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red Bulls (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>2026-09-10: LAFC 2-0 New York Red Bulls (L, away)<\/li>\n<li>2026-09-06: Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>2026-08-30: New York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)<\/li>\n<li>2026-08-23: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Chicago Fire (D, home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>New York Red Bulls&#8217; form reads D L D L W. A draw with Chicago Fire was followed by defeats to Philadelphia Union and LAFC, either side of a scoreless draw at Seattle. A 1-0 win at Columbus Crew followed last time out.<\/p>\n\n<h2>NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction<\/h2>\n\n<p>Signal&#8217;s model sees this finishing 2-1 to NYCFC, with Fern\u00e1ndez Mercau&#8217;s craft in the final third providing the difference in a tight Eastern Conference derby that matters to both clubs&#8217; playoff pushes. Hall and Ruvalcaba give the Red Bulls enough quality to trouble any back line, so expect both teams to score, but NYCFC&#8217;s extra creative edge sees them home 2-1.<\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predicted lineups and team news for NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls, plus our prediction, odds and best bets. Includes injury news and more. Kick-off 7:30 PM ET.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":11589,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"nycfc vs new york red bulls","_yoast_wpseo_title":"NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls: MLS Lineups & Prediction","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Predicted lineups and team news for NYCFC vs New York Red Bulls, plus our prediction, odds and best bets. Includes injury news and more. 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