{"id":1614,"date":"2026-04-17T18:58:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T18:58:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/br\/?post_type=news&p=1614"},"modified":"2026-04-17T22:18:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T22:18:19","slug":"newcastle-x-bournemouth-palpites-odds-dicas","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/br\/news\/newcastle-x-bournemouth-palpites-odds-dicas\/","title":{"rendered":"Newcastle x Bournemouth: palpites, odds e dicas de apostas"},"content":{"rendered":"

Newcastle x Bournemouth: palpites, odds e dicas de apostas para a Premier League. O confronto no St. James\u2019 Park promete equil\u00edbrio \u2014 em 15 jogos entre Newcastle United e AFC Bournemouth, foram seis empates. Ambos chegam com defesas vulner\u00e1veis e ataques regulares, cen\u00e1rio perfeito para procurar valor em mercados alternativos.<\/p>\n

Melhores Apostas & Palpites<\/h2>\n

O dado que mais pesa aqui \u00e9 a regularidade ofensiva dos dois lados: o Bournemouth marcou em 11 dos \u00faltimos 13 jogos, enquanto o Newcastle balan\u00e7ou as redes em 10 dos \u00faltimos 12. Com defesas que sofrem com frequ\u00eancia, a aposta em empate com ambos marcando (4.50) aparece como valor claro. Para quem prefere jogo travado, o mercado de menos de 2,5 gols (2.63) tamb\u00e9m tem respaldo: quatro dos \u00faltimos seis confrontos diretos terminaram com at\u00e9 dois gols no total.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Nosso Palpite<\/th>\nOdds e Probabilidade<\/th>\nConfian\u00e7a<\/th>\nPor Que Apostamos<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Empate & Ambas Marcam<\/strong><\/td>\n4.50 (22,2%)<\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nOito empates nos \u00faltimos 15 duelos, seis deles com gols dos dois lados. As m\u00e9dias de gols sofridos (Bournemouth 1,53, Newcastle 1,47) e marcados (1,5 e 1,41) sustentam o “ambas marcam”. A odd implica 22%, mas minha estimativa \u00e9 29%.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Menos de 2,5 Gols<\/strong><\/td>\n2.63 (38,0%)<\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nApesar das m\u00e9dias, quatro dos \u00faltimos seis confrontos diretos ficaram abaixo de 2,5 gols. O encaixe t\u00e1tico costuma travar o jogo. A odd de 2.63 implica 38%, eu estimo 43%.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Alex Scott Receber Cart\u00e3o<\/strong><\/td>\n2.40 (41,7%)<\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nScott tem m\u00e9dia alta de faltas e o Bournemouth lidera em cart\u00f5es (2,34 por jogo). Em duelo de meio-campo f\u00edsico, \u00e9 um nome forte para o mercado de cart\u00f5es. A odd paga acima do que o hist\u00f3rico sugere.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Odds corretas no momento da publica\u00e7\u00e3o e sujeitas a altera\u00e7\u00e3o. Aposte com responsabilidade.<\/small><\/p>\n

Forma na Temporada & Classifica\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n

O Newcastle entra pressionado por resultados, mas o Bournemouth \u00e9 quem chega em melhor fase recente. Os Cherries somam 45 pontos em 32 jogos (11\u00aa posi\u00e7\u00e3o), contra 44 dos Magpies (12\u00aa). A diferen\u00e7a \u00e9 m\u00ednima, mas o momento pende para o visitante. Quem gosta de rodadas europeias tamb\u00e9m pode conferir nossa an\u00e1lise de Chelsea x Manchester United<\/a> pela Premier League.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Time<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nJ<\/th>\nV<\/th>\nE<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nGC<\/th>\nSG<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
AFC Bournemouth<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n-1<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Newcastle United<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n-2<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Finaliza\u00e7\u00f5es & Efici\u00eancia<\/h2>\n

O Bournemouth finaliza mais: 13,8 por jogo contra 13 do Newcastle. Mas o time da casa \u00e9 mais eficiente \u2014 1,47 gol por partida contra 1,5 do rival. No ataque, os Cherries convertem melhor em transi\u00e7\u00f5es r\u00e1pidas; o Newcastle depende mais de bolas paradas e do desempenho de Isak.<\/p>\n

Esse \u00e9 o tipo de jogo que costuma travar no primeiro tempo e abrir s\u00f3 quando um dos lados se arrisca. Com defesas vulner\u00e1veis, ambos marcarem aparece como cen\u00e1rio prov\u00e1vel \u2014 o que refor\u00e7a o palpite no empate com ambos marcando.<\/p>\n

Panorama Defensivo<\/h2>\n

As defesas s\u00e3o o ponto fraco dos dois: o Bournemouth sofre 1,53 gol por partida e o Newcastle, 1,47. O n\u00famero de finaliza\u00e7\u00f5es cedidas tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 alto \u2014 ambos passam de 13 chutes concedidos por jogo. N\u00e3o \u00e9 toa que o mercado de ambos marcam pagou bem nos \u00faltimos encontros.<\/p>\n

Cart\u00f5es: Onde Est\u00e1 o Valor?<\/h2>\n

O Bournemouth lidera no quesito cart\u00f5es: 2,34 por jogo (74 amarelos, 1 vermelho), contra 1,97 do Newcastle. Alex Scott, volante dos Cherries, aparece como nome para ficar de olho \u2014 o mercado de cart\u00e3o para o jogador saiu a 2.40 e tem respaldo no estilo agressivo de marca\u00e7\u00e3o que ele costuma adotar nesse tipo de confronto.<\/p>\n

Jogadores para Ficar de Olho<\/h2>\n

Junior Kroupi (10 gols em 32 jogos) e Semenyo (10 em 20) s\u00e3o as principais amea\u00e7as do Bournemouth \u2014 o segundo, inclusive, com m\u00e9dia superior por minuto em campo. Pelo Newcastle, Alexander Isak segue como refer\u00eancia no ataque, com Bruno Guimar\u00e3es orquestrando no meio-campo. Nick Pope deve ser exigido, principalmente em bolas cruzadas.<\/p>\n

Retrospecto<\/h2>\n

Empate \u00e9 a palavra-chave: dos \u00faltimos seis confrontos, quatro terminaram igualados. O \u00faltimo duelo, em janeiro de 2026 pela FA Cup, acabou 2 a 2. Antes disso, um 0 a 0 em setembro de 2025 pela Premier League. Hist\u00f3rico recente refor\u00e7a a tese de jogo parelho \u2014 e favorece quem busca valor em mercados alternativos.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Data<\/th>\nPlacar<\/th>\nCompeti\u00e7\u00e3o<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
10\/01\/26<\/td>\n2-2<\/td>\nFA Cup<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
21\/09\/25<\/td>\n0-0<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18\/01\/25<\/td>\n1-4<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
25\/08\/24<\/td>\n1-1<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17\/02\/24<\/td>\n2-2<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11\/11\/23<\/td>\n2-0<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

O equil\u00edbrio vai pesar mais que o mando?<\/h2>\n

Os dados apontam para um duelo travado, com leve vantagem para o Bournemouth no momento recente. Mas o equil\u00edbrio hist\u00f3rico entre os dois times pesa \u2014 e favorece quem busca valor em mercados alternativos. Empate com ambos marcando e menos de 2,5 gols s\u00e3o as apostas com melhor rela\u00e7\u00e3o risco-retorno para este Newcastle x Bournemouth no St. James\u2019 Park.<\/p>\n

Odds corretas no momento da publica\u00e7\u00e3o. Aposte com responsabilidade.<\/small><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Empate n\u00e3o falta nesse confronto. Em 15 jogos entre Newcastle United e AFC Bournemouth, oito terminaram sem vencedor. E os dois times chegam para o du…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3581,"featured_media":1613,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Newcastle x Bournemouth palpites","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Newcastle x Bournemouth: palpites, odds e dicas de apostas","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Newcastle x Bournemouth: palpites, odds e dicas para a Premier League. 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